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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wright State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.431
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.521
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Belmont Belmont 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385 0.00098
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00082
Toledo neutral 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313 -0.00082
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00153
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00153
Mississippi Mississippi 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00153
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00398
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00398
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00398
Missouri State neutral 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00426
Missouri State neutral 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00426
Missouri State neutral 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00426
Xavier Wright State 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00212
Xavier Wright State 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00212
Oakland Wright State 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Oakland Wright State 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Oakland Wright State 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Northern Kentucky Wright State 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00149
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wright State 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00168
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wright State 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00168
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wright State 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00168
Miami, Ohio Wright State 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00309
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286 -0.00149
Valparaiso Valparaiso 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00079
Valparaiso Valparaiso 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314 -0.00079
Cincinnati Wright State 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00124
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00086
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00086
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00086
Youngstown State Wright State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174
Youngstown State Wright State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174
Youngstown State Wright State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174
Miami, Ohio neutral 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00309
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00124
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Oakland Oakland 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249 -0.00242
Dayton Wright State 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251 -0.00237
Miami, Ohio Wright State 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00309
Youngstown State Youngstown State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174
Youngstown State Youngstown State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174
Youngstown State Youngstown State 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276 -0.00174

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 78.64 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 112.40 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 112.61 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 51.68 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 8.99 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Kentucky 142.24 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
IPFW 107.58 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Indiana 138.30 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Kentucky 123.83 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 142.80 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 41.04 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 114.94 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 56.87 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Ohio 108.04 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 56.31 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Toledo 130.41 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Xavier 49.49 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 160.34 19 20 0.487 0.457 0.358
Appalachian State 278.16 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Austin Peay State 287.47 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 292.41 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bradley 299.29 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Central Michigan 264.67 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Chicago State 229.15 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
East Tennessee State 256.95 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 220.97 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Michigan 172.08 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 225.33 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Illinois 222.58 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 266.33 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 236.86 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana State 180.51 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
James Madison 292.14 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kent State 170.08 22 16 0.579 0.499 0.414
Lipscomb 295.30 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Marshall 163.49 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Michigan 172.27 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 204.89 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Middle Tennessee State 299.82 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
North Carolina-Asheville 299.05 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Northern Illinois 288.44 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 247.13 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Notre Dame 174.56 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Oakland 204.24 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Pittsburgh 220.37 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Purdue 159.45 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Radford 263.56 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Tennessee 265.10 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 261.73 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
VMI 283.70 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Valparaiso 194.70 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 293.10 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia Tech 264.22 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
West Virginia 216.05 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Kentucky 233.57 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Western Michigan 190.78 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Youngstown State 199.28 11 25 0.306 0.494 0.276

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation