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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Carolina

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:50 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.523
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.387


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 15 0.722 0.512 0.489 0.00179
Richmond neutral 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384 -0.00005
St. John's neutral 28 26 0.519 0.493 0.383 -0.00007
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00118
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00118
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 20 35 0.364 0.552 0.320 -0.00118
Niagara Western Carolina 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265 -0.00214
Niagara Western Carolina 16 37 0.302 0.456 0.265 -0.00214
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00112
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00112
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00112
Presbyterian Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00058
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00040
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00040
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410 0.00040
Gardner-Webb Western Carolina 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00072
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00042
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00042
Kansas State Kansas State 26 31 0.456 0.540 0.363 -0.00042
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00125
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345 -0.00074
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345 -0.00074
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345 -0.00074
Clemson Western Carolina 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00186
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00018
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00018
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00018
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00142
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00142
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306 -0.00142
Clemson Clemson 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00186
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00040
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00040
Samford Western Carolina 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00040
North Carolina-Asheville Western Carolina 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00226
Virginia Tech Western Carolina 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00147
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00205
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00205
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00205
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00072
Mercer Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098
Mercer Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098
Mercer Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378 -0.00016
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378 -0.00016
Furman Furman 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378 -0.00016
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392 0.00009
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00105
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00105
North Carolina-Greensboro Western Carolina 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447 0.00105
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00033
Kent State Kent State 43 13 0.768 0.446 0.495 0.00189
Kent State Kent State 43 13 0.768 0.446 0.495 0.00189
Wofford neutral 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 -0.00018
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00040
Mercer neutral 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098
Samford neutral 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410 0.00040
Mercer neutral 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098
Mercer neutral 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443 0.00098

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 104.48 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Clemson 46.94 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493
Davidson 132.51 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
East Tennessee State 83.39 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345
Furman 49.29 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Gardner-Webb 85.37 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
Georgia 94.67 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392
Georgia State 127.81 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 125.92 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Kennesaw State 118.34 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382
North Carolina-Asheville 40.71 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 137.70 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
Presbyterian 94.51 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina-Upstate 71.41 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
Tennessee 61.42 29 28 0.509 0.551 0.392
Tennessee Tech 144.14 31 24 0.564 0.441 0.392
Winthrop 124.63 28 27 0.509 0.481 0.375
Wofford 74.47 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 287.89 32 26 0.552 0.553 0.414
Alabama A&M 195.53 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Alabama State 270.28 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 241.20 21 34 0.382 0.555 0.330
Auburn 228.77 23 33 0.411 0.569 0.348
Austin Peay State 248.70 34 23 0.596 0.501 0.423
Belmont 210.26 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Campbell 250.58 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Charleston Southern 239.47 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Cincinnati 274.48 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Coastal Carolina 268.11 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512
College of Charleston 255.32 31 26 0.544 0.559 0.412
Duke 242.67 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445
Eastern Kentucky 179.34 24 31 0.436 0.474 0.337
Elon 213.49 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Georgia Southern 214.03 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431
High Point 184.82 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
Jacksonville State 179.46 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432
Kentucky 202.03 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Liberty 263.98 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Lipscomb 210.40 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Longwood 299.85 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Louisville 246.33 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Marshall 227.48 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Mercer 172.98 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443
Middle Tennessee State 182.98 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Morehead State 200.28 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
North Carolina 236.16 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458
North Carolina A&T 198.42 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 245.03 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 255.26 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Greensboro 196.24 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Northern Kentucky 267.03 20 34 0.370 0.467 0.302
Ohio 284.16 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Radford 194.35 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
Samford 242.10 35 26 0.574 0.494 0.410
Savannah State 256.84 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Carolina 151.72 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
The Citadel 253.08 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
Troy 289.86 32 26 0.552 0.527 0.408
VMI 269.67 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Vanderbilt 211.59 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Virginia Tech 202.82 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Wake Forest 173.99 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Western Kentucky 216.78 24 30 0.444 0.535 0.356
Xavier 275.33 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation