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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Winthrop

Last updated: Mon May 30 06:46:50 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.481
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3615


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00195
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00195
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00195
LaSalle Winthrop 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00195
South Carolina South Carolina 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510 0.00270
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00177
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00177
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.401 0.459 0.00177
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458 0.00175
Rhode Island Winthrop 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397 0.00065
Rhode Island Winthrop 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397 0.00065
Rhode Island Winthrop 30 25 0.545 0.497 0.397 0.00065
Clemson Clemson 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493 0.00239
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00008
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00008
Miami, Ohio Winthrop 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00008
North Carolina A&T North Carolina A&T 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00232
Stetson Stetson 29 29 0.500 0.517 0.379 0.00032
Stetson Stetson 29 29 0.500 0.517 0.379 0.00032
Stetson Stetson 29 29 0.500 0.517 0.379 0.00032
East Tennessee State Winthrop 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345 -0.00030
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00095
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00095
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00095
North Carolina A&T Winthrop 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234 -0.00232
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00059
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00059
Liberty Winthrop 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394 0.00059
North Carolina-Charlotte Winthrop 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344 -0.00032
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00014
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00014
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354 -0.00014
Wofford Winthrop 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00028
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299 -0.00114
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299 -0.00114
Radford Winthrop 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299 -0.00114
Davidson Winthrop 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00037
Wofford Wofford 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377 0.00028
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00188
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00188
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258 -0.00188
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382 0.00037
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345 -0.00030
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00103
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00103
Charleston Southern Winthrop 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305 -0.00103
The Citadel The Citadel 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270 -0.00166
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00050
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00050
Longwood Winthrop 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00050
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00121
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00121
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428 0.00121
Longwood neutral 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 0.00050
High Point neutral 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414 0.00095

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 95.31 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Campbell 132.86 26 27 0.491 0.513 0.374
Charleston Southern 146.16 19 33 0.365 0.489 0.305
Clemson 105.44 41 18 0.695 0.583 0.493
Coastal Carolina 148.66 44 15 0.746 0.557 0.512
Davidson 39.84 28 26 0.519 0.488 0.382
Duke 137.49 33 22 0.600 0.580 0.445
East Tennessee State 120.80 27 30 0.474 0.431 0.345
Elon 116.91 25 29 0.463 0.490 0.354
Furman 80.66 29 30 0.492 0.529 0.378
Gardner-Webb 42.13 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 91.50 32 24 0.571 0.515 0.414
North Carolina 129.50 34 21 0.618 0.595 0.458
North Carolina A&T 104.93 13 41 0.241 0.456 0.234
North Carolina Central 139.69 24 30 0.444 0.399 0.322
North Carolina State 144.04 35 20 0.636 0.615 0.472
North Carolina-Asheville 99.05 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 29.61 23 32 0.418 0.539 0.344
North Carolina-Greensboro 102.95 38 21 0.644 0.501 0.447
Presbyterian 58.52 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
South Carolina 66.34 42 15 0.737 0.566 0.510
South Carolina-Upstate 54.01 22 30 0.423 0.478 0.331
Wake Forest 92.46 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430
Western Carolina 124.63 28 29 0.491 0.523 0.376
Wofford 51.68 30 28 0.517 0.475 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
College of Charleston 161.79 31 26 0.544 0.559 0.412
East Carolina 210.75 34 21 0.618 0.550 0.447
Eastern Kentucky 265.51 24 31 0.436 0.474 0.337
Georgia 151.42 27 30 0.474 0.622 0.392
Georgia Southern 179.30 36 23 0.610 0.506 0.431
Georgia State 205.35 23 30 0.434 0.481 0.337
Georgia Tech 208.76 36 23 0.610 0.584 0.451
Jacksonville State 282.08 34 22 0.607 0.514 0.432
James Madison 269.43 24 31 0.436 0.509 0.345
Kennesaw State 212.44 29 27 0.518 0.492 0.382
Kentucky 287.53 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Liberty 195.43 31 28 0.525 0.524 0.394
Longwood 218.46 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
Marshall 237.51 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Mercer 210.32 38 21 0.644 0.484 0.443
Morehead State 261.09 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Norfolk State 296.77 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Wilmington 185.79 39 15 0.722 0.512 0.489
Old Dominion 295.55 32 24 0.571 0.523 0.416
Radford 153.76 19 39 0.328 0.540 0.299
Richmond 265.72 28 24 0.538 0.458 0.384
Savannah State 201.77 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
Tennessee 177.88 29 28 0.509 0.551 0.392
Tennessee Tech 266.54 31 24 0.564 0.441 0.392
The Citadel 160.79 17 42 0.288 0.503 0.270
VMI 215.38 21 35 0.375 0.476 0.306
Virginia 255.38 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470
Virginia Commonwealth 268.56 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
Virginia Tech 160.48 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
William and Mary 288.82 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation