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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Mon Mar 2 11:45:59 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.475
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina State North Carolina State 32 23 0.582 0.533 0.424 0.00122
Appalachian State neutral 21 34 0.382 0.521 0.321 -0.00084
Notre Dame neutral 21 31 0.404 0.507 0.329 -0.00068
Northwestern neutral 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00138
Incarnate Word neutral 18 32 0.360 0.459 0.295 -0.00136
Northwestern neutral 17 33 0.340 0.497 0.294 -0.00138
Chicago State neutral 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250 -0.00226
Chicago State neutral 15 37 0.288 0.423 0.250 -0.00226
North Dakota State neutral 20 26 0.435 0.421 0.323 -0.00080
Boston College neutral 22 33 0.400 0.522 0.331 -0.00064

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 33 18 0.647 0.440 0.433
Binghamton 140.76 25 27 0.481 0.483 0.361
Bucknell 101.77 31 21 0.596 0.495 0.422
Columbia 88.88 29 20 0.592 0.524 0.427
Coppin State 101.23 12 34 0.261 0.442 0.241
Delaware 40.01 26 26 0.500 0.512 0.378
Delaware State 66.29 30 17 0.638 0.359 0.409
Fairfield 128.46 32 24 0.571 0.451 0.398
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 15 32 0.319 0.496 0.283
Fordham 89.80 24 30 0.444 0.463 0.338
George Mason 140.10 34 22 0.607 0.486 0.425
George Washington 130.71 20 30 0.400 0.447 0.312
Georgetown 124.56 19 29 0.396 0.483 0.319
Hofstra 98.04 19 24 0.442 0.455 0.335
Iona 96.83 13 31 0.295 0.446 0.259
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 25 25 0.500 0.436 0.359
LaSalle 9.39 14 34 0.292 0.492 0.269
Lafayette 42.57 15 26 0.366 0.477 0.302
Lehigh 31.96 25 24 0.510 0.430 0.362
Manhattan 90.29 17 33 0.340 0.444 0.281
Marist 130.97 17 32 0.347 0.442 0.284
Maryland 117.93 40 23 0.635 0.557 0.457
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 17 29 0.370 0.451 0.298
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 13 35 0.271 0.419 0.240
Monmouth 68.40 24 25 0.490 0.438 0.354
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 17 24 0.415 0.452 0.321
Navy 101.46 22 28 0.440 0.443 0.331
New Jersey Tech 72.97 20 25 0.444 0.324 0.303
New York Tech 100.56 4 46 0.080 0.468 0.157
Penn State 142.89 18 32 0.360 0.466 0.296
Pennsylvania 13.39 23 17 0.575 0.463 0.403
Princeton 37.16 14 26 0.350 0.494 0.298
Rider 30.67 16 33 0.327 0.430 0.271
Rutgers 52.58 30 25 0.545 0.509 0.400
Sacred Heart 131.85 29 28 0.509 0.498 0.379
Seton Hall 69.46 39 15 0.722 0.419 0.466
St. John's 89.01 34 20 0.630 0.469 0.432
St. Joseph's 9.12 35 16 0.686 0.455 0.457
St. Peter's 75.40 11 41 0.212 0.482 0.226
Stony Brook 126.51 35 18 0.660 0.449 0.442
Temple 5.68 15 32 0.319 0.512 0.287
Towson 86.48 22 25 0.468 0.516 0.363
Wagner 73.31 19 35 0.352 0.524 0.307
Yale 146.98 18 22 0.450 0.443 0.336

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 12 33 0.267 0.479 0.253
Boston College 263.19 22 33 0.400 0.522 0.331
Brown 234.92 13 24 0.351 0.469 0.293
Bryant 231.68 42 16 0.724 0.474 0.480
Buffalo 268.18 26 26 0.500 0.476 0.369
Canisius 267.19 40 16 0.714 0.456 0.471
Central Connecticut State 171.02 27 22 0.551 0.494 0.399
Connecticut 196.09 27 31 0.466 0.508 0.360
Cornell 171.85 18 21 0.462 0.447 0.343
Dartmouth 291.54 17 21 0.447 0.489 0.346
Hartford 177.55 31 23 0.574 0.476 0.406
Harvard 265.93 11 28 0.282 0.465 0.257
Holy Cross 232.60 13 31 0.295 0.522 0.278
James Madison 224.06 17 36 0.321 0.534 0.294
Liberty 283.83 41 18 0.695 0.509 0.475
Longwood 257.42 22 33 0.400 0.481 0.320
Massachusetts 212.09 15 31 0.326 0.516 0.292
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 20 22 0.476 0.436 0.347
Niagara 281.98 20 31 0.392 0.453 0.309
Norfolk State 232.45 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Northeastern 265.41 26 29 0.473 0.459 0.351
Old Dominion 230.52 36 26 0.581 0.564 0.431
Pittsburgh 247.48 22 30 0.423 0.502 0.337
Quinnipiac 154.19 18 31 0.367 0.462 0.299
Rhode Island 217.59 13 40 0.245 0.496 0.246
Richmond 213.50 24 28 0.462 0.509 0.358
Siena 196.28 27 33 0.450 0.467 0.342
St. Bonaventure 214.39 12 30 0.286 0.454 0.257
VMI 275.03 25 23 0.521 0.521 0.391
Virginia 224.72 53 16 0.768 0.576 0.528
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 37 20 0.649 0.473 0.443
West Virginia 251.05 28 26 0.519 0.551 0.397
William and Mary 210.68 34 22 0.607 0.512 0.431
Youngstown State 296.20 17 38 0.309 0.478 0.274

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation