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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Western Carolina

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:04 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.520
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.501
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507 0.00283
Richmond neutral 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00027
St. John's neutral 21 19 0.525 0.462 0.378 -0.00017
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00154
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00154
Louisiana-Monroe Western Carolina 16 28 0.364 0.547 0.319 -0.00154
Niagara Western Carolina 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00203
Niagara Western Carolina 15 26 0.366 0.461 0.298 -0.00203
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00227
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00227
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483 0.00227
Presbyterian Western Carolina 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378 -0.00017
Indiana Indiana 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00090
Indiana Indiana 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00090
Indiana Indiana 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00090
Gardner-Webb Western Carolina 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438 0.00123
Kansas State Kansas State 21 23 0.477 0.542 0.374 -0.00026
Kansas State Kansas State 21 23 0.477 0.542 0.374 -0.00026
Kansas State Kansas State 21 23 0.477 0.542 0.374 -0.00026
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00206
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00135
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00135
East Tennessee State Western Carolina 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00135
Clemson Western Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475 0.00209
Wofford Wofford 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402 0.00039
Wofford Wofford 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402 0.00039
Wofford Wofford 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402 0.00039
VMI VMI 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00182
VMI VMI 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00182
VMI VMI 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00182
Clemson Clemson 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475 0.00209
Samford Western Carolina 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425 0.00092
Samford Western Carolina 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425 0.00092
Samford Western Carolina 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425 0.00092
North Carolina-Asheville Western Carolina 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278 -0.00249
Virginia Tech Western Carolina 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301 -0.00196
The Citadel The Citadel 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290 -0.00222
The Citadel The Citadel 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290 -0.00222
The Citadel The Citadel 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290 -0.00222
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438 0.00123
Mercer Western Carolina 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435 0.00116
Mercer Western Carolina 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435 0.00116
Mercer Western Carolina 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435 0.00116

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 104.48 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Clemson 46.94 28 15 0.651 0.597 0.475
Davidson 132.51 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
East Tennessee State 83.39 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Furman 49.29 20 24 0.455 0.545 0.364
Gardner-Webb 85.37 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
Georgia 94.67 22 23 0.489 0.649 0.407
Georgia State 127.81 19 22 0.463 0.475 0.350
Georgia Tech 125.92 30 14 0.682 0.569 0.483
Kennesaw State 118.34 20 23 0.465 0.501 0.358
North Carolina-Asheville 40.71 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
North Carolina-Charlotte 137.70 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
Presbyterian 94.51 23 21 0.523 0.464 0.378
South Carolina-Upstate 71.41 18 23 0.439 0.452 0.333
Tennessee 61.42 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
Tennessee Tech 144.14 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
Winthrop 124.63 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382
Wofford 74.47 26 20 0.565 0.479 0.402

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 287.89 25 20 0.556 0.563 0.419
Alabama A&M 195.53 12 36 0.250 0.370 0.217
Alabama State 270.28 31 14 0.689 0.428 0.451
Alabama-Birmingham 241.20 18 24 0.429 0.583 0.360
Auburn 228.77 20 24 0.455 0.586 0.374
Austin Peay State 248.70 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Belmont 210.26 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Campbell 250.58 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Charleston Southern 239.47 15 26 0.366 0.478 0.302
Cincinnati 274.48 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Coastal Carolina 268.11 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
College of Charleston 255.32 23 19 0.548 0.552 0.412
Duke 242.67 25 20 0.556 0.581 0.423
Eastern Kentucky 179.34 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
Elon 213.49 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
Georgia Southern 214.03 27 18 0.600 0.467 0.417
High Point 184.82 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
Jacksonville State 179.46 28 15 0.651 0.522 0.456
Kentucky 202.03 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Liberty 263.98 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Lipscomb 210.40 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Longwood 299.85 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Louisville 246.33 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Marshall 227.48 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Mercer 172.98 28 17 0.622 0.498 0.435
Middle Tennessee State 182.98 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Morehead State 200.28 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
North Carolina 236.16 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 198.42 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina Central 245.03 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 255.26 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
North Carolina-Greensboro 196.24 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
Northern Kentucky 267.03 16 29 0.356 0.468 0.295
Ohio 284.16 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Radford 194.35 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Samford 242.10 26 19 0.578 0.544 0.425
Savannah State 256.84 11 34 0.244 0.463 0.238
South Carolina 151.72 34 9 0.791 0.582 0.541
The Citadel 253.08 15 30 0.333 0.493 0.290
Troy 289.86 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417
VMI 269.67 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Vanderbilt 211.59 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Virginia Tech 202.82 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wake Forest 173.99 27 17 0.614 0.562 0.448
Western Kentucky 216.78 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
Xavier 275.33 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation