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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for VMI

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.474
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.485
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35825


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386 0.00050
Maryland-Baltimore County neutral 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386 0.00050
Georgetown neutral 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00015
Wake Forest Wake Forest 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424 0.00117
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00183
Lafayette VMI 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00143
Lafayette VMI 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00143
Lafayette VMI 14 29 0.326 0.460 0.278 -0.00143
Richmond Richmond 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 0.00044
Longwood VMI 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00055
Binghamton VMI 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00066
Binghamton VMI 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00066
Binghamton VMI 30 25 0.545 0.488 0.395 0.00066
James Madison VMI 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00024
Maryland-Eastern Shore VMI 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259 -0.00177
Maryland-Eastern Shore VMI 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259 -0.00177
Maryland-Eastern Shore VMI 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259 -0.00177
Virginia Commonwealth VMI 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00175
George Mason VMI 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290 -0.00122
Rider VMI 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00124
Rider VMI 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00124
Rider VMI 18 33 0.353 0.450 0.289 -0.00124
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00101
Old Dominion Old Dominion 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00101
The Citadel VMI 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00159
The Citadel VMI 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00159
The Citadel VMI 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00159
Virginia Tech VMI 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00100
Longwood Longwood 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00055
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00158
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00158
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00158
Radford Radford 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00108
Western Carolina VMI 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00044
Western Carolina VMI 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00044
Western Carolina VMI 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00044
James Madison James Madison 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345 -0.00024
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00132
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00132
Mercer Mercer 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432 0.00132
Old Dominion VMI 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415 0.00101
Wofford VMI 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00033
Wofford VMI 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00033
Wofford VMI 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00033
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456 0.00175
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00025
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00025
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00025
Radford VMI 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00108
Furman VMI 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00035
Furman VMI 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00035
Furman VMI 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378 0.00035
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00092
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00092
Samford Samford 35 26 0.574 0.491 0.410 0.00092
The Citadel neutral 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00159

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Duke 127.02 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
Elon 116.42 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
George Mason 135.72 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 146.25 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
High Point 129.26 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
James Madison 54.64 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Liberty 33.48 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 66.75 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Marshall 124.90 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
North Carolina 132.17 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 119.80 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 127.15 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 144.81 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Greensboro 120.95 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Radford 75.38 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 104.87 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Virginia 53.43 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 109.13 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 66.93 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Wake Forest 123.30 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
West Virginia 131.73 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 252.21 0.000
Appalachian State 165.47 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Bucknell 257.25 18 34 0.346 0.468 0.290
Campbell 169.14 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Cincinnati 289.57 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Clemson 286.96 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 283.66 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
Coppin State 174.82 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
Davidson 176.15 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Dayton 289.52 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Delaware 237.28 31 22 0.585 0.475 0.411
Delaware State 231.49 13 37 0.260 0.442 0.240
East Carolina 190.42 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
East Tennessee State 191.00 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Kentucky 265.47 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Furman 259.30 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 215.24 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgetown 150.63 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Kent State 252.33 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Kentucky 276.20 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
LaSalle 277.74 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253
Lehigh 291.44 23 29 0.442 0.443 0.332
Maryland 158.45 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 178.74 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 206.44 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Morehead State 218.78 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 172.42 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 179.55 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 186.41 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 229.44 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 186.16 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Wilmington 261.74 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Northern Kentucky 285.09 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 178.87 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 246.21 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Old Dominion 183.08 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Penn State 225.26 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383
Pennsylvania 272.49 19 22 0.463 0.434 0.340
Pittsburgh 185.45 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Presbyterian 266.90 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina 277.86 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 238.54 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
St. Joseph's 272.09 31 23 0.574 0.485 0.408
Temple 280.70 0.000
Tennessee 278.86 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Towson 188.56 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305
Villanova 275.03 20 32 0.385 0.484 0.314
Western Carolina 269.67 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 152.32 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385
Winthrop 215.38 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 239.81 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377
Wright State 283.70 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 288.11 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393
Youngstown State 246.87 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation