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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Villanova

Last updated: Sat Jun 25 06:47:13 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.484
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.480
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.362


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00148
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00148
Houston Houston 36 23 0.610 0.534 0.439 0.00148
Chicago State neutral 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00271
Dartmouth neutral 18 25 0.419 0.456 0.324 -0.00073
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00158
Indiana State neutral 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440 0.00150
Florida State Florida State 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00219
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 0.00019
Central Michigan neutral 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313 -0.00094
Illinois neutral 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410 0.00092
Delaware State Villanova 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240 -0.00235
Lehigh Villanova 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332 -0.00058
Fordham Fordham 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362 0.00000
Stony Brook Stony Brook 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369 0.00013
St. Peter's Villanova 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00308
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00210
Pennsylvania Villanova 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340 -0.00042
St. Peter's Villanova 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00308
Sacred Heart Villanova 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373 0.00021
Sacred Heart Villanova 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373 0.00021
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00088
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00183
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00183
Hartford Villanova 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457 0.00183
Pennsylvania Pennsylvania 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340 -0.00042
St. Bonaventure Villanova 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00021
St. Bonaventure Villanova 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373 0.00021
St. Joseph's St. Joseph's 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408 0.00088
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00237
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00237
Butler Villanova 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00237
St. John's Villanova 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00038
St. John's Villanova 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00038
St. John's Villanova 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382 0.00038
LaSalle Villanova 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00210
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00146
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00146
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438 0.00146
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00027
Creighton Villanova 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00206
Creighton Villanova 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00206
Creighton Villanova 38 17 0.691 0.496 0.469 0.00206
New York Tech Villanova 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00123
New York Tech Villanova 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298 -0.00123
LIU Brooklyn Villanova 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290 -0.00138
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00023
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00023
Georgetown Georgetown 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00023
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00060
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00060
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00060

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Army 112.13 16 32 0.333 0.485 0.288
Binghamton 140.76 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395
Bucknell 101.77 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Columbia 88.88 17 24 0.415 0.493 0.331
Coppin State 101.23 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Delaware 40.01 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 66.29 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
Fairfield 128.46 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Fairleigh Dickinson 85.34 28 28 0.500 0.418 0.354
Fordham 89.80 29 29 0.500 0.450 0.362
George Mason 140.10 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 130.71 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 124.56 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Hofstra 98.04 15 37 0.288 0.488 0.266
Iona 96.83 11 39 0.220 0.460 0.225
LIU Brooklyn 79.31 19 35 0.352 0.455 0.290
LaSalle 9.39 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 42.57 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 31.96 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Manhattan 90.29 24 31 0.436 0.460 0.333
Marist 130.97 24 27 0.471 0.424 0.341
Maryland 117.93 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 96.60 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 133.78 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Monmouth 68.40 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
Mount St. Mary's 113.22 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 101.46 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
New Jersey Tech 72.97 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
New York Tech 100.56 17 26 0.395 0.404 0.298
Penn State 142.89 28 27 0.509 0.515 0.383
Pennsylvania 13.39 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Princeton 37.16 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Rider 30.67 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 52.58 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Sacred Heart 131.85 30 28 0.517 0.460 0.373
Seton Hall 69.46 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
St. John's 89.01 28 26 0.519 0.490 0.382
St. Joseph's 9.12 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 75.40 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Stony Brook 126.51 27 27 0.500 0.478 0.369
Temple 5.68 0.000
Towson 86.48 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Wagner 73.31 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Yale 146.98 18 28 0.391 0.484 0.317

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 192.21 23 30 0.434 0.460 0.332
Boston College 263.19 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444
Brown 234.92 15 24 0.385 0.461 0.308
Bryant 231.68 47 12 0.797 0.467 0.515
Buffalo 268.18 21 31 0.404 0.449 0.314
Canisius 267.19 32 27 0.542 0.430 0.379
Central Connecticut State 171.02 23 34 0.404 0.505 0.328
Connecticut 196.09 38 25 0.603 0.516 0.430
Cornell 171.85 14 22 0.389 0.445 0.306
Dartmouth 291.54 18 25 0.419 0.456 0.324
Hartford 177.55 37 18 0.673 0.483 0.457
Harvard 265.93 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319
Holy Cross 232.60 28 27 0.509 0.472 0.372
James Madison 224.06 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 283.83 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 257.42 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Massachusetts 212.09 18 27 0.400 0.453 0.313
Massachusetts-Lowell 270.01 20 32 0.385 0.491 0.315
Niagara 281.98 16 37 0.302 0.455 0.265
Norfolk State 232.45 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
Northeastern 265.41 31 27 0.534 0.452 0.380
Old Dominion 230.52 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Pittsburgh 247.48 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Quinnipiac 154.19 21 31 0.404 0.456 0.316
Rhode Island 217.59 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394
Richmond 213.50 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Siena 196.28 25 32 0.439 0.422 0.325
St. Bonaventure 214.39 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
VMI 275.03 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 224.72 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 211.57 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 251.05 36 22 0.621 0.518 0.440
William and Mary 210.68 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Youngstown State 296.20 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation