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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Xavier

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:25 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.518
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.498
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3835


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arizona State Arizona State 25 15 0.625 0.531 0.445 0.00143
Arizona State Arizona State 25 15 0.625 0.531 0.445 0.00143
Arizona State Arizona State 25 15 0.625 0.531 0.445 0.00143
Arizona State Arizona State 25 15 0.625 0.531 0.445 0.00143
Mercer Mercer 27 17 0.614 0.493 0.430 0.00108
Mercer Mercer 27 17 0.614 0.493 0.430 0.00108
Mercer Mercer 27 17 0.614 0.493 0.430 0.00108
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00120
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00120
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.448 0.332 -0.00120
Wright State Wright State 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00187
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00310
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00310
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00310
Louisville Louisville 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543 0.00371
Miami, Ohio Xavier 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371 -0.00029
Central Michigan Xavier 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00327
Central Michigan Xavier 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00327
Central Michigan Xavier 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243 -0.00327
Ohio State Ohio State 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444 0.00141
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00006
Cincinnati Cincinnati 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00006
Cincinnati Xavier 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00006
Wright State Xavier 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464 0.00187
Kentucky Kentucky 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443 0.00138
Illinois State Illinois State 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00238
Illinois State Illinois State 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00238
Illinois State Illinois State 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281 -0.00238
Ball State Ball State 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409 0.00059
Morehead State Xavier 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411 0.00064
Morehead State Xavier 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411 0.00064
Morehead State Xavier 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411 0.00064
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371 -0.00029
Cincinnati neutral 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381 -0.00006
Georgetown Georgetown 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 -0.00059
Georgetown Georgetown 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 -0.00059
Georgetown Georgetown 21 24 0.467 0.498 0.358 -0.00059
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00224
Indiana Xavier 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420 0.00085
St. John's Xavier 21 19 0.525 0.460 0.378 -0.00013
St. John's Xavier 21 19 0.525 0.460 0.378 -0.00013
St. John's Xavier 21 19 0.525 0.460 0.378 -0.00013
Butler Butler 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244 -0.00324
Butler Butler 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244 -0.00324
Butler Butler 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244 -0.00324

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 89.23 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Butler 102.14 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Cincinnati 2.44 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 42.93 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 98.19 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
IPFW 139.97 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Indiana 109.36 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Kentucky 77.58 26 17 0.605 0.560 0.443
Louisville 95.23 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 28.55 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Morehead State 87.10 25 19 0.568 0.510 0.411
Northern Kentucky 8.47 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Ohio 127.28 17 23 0.425 0.440 0.323
Ohio State 97.44 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Wright State 49.49 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 205.44 0.000
Appalachian State 253.73 13 31 0.295 0.501 0.273
Austin Peay State 239.28 26 16 0.619 0.531 0.442
Belmont 243.05 24 19 0.558 0.420 0.384
Bowling Green State 160.45 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Bradley 291.36 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Chicago State 241.89 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
East Tennessee State 227.66 18 24 0.429 0.424 0.321
Eastern Illinois 199.29 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Eastern Michigan 219.02 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Evansville 183.97 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
Illinois 210.13 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 257.80 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Illinois-Chicago 250.88 16 23 0.410 0.468 0.322
Indiana State 158.74 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Kent State 215.00 31 11 0.738 0.451 0.482
Lipscomb 245.93 23 21 0.523 0.443 0.372
Marshall 163.34 24 17 0.585 0.523 0.423
Michigan 218.80 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 247.47 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Middle Tennessee State 250.36 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Murray State 272.63 20 22 0.476 0.482 0.358
North Carolina-Asheville 265.57 14 27 0.341 0.430 0.278
Northern Illinois 296.71 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 262.81 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Notre Dame 198.56 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 252.23 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Pittsburgh 255.57 21 16 0.568 0.561 0.424
Purdue 158.21 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Radford 255.15 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Southern Illinois 275.49 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.62 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
Tennessee 223.19 24 20 0.545 0.555 0.411
Tennessee Tech 213.08 22 19 0.537 0.418 0.373
Toledo 178.25 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
VMI 288.11 18 29 0.383 0.480 0.311
Valparaiso 208.82 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Vanderbilt 243.76 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517
Virginia Tech 257.38 15 29 0.341 0.538 0.305
West Virginia 242.26 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 275.33 22 20 0.524 0.516 0.391
Western Kentucky 184.56 24 20 0.545 0.528 0.405
Western Michigan 224.44 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Youngstown State 242.88 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation