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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.599
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.435


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kent State neutral 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485 0.00106
Appalachian State neutral 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272 -0.00347
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492 0.00121
VMI Virginia 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00272
East Carolina Virginia 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00049
East Carolina Virginia 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00049
East Carolina Virginia 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458 0.00049
William and Mary Virginia 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00111
Monmouth Virginia 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00109
Monmouth Virginia 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00109
Monmouth Virginia 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 -0.00109
Wagner Virginia 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00343
Wagner Virginia 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00343
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00026
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00026
Duke Duke 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423 -0.00026
Towson Virginia 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310 -0.00266
Towson Virginia 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310 -0.00266
Wake Forest Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00028
Wake Forest Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00028
Wake Forest Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448 0.00028
James Madison Virginia 18 26 0.409 0.499 0.329 -0.00226
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00228
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00228
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542 0.00228
Old Dominion Virginia 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441 0.00013
North Carolina State Virginia 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00162
North Carolina State Virginia 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00162
North Carolina State Virginia 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511 0.00162
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456 0.00045
George Washington Virginia 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00194
Boston College Boston College 23 17 0.575 0.542 0.423 -0.00026
Boston College Boston College 23 17 0.575 0.542 0.423 -0.00026
Boston College Boston College 23 17 0.575 0.542 0.423 -0.00026
Longwood Virginia 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 -0.00079
North Carolina Virginia 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00083
North Carolina Virginia 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00083
North Carolina Virginia 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00083
Radford Virginia 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297 -0.00294
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456 0.00045
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00236
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00236
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.594 0.546 0.00236
Old Dominion neutral 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441 0.00013
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00038
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00038
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417 -0.00038

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Duke 143.53 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
Elon 144.65 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
George Mason 84.62 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 94.44 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 100.32 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
James Madison 33.99 18 26 0.409 0.499 0.329
Liberty 60.12 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 52.37 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Maryland 107.01 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 127.02 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Norfolk State 148.71 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina Central 142.77 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Old Dominion 145.14 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Radford 127.41 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Richmond 62.14 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Towson 138.50 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
VMI 53.43 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 30 15 0.667 0.491 0.456
Virginia Tech 119.12 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
West Virginia 136.25 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
William and Mary 110.54 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 0.000
Appalachian State 216.15 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Bucknell 218.63 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Campbell 182.50 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Davidson 217.77 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Delaware 186.10 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 178.48 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Carolina 180.92 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
East Tennessee State 243.50 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Gardner-Webb 260.90 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
High Point 164.78 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Kent State 261.26 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
LaSalle 226.81 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 255.31 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 243.27 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Marshall 170.20 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Monmouth 286.32 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384
Morehead State 267.17 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
New Jersey Tech 297.65 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296
North Carolina 150.71 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 152.67 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina State 156.35 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Ohio 213.04 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 277.53 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Penn State 194.38 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406
Pennsylvania 221.30 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339
Pittsburgh 183.07 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Princeton 260.94 22 18 0.550 0.513 0.403
Rider 254.13 14 27 0.341 0.477 0.290
Rutgers 277.04 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392
Seton Hall 294.18 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
St. Bonaventure 278.70 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367
St. Joseph's 221.18 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403
St. Peter's 299.93 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209
Temple 230.35 0.000
Villanova 224.72 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Wagner 297.38 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Wake Forest 163.40 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448
Winthrop 255.38 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 285.44 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402
Youngstown State 249.52 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation