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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Winthrop

Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.477
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3595


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00194
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00194
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00194
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.457 0.253 -0.00194
South Carolina South Carolina 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501 0.00257
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00161
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00161
Alabama State Alabama State 38 17 0.691 0.409 0.448 0.00161
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00175
Rhode Island Winthrop 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00063
Rhode Island Winthrop 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00063
Rhode Island Winthrop 31 27 0.534 0.507 0.394 0.00063
Clemson Clemson 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00235
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00005
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00005
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00005
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00230
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 0.00023
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 0.00023
Stetson Stetson 29 31 0.483 0.522 0.372 0.00023
East Tennessee State Winthrop 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00028
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00099
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00099
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00099
North Carolina A&T Winthrop 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233 -0.00230
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00061
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00061
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393 0.00061
North Carolina-Charlotte Winthrop 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00030
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00010
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00010
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00010
Wofford Winthrop 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00032
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00112
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00112
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298 -0.00112
Davidson Winthrop 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00039
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377 0.00032
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00185
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00185
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00185
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 0.00039
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344 -0.00028
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00101
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00101
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304 -0.00101
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269 -0.00165
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00054
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00054
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00054
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00125
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00125
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00125
Longwood neutral 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00054
High Point neutral 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00099

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 95.31 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 132.86 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Charleston Southern 146.16 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 105.44 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 148.66 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
Davidson 39.84 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 137.49 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Tennessee State 120.80 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 116.91 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Furman 80.66 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 42.13 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 91.50 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
North Carolina 129.50 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 104.93 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 139.69 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 144.04 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Asheville 99.05 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 29.61 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 102.95 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Presbyterian 58.52 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina 66.34 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
South Carolina-Upstate 54.01 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
Wake Forest 92.46 35 27 0.565 0.568 0.424
Western Carolina 124.63 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wofford 51.68 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
College of Charleston 161.79 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
East Carolina 210.75 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Eastern Kentucky 265.51 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
Georgia 151.42 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 179.30 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 205.35 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 208.76 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
Jacksonville State 282.08 34 24 0.586 0.514 0.421
James Madison 269.43 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kennesaw State 212.44 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 287.53 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Liberty 195.43 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 218.46 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Marshall 237.51 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Mercer 210.32 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Morehead State 261.09 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Norfolk State 296.77 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Wilmington 185.79 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Old Dominion 295.55 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Radford 153.76 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Richmond 265.72 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 201.77 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
Tennessee 177.88 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 266.54 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
The Citadel 160.79 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
VMI 215.38 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia 255.38 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 268.56 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
Virginia Tech 160.48 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
William and Mary 288.82 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation