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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Carolina

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.479
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.512
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00190
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00190
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00190
Winthrop Western Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00042
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00003
Washington State Washington State 20 23 0.465 0.535 0.366 -0.00003
LaSalle Western Carolina 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00216
LaSalle Western Carolina 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00216
LaSalle Western Carolina 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00216
Clemson Western Carolina 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00164
North Florida neutral 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00040
Buffalo neutral 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00060
Georgia Georgia 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401 0.00073
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00162
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415 0.00103
Rider Western Carolina 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00223
Rider Western Carolina 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00223
Rider Western Carolina 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265 -0.00223
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00029
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00086
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00086
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00086
Wofford Western Carolina 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00001
Wofford Western Carolina 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00001
Wofford Western Carolina 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00001
North Carolina-Asheville Western Carolina 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00223
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00018
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00018
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 0.00018
Presbyterian Western Carolina 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00160
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00223
Furman Western Carolina 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00092
Furman Western Carolina 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00092
Furman Western Carolina 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00092
Winthrop Winthrop 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348 -0.00042
Tennessee Tennessee 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441 0.00160
The Citadel Western Carolina 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00079
The Citadel Western Carolina 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00079
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00164
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00134
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00134
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00134
Wake Forest neutral 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405 0.00082
Appalachian State Western Carolina 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00125
Appalachian State Western Carolina 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00125
Appalachian State Western Carolina 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00125

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 104.48 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Clemson 46.94 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 132.51 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 83.39 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Furman 49.29 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 85.37 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 94.67 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia State 127.81 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 125.92 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Kennesaw State 118.34 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
North Carolina-Asheville 40.71 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 137.70 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
Presbyterian 94.51 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina-Upstate 71.41 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 61.42 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 144.14 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Winthrop 124.63 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 74.47 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 287.89 31 18 0.633 0.571 0.459
Alabama A&M 195.53 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama State 270.28 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 241.20 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Auburn 228.77 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Austin Peay State 248.70 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 210.26 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Campbell 250.58 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Charleston Southern 239.47 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Cincinnati 274.48 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Coastal Carolina 268.11 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 255.32 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Duke 242.67 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
Eastern Kentucky 179.34 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Elon 213.49 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Georgia Southern 214.03 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
High Point 184.82 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Jacksonville State 179.46 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kentucky 202.03 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Liberty 263.98 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 210.40 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Longwood 299.85 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Louisville 246.33 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 227.48 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Mercer 172.98 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Middle Tennessee State 182.98 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Morehead State 200.28 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
North Carolina 236.16 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 198.42 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 245.03 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 255.26 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Greensboro 196.24 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Northern Kentucky 267.03 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 284.16 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Radford 194.35 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Samford 242.10 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Savannah State 256.84 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 151.72 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
The Citadel 253.08 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Troy 289.86 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345
VMI 269.67 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Vanderbilt 211.59 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 202.82 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wake Forest 173.99 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Western Kentucky 216.78 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Xavier 275.33 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation