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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wright State

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:56 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.477
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.504
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3645


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00017
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00017
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00017
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00017
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00169
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00169
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00169
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00079
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 0.00079
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 0.00040
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 0.00040
Georgia Georgia 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390 0.00040
Xavier Wright State 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00045
Dayton Dayton 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00113
Eastern Michigan Wright State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00069
Eastern Michigan Wright State 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321 -0.00069
Louisville Louisville 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00271
Youngstown State Wright State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00167
Youngstown State Wright State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00167
Youngstown State Wright State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00167
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Xavier Xavier 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393 0.00045
Northern Kentucky Wright State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00101
Northern Kentucky Wright State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00101
Northern Kentucky Wright State 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00101
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 0.00004
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00028
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00028
Cincinnati neutral 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 0.00004
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00012
Toledo Wright State 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00115
Toledo Wright State 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00115
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00115
Bowling Green State Wright State 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269 -0.00152
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00167
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00167
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00101
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00101
Oakland Wright State 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Oakland Wright State 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Oakland Wright State 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Valparaiso Wright State 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Valparaiso Wright State 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Oakland Oakland 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00040
Toledo Toledo 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00115
Illinois-Chicago Wright State 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago Wright State 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wright State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00028
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wright State 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00028
Dayton Wright State 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293 -0.00113
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago neutral 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00037
Wisconsin-Milwaukee neutral 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00028
Valparaiso neutral 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00020
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00169
Western Michigan neutral 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315 -0.00079
Louisville neutral 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00271
Ohio State neutral 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00169

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 78.64 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bowling Green State 112.40 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 112.61 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Cincinnati 51.68 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 8.99 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Kentucky 142.24 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
IPFW 107.58 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Indiana 138.30 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Kentucky 123.83 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Louisville 142.80 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 41.04 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Morehead State 114.94 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Northern Kentucky 56.87 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Ohio 108.04 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Ohio State 56.31 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Toledo 130.41 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Xavier 49.49 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 160.34 0.000
Appalachian State 278.16 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Austin Peay State 287.47 34 23 0.596 0.497 0.422
Belmont 292.41 33 27 0.550 0.451 0.388
Bradley 299.29 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Central Michigan 264.67 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Chicago State 229.15 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
East Tennessee State 256.95 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Eastern Illinois 220.97 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 172.08 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 225.33 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Illinois 222.58 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 266.33 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 236.86 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Indiana State 180.51 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
James Madison 292.14 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kent State 170.08 43 14 0.754 0.444 0.488
Lipscomb 295.30 31 27 0.534 0.458 0.382
Marshall 163.49 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Michigan 172.27 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 204.89 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Middle Tennessee State 299.82 20 35 0.364 0.539 0.317
North Carolina-Asheville 299.05 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northern Illinois 288.44 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 247.13 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 174.56 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Oakland 204.24 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Pittsburgh 220.37 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Purdue 159.45 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Radford 263.56 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Tennessee 265.10 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 261.73 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
VMI 283.70 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Valparaiso 194.70 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Vanderbilt 293.10 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488
Virginia Tech 264.22 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
West Virginia 216.05 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Kentucky 233.57 24 30 0.444 0.530 0.355
Western Michigan 190.78 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Youngstown State 199.28 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation