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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.485
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.481
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36275


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00150
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00150
Houston Houston 35 22 0.614 0.534 0.441 0.00150
Chicago State neutral 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222 -0.00271
Dartmouth neutral 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325 -0.00073
Boston College neutral 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00147
Indiana State neutral 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00150
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476 0.00218
Stetson Stetson 28 29 0.491 0.518 0.375 0.00024
Central Michigan neutral 22 36 0.379 0.491 0.312 -0.00098
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00093
Delaware State Villanova 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241 -0.00234
Lehigh Villanova 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332 -0.00059
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.454 0.363 0.00000
Stony Brook Stony Brook 27 26 0.509 0.481 0.375 0.00024
St. Peter's Villanova 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00307
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00209
Pennsylvania Villanova 19 22 0.463 0.439 0.341 -0.00042
St. Peter's Villanova 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00307
Sacred Heart Villanova 30 27 0.526 0.463 0.379 0.00031
Sacred Heart Villanova 30 27 0.526 0.463 0.379 0.00031
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00089
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.487 0.458 0.00183
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.487 0.458 0.00183
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.487 0.458 0.00183
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 19 22 0.463 0.439 0.341 -0.00042
St. Bonaventure Villanova 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00020
St. Bonaventure Villanova 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373 0.00020
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409 0.00089
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00236
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00236
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00236
St. John's Villanova 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00047
St. John's Villanova 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00047
St. John's Villanova 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00047
LaSalle Villanova 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00209
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00145
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00145
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00145
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.530 0.378 0.00029
Creighton Villanova 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00212
Creighton Villanova 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00212
Creighton Villanova 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00212
New York Tech Villanova 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299 -0.00123
New York Tech Villanova 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299 -0.00123
LIU Brooklyn Villanova 19 35 0.352 0.461 0.291 -0.00138
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00023
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00023
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00023
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00047
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00047
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00047

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Binghamton 140.76 29 23 0.558 0.480 0.399
Bucknell 101.77 18 34 0.346 0.472 0.291
Columbia 88.88 17 24 0.415 0.499 0.332
Coppin State 101.23 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Delaware 40.01 31 22 0.585 0.480 0.412
Delaware State 66.29 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
Fairfield 128.46 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 27 27 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 89.80 29 29 0.500 0.454 0.363
George Mason 140.10 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 130.71 24 33 0.421 0.495 0.334
Georgetown 124.56 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Hofstra 98.04 15 37 0.288 0.489 0.266
Iona 96.83 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 19 35 0.352 0.461 0.291
LaSalle 9.39 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 42.57 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 31.96 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 90.29 24 31 0.436 0.463 0.334
Marist 130.97 24 27 0.471 0.425 0.342
Maryland 117.93 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Monmouth 68.40 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 101.46 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
New Jersey Tech 72.97 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
New York Tech 100.56 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299
Penn State 142.89 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385
Pennsylvania 13.39 19 22 0.463 0.439 0.341
Princeton 37.16 24 19 0.558 0.497 0.403
Rider 30.67 18 33 0.353 0.453 0.290
Rutgers 52.58 27 28 0.491 0.530 0.378
Sacred Heart 131.85 30 27 0.526 0.463 0.379
Seton Hall 69.46 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438
St. John's 89.01 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387
St. Joseph's 9.12 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
St. Peter's 75.40 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 126.51 27 26 0.509 0.481 0.375
Temple 5.68 0.000
Towson 86.48 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
Wagner 73.31 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
Yale 146.98 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 23 30 0.434 0.463 0.333
Boston College 263.19 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439
Brown 234.92 15 24 0.385 0.465 0.309
Bryant 231.68 46 10 0.821 0.465 0.527
Buffalo 268.18 21 31 0.404 0.450 0.315
Canisius 267.19 32 27 0.542 0.433 0.379
Central Connecticut State 171.02 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330
Connecticut 196.09 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435
Cornell 171.85 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Dartmouth 291.54 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325
Hartford 177.55 37 18 0.673 0.487 0.458
Harvard 265.93 17 24 0.415 0.450 0.320
Holy Cross 232.60 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
James Madison 224.06 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Liberty 283.83 31 27 0.534 0.522 0.398
Longwood 257.42 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Massachusetts 212.09 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 20 32 0.385 0.494 0.316
Niagara 281.98 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Norfolk State 232.45 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
Northeastern 265.41 31 27 0.534 0.454 0.381
Old Dominion 230.52 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416
Pittsburgh 247.48 25 26 0.490 0.550 0.383
Quinnipiac 154.19 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317
Rhode Island 217.59 29 25 0.537 0.497 0.393
Richmond 213.50 28 24 0.538 0.459 0.384
Siena 196.28 25 31 0.446 0.421 0.328
St. Bonaventure 214.39 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373
VMI 275.03 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia 224.72 36 20 0.643 0.580 0.467
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
West Virginia 251.05 35 21 0.625 0.514 0.441
William and Mary 210.68 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372
Youngstown State 296.20 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation