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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:04 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.496
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Houston Houston 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00140
Houston Houston 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00140
Houston Houston 24 17 0.585 0.542 0.428 0.00140
Chicago State neutral 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226 -0.00330
Dartmouth neutral 17 23 0.425 0.464 0.329 -0.00090
Boston College neutral 23 17 0.575 0.543 0.423 0.00128
Indiana State neutral 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442 0.00173
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.617 0.499 0.00305
Stetson Stetson 21 23 0.477 0.527 0.370 0.00005
Central Michigan neutral 11 32 0.256 0.497 0.252 -0.00269
Illinois neutral 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395 0.00063
Delaware State Villanova 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237 -0.00304
Lehigh Villanova 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329 -0.00090
Fordham Fordham 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361 -0.00016
Stony Brook Stony Brook 19 20 0.487 0.484 0.364 -0.00009
St. Peter's Villanova 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209 -0.00369
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00253
Pennsylvania Villanova 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339 -0.00067
St. Peter's Villanova 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209 -0.00369
Sacred Heart Villanova 22 19 0.537 0.488 0.391 0.00054
Sacred Heart Villanova 22 19 0.537 0.488 0.391 0.00054
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00082
Hartford Villanova 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00235
Hartford Villanova 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00235
Hartford Villanova 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469 0.00235
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339 -0.00067
St. Bonaventure Villanova 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367 -0.00002
St. Bonaventure Villanova 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367 -0.00002
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403 0.00082
Butler Villanova 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00302
Butler Villanova 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00302
Butler Villanova 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00302
St. John's Villanova 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 0.00024
St. John's Villanova 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 0.00024
St. John's Villanova 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 0.00024
LaSalle Villanova 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00253
Seton Hall Seton Hall 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456 0.00205
Seton Hall Seton Hall 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456 0.00205
Seton Hall Seton Hall 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456 0.00205
Rutgers Rutgers 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392 0.00056
Creighton Villanova 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00338
Creighton Villanova 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00338
Creighton Villanova 30 9 0.769 0.515 0.513 0.00338

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 16 30 0.348 0.489 0.296
Binghamton 140.76 19 20 0.487 0.485 0.365
Bucknell 101.77 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Columbia 88.88 17 24 0.415 0.488 0.330
Coppin State 101.23 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Delaware 40.01 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 66.29 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
Fairfield 128.46 22 20 0.524 0.418 0.366
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 89.80 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361
George Mason 140.10 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 130.71 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 124.56 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
Hofstra 98.04 13 30 0.302 0.504 0.277
Iona 96.83 8 31 0.205 0.469 0.220
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
LaSalle 9.39 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 42.57 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 31.96 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Manhattan 90.29 15 26 0.366 0.505 0.309
Marist 130.97 19 21 0.475 0.432 0.345
Maryland 117.93 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Monmouth 68.40 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 101.46 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
New Jersey Tech 72.97 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296
New York Tech 100.56 17 23 0.425 0.402 0.313
Penn State 142.89 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406
Pennsylvania 13.39 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339
Princeton 37.16 22 18 0.550 0.513 0.403
Rider 30.67 14 27 0.341 0.477 0.290
Rutgers 52.58 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392
Sacred Heart 131.85 22 19 0.537 0.488 0.391
Seton Hall 69.46 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
St. John's 89.01 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378
St. Joseph's 9.12 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403
St. Peter's 75.40 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209
Stony Brook 126.51 19 20 0.487 0.484 0.364
Temple 5.68 0.000
Towson 86.48 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
Wagner 73.31 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Yale 146.98 16 26 0.381 0.485 0.312

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 16 22 0.421 0.477 0.330
Boston College 263.19 23 17 0.575 0.543 0.423
Brown 234.92 15 24 0.385 0.456 0.306
Bryant 231.68 33 8 0.805 0.489 0.525
Buffalo 268.18 13 26 0.333 0.459 0.281
Canisius 267.19 25 19 0.568 0.417 0.388
Central Connecticut State 171.02 18 24 0.429 0.479 0.334
Connecticut 196.09 24 19 0.558 0.525 0.410
Cornell 171.85 14 22 0.389 0.453 0.308
Dartmouth 291.54 17 23 0.425 0.464 0.329
Hartford 177.55 28 12 0.700 0.478 0.469
Harvard 265.93 16 23 0.410 0.456 0.319
Holy Cross 232.60 25 24 0.510 0.455 0.369
James Madison 224.06 18 26 0.409 0.500 0.330
Liberty 283.83 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 257.42 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Massachusetts 212.09 13 20 0.394 0.435 0.306
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 17 23 0.425 0.467 0.329
Niagara 281.98 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298
Norfolk State 232.45 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
Northeastern 265.41 22 19 0.537 0.449 0.381
Old Dominion 230.52 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Pittsburgh 247.48 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Quinnipiac 154.19 17 26 0.395 0.433 0.306
Rhode Island 217.59 19 21 0.475 0.524 0.368
Richmond 213.50 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Siena 196.28 15 27 0.357 0.448 0.290
St. Bonaventure 214.39 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367
VMI 275.03 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 224.72 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
West Virginia 251.05 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
William and Mary 210.68 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383
Youngstown State 296.20 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation