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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.469
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00011
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00011
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383 0.00011
Buffalo neutral 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00039
Quinnipiac neutral 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305 -0.00170
Norfolk State Norfolk State 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00117
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00018
Boston College neutral 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00098
Central Michigan neutral 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405 0.00062
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00269
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00269
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00232
Temple neutral 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00240
Niagara neutral 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288 -0.00210
LaSalle LaSalle 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00256
St. Peter's Villanova 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00301
Connecticut Villanova 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371 -0.00017
LaSalle LaSalle 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00256
Northeastern Villanova 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00052
Northeastern Villanova 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00052
Northeastern Villanova 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356 -0.00052
Pennsylvania Villanova 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403 0.00058
Wagner Villanova 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00203
St. Joseph's Villanova 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00232
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00232
St. John's Villanova 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00153
St. John's Villanova 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00153
St. John's Villanova 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444 0.00153
Lafayette Lafayette 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00175
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00023
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00023
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00023
Creighton Villanova 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00148
Creighton Villanova 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00148
Creighton Villanova 25 14 0.641 0.484 0.442 0.00148
Temple Temple 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00240
St. Joseph's Villanova 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00232
Seton Hall Seton Hall 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471 0.00216
Seton Hall Seton Hall 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471 0.00216
Seton Hall Seton Hall 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471 0.00216
Georgetown Georgetown 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00122
Georgetown Georgetown 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00122
Georgetown Georgetown 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00122

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Binghamton 140.76 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Bucknell 101.77 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Columbia 88.88 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Coppin State 101.23 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Delaware 40.01 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 66.29 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
Fairfield 128.46 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 89.80 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
George Mason 140.10 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 130.71 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 124.56 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Hofstra 98.04 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Iona 96.83 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 9.39 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 42.57 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 31.96 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Manhattan 90.29 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 130.97 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Maryland 117.93 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Monmouth 68.40 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 101.46 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
New Jersey Tech 72.97 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 100.56 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Penn State 142.89 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 13.39 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 37.16 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Rider 30.67 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 52.58 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Sacred Heart 131.85 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 69.46 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
St. John's 89.01 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Joseph's 9.12 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 75.40 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 126.51 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
Temple 5.68 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Towson 86.48 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Wagner 73.31 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
Yale 146.98 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Boston College 263.19 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336
Brown 234.92 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295
Bryant 231.68 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488
Buffalo 268.18 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395
Canisius 267.19 31 14 0.689 0.452 0.457
Central Connecticut State 171.02 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Connecticut 196.09 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Cornell 171.85 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Dartmouth 291.54 17 19 0.472 0.491 0.359
Hartford 177.55 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Harvard 265.93 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259
Holy Cross 232.60 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279
James Madison 224.06 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 283.83 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 257.42 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Massachusetts 212.09 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354
Niagara 281.98 15 26 0.366 0.421 0.288
Norfolk State 232.45 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
Northeastern 265.41 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356
Old Dominion 230.52 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Pittsburgh 247.48 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Quinnipiac 154.19 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Rhode Island 217.59 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252
Richmond 213.50 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Siena 196.28 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. Bonaventure 214.39 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
VMI 275.03 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 224.72 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 251.05 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
William and Mary 210.68 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Youngstown State 296.20 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation