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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.576
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.542
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4235


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kent State neutral 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488 0.00108
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00222
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00163
VMI Virginia 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00196
East Carolina Virginia 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00046
East Carolina Virginia 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00046
East Carolina Virginia 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00046
William and Mary Virginia 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00064
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00079
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00079
Monmouth Virginia 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376 -0.00079
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00213
Wagner Virginia 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296 -0.00213
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00018
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00018
Duke Duke 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00018
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00197
Towson Virginia 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00197
Wake Forest Virginia 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00001
Wake Forest Virginia 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00001
Wake Forest Virginia 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00001
James Madison Virginia 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00131
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Old Dominion Virginia 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 -0.00014
North Carolina State Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00079
North Carolina State Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00079
North Carolina State Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00079
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00054
George Washington Virginia 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334 -0.00149
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00034
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00034
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00034
Longwood Virginia 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00057
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00054
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00054
North Carolina Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00054
Radford Virginia 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00209
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00054
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00188
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00188
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 48 14 0.774 0.596 0.536 0.00188
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 -0.00014
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00071
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00071
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381 -0.00071
Liberty Liberty 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 -0.00051
Georgia Tech Virginia 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00039
Georgia Tech Virginia 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00039
Georgia Tech Virginia 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447 0.00039
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00202
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00202
Virginia Tech Virginia 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00202
Clemson neutral 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00109
Wake Forest neutral 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00001
Louisville neutral 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00064
East Carolina neutral 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451 0.00046
William and Mary neutral 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385 -0.00064

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 123.64 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Duke 143.53 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
Elon 144.65 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
George Mason 84.62 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 94.44 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 100.32 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
James Madison 33.99 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 60.12 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 52.37 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Maryland 107.01 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 128.12 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Mount St. Mary's 129.15 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 127.02 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 148.71 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina Central 142.77 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
Old Dominion 145.14 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Radford 127.41 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 62.14 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Towson 138.50 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
VMI 53.43 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Commonwealth 66.02 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 119.12 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 136.25 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
William and Mary 110.54 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 263.13 0.000
Appalachian State 216.15 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Bucknell 218.63 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Campbell 182.50 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Davidson 217.77 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Delaware 186.10 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 178.48 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Carolina 180.92 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
East Tennessee State 243.50 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Gardner-Webb 260.90 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 164.78 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Kent State 261.26 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
LaSalle 226.81 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lafayette 255.31 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278
Lehigh 243.27 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Marshall 170.20 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland-Eastern Shore 154.14 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Monmouth 286.32 30 27 0.526 0.452 0.376
Morehead State 267.17 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
New Jersey Tech 297.65 16 36 0.308 0.476 0.273
North Carolina 150.71 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 152.67 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina State 156.35 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Asheville 280.10 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 225.77 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 154.34 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
North Carolina-Wilmington 266.59 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Ohio 213.04 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 277.53 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Penn State 194.38 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pennsylvania 221.30 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Pittsburgh 183.07 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Princeton 260.94 24 21 0.533 0.500 0.392
Rider 254.13 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289
Rutgers 277.04 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376
Seton Hall 294.18 38 20 0.655 0.440 0.438
South Carolina-Upstate 284.55 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
St. Bonaventure 278.70 26 22 0.542 0.408 0.373
St. Joseph's 221.18 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
St. Peter's 299.93 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202
Temple 230.35 0.000
Villanova 224.72 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Wagner 297.38 19 33 0.365 0.454 0.296
Wake Forest 163.40 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Winthrop 255.38 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 285.44 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Youngstown State 249.52 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation