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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.585
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.543
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.42825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kent State neutral 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496 0.00125
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00252
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00140
VMI Virginia 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00217
East Carolina Virginia 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462 0.00063
East Carolina Virginia 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462 0.00063
East Carolina Virginia 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462 0.00063
William and Mary Virginia 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00113
Monmouth Virginia 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383 -0.00084
Monmouth Virginia 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383 -0.00084
Monmouth Virginia 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383 -0.00084
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298 -0.00241
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298 -0.00241
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00044
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00044
Duke Duke 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00044
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00226
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00226
Wake Forest Virginia 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00005
Wake Forest Virginia 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00005
Wake Forest Virginia 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431 0.00005
James Madison Virginia 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348 -0.00149
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00237
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00237
Louisville Louisville 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00237
Old Dominion Virginia 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 -0.00002
North Carolina State Virginia 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00098
North Carolina State Virginia 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00098
North Carolina State Virginia 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00098
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00064
George Washington Virginia 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00171
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00031
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00031
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00031
Longwood Virginia 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390 -0.00071
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00059
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00059
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00059
Radford Virginia 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292 -0.00252
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463 0.00064
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00229
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00229
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 41 10 0.804 0.599 0.552 0.00229
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 -0.00002
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00084
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00084
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383 -0.00084
Liberty Liberty 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386 -0.00078
Georgia Tech Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00064
Georgia Tech Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00064
Georgia Tech Virginia 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00064
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00230
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00230
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00230

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
Duke 143.53 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
Elon 144.65 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
George Mason 84.62 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 94.44 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 100.32 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
James Madison 33.99 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Liberty 60.12 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 52.37 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
Maryland 107.01 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 127.02 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 148.71 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
North Carolina Central 142.77 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
Old Dominion 145.14 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Radford 127.41 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Richmond 62.14 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
Towson 138.50 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
VMI 53.43 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
Virginia Tech 119.12 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
West Virginia 136.25 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
William and Mary 110.54 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 0.000
Appalachian State 216.15 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Bucknell 218.63 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291
Campbell 182.50 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 217.77 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Delaware 186.10 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
Delaware State 178.48 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242
East Carolina 180.92 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
East Tennessee State 243.50 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Gardner-Webb 260.90 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
High Point 164.78 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Kent State 261.26 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
LaSalle 226.81 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255
Lafayette 255.31 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 243.27 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Marshall 170.20 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Monmouth 286.32 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383
Morehead State 267.17 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
New Jersey Tech 297.65 16 36 0.308 0.481 0.274
North Carolina 150.71 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 152.67 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina State 156.35 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 213.04 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 277.53 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467
Penn State 194.38 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pennsylvania 221.30 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Pittsburgh 183.07 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Princeton 260.94 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404
Rider 254.13 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
Rutgers 277.04 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Seton Hall 294.18 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
St. Bonaventure 278.70 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374
St. Joseph's 221.18 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
St. Peter's 299.93 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 230.35 0.000
Villanova 224.72 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
Wagner 297.38 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298
Wake Forest 163.40 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
Winthrop 255.38 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 285.44 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387
Youngstown State 249.52 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation