Boyd's World-> Preseason Projected RPI's for the 2023 Season | About the author, Boyd Nation |
Preseason Projected RPI's for the 2023 Season
This is an experiment; it may mean absolutely nothing. However, since I strongly believe in the benefits of transparent, open-source algorithm and method development, you get to watch along. What I'm attempting to do is to use an ISR projection coupled with the ISR probability formula to project the RPI's for the next season. Don't take these too seriously, but let's find out if this works; if it does, it could prove quite useful down the road. As a reminder for anyone who's wandered in just for this, the ISR is much more accurate, but the RPI is what's used by the selection committee (and is therefore key for scheduling purposes).
The best projection I've found so far for the current year's ISR is a graduated average of the last three year's ISR's: ISRn = .6 * ISRn-1 + .3 * ISRn-2 + .1 * ISRn-3.
This method then takes that and the current year's schedule and uses the ISR probability formula (*) to project their win-loss record (D1 games only, since that's all that either the RPI or ISR count) and their RPI adjusted win-loss record. From there, it's straightforward to compute the OWP and then the OOWP for each team, which all adds up to the RPI.
Now, there's obviously a good chance that this isn't going to work all that well; if a team's ISR projection is too far off, then that's going to propagate through the whole system. I have some other ideas that I might play with down the road. For now, though, we'll just watch this and see what it does. Even if the system as a whole doesn't work as a projection; it's still useful in drawing attention to teams who have underscheduled, for example, and are really going to have to run the table in order to have a chance at keeping their RPI up.
2/17/2023 - I've updated these, correcting an error that was suppressing expectations for teams that didn't play in 2021.
10/6/2023 - A quick retrospective analysis: These worked well enough to do them again next year. The correlation coefficient for RPI ordinal rankings between these and the regular season RPI was .765; the correlation coefficient between these and regular season winning percentage was .695. In other words, these provide useful information for last-minute scheduling but aren't close enough to make playing the season pointless, which is good. I have a theory that in ordinary times, there might be a better predictor of winning percentage based on a multi-year average, but the mess that was 2020 and 2021 makes that difficult to test at this point.
(*) As another reminder, in the ISR probability formula, the odds of team
1 beating team 2 are
P1 = .5 + (ISR1 - ISR2) * .02 +/ .05
with the .05 at the end being a plus for home games and a minus for road
games.
Team | RPI # | RPI | AWP | OWP | OOWP | AW | AL | W | L |
Abilene Christian | 159 | 0.494 | 0.444 | 0.515 | 0.504 | 23.6 | 29.5 | 27 | 28 |
Air Force | 90 | 0.527 | 0.601 | 0.498 | 0.512 | 28.2 | 18.8 | 29 | 22 |
Akron | 282 | 0.421 | 0.212 | 0.500 | 0.472 | 9.7 | 36.1 | 9 | 41 |
Alabama | 47 | 0.564 | 0.543 | 0.582 | 0.547 | 27.7 | 23.3 | 32 | 23 |
Alabama A&M | 288 | 0.407 | 0.272 | 0.453 | 0.450 | 12.3 | 32.9 | 12 | 35 |
Alabama State | 210 | 0.468 | 0.548 | 0.429 | 0.468 | 27.8 | 22.9 | 30 | 23 |
Alabama-Birmingham | 123 | 0.509 | 0.386 | 0.563 | 0.524 | 20.6 | 32.8 | 22 | 33 |
Albany | 226 | 0.460 | 0.432 | 0.476 | 0.457 | 18.9 | 24.8 | 19 | 28 |
Alcorn State | 301 | 0.351 | 0.140 | 0.420 | 0.424 | 5.9 | 36.2 | 7 | 36 |
Appalachian State | 161 | 0.494 | 0.409 | 0.521 | 0.523 | 19.7 | 28.4 | 22 | 28 |
Arizona | 34 | 0.573 | 0.628 | 0.566 | 0.530 | 30.0 | 17.8 | 35 | 18 |
Arizona State | 80 | 0.534 | 0.509 | 0.546 | 0.537 | 27.3 | 26.4 | 30 | 26 |
Arkansas | 1 | 0.616 | 0.693 | 0.618 | 0.536 | 34.2 | 15.1 | 41 | 15 |
Arkansas State | 224 | 0.461 | 0.286 | 0.521 | 0.515 | 14.6 | 36.4 | 18 | 36 |
Arkansas-Little Rock | 168 | 0.491 | 0.538 | 0.469 | 0.489 | 24.8 | 21.3 | 28 | 22 |
Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 297 | 0.382 | 0.267 | 0.413 | 0.437 | 12.0 | 32.9 | 12 | 35 |
Army | 153 | 0.496 | 0.581 | 0.466 | 0.469 | 26.9 | 19.4 | 27 | 23 |
Auburn | 33 | 0.573 | 0.603 | 0.566 | 0.556 | 31.0 | 20.4 | 35 | 21 |
Austin Peay State | 232 | 0.458 | 0.321 | 0.501 | 0.507 | 15.2 | 32.2 | 17 | 35 |
Ball State | 81 | 0.534 | 0.779 | 0.435 | 0.488 | 39.7 | 11.2 | 41 | 13 |
Baylor | 60 | 0.548 | 0.552 | 0.559 | 0.523 | 25.9 | 21.1 | 30 | 21 |
Bellarmine | 281 | 0.424 | 0.184 | 0.510 | 0.493 | 8.1 | 36.0 | 9 | 41 |
Belmont | 136 | 0.505 | 0.563 | 0.472 | 0.513 | 23.6 | 18.4 | 25 | 21 |
Bethune-Cookman | 236 | 0.455 | 0.467 | 0.442 | 0.470 | 24.5 | 28.0 | 27 | 29 |
Binghamton | 255 | 0.443 | 0.482 | 0.402 | 0.486 | 21.9 | 23.6 | 24 | 25 |
Boston College | 99 | 0.524 | 0.383 | 0.591 | 0.530 | 20.0 | 32.2 | 21 | 34 |
Bowling Green State | 245 | 0.448 | 0.319 | 0.498 | 0.479 | 15.2 | 32.5 | 15 | 38 |
Bradley | 128 | 0.508 | 0.470 | 0.535 | 0.494 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 21 | 28 |
Brigham Young | 83 | 0.533 | 0.603 | 0.509 | 0.510 | 31.2 | 20.5 | 31 | 23 |
Brown | 251 | 0.444 | 0.325 | 0.480 | 0.490 | 12.8 | 26.6 | 14 | 26 |
Bryant | 126 | 0.509 | 0.585 | 0.490 | 0.471 | 27.9 | 19.8 | 27 | 24 |
Bucknell | 263 | 0.439 | 0.404 | 0.446 | 0.461 | 17.5 | 25.9 | 18 | 28 |
Butler | 217 | 0.466 | 0.312 | 0.538 | 0.477 | 15.4 | 33.8 | 16 | 40 |
CSU Bakersfield | 241 | 0.453 | 0.342 | 0.483 | 0.503 | 16.2 | 31.2 | 19 | 33 |
Cal Poly | 100 | 0.523 | 0.571 | 0.503 | 0.515 | 31.2 | 23.5 | 33 | 23 |
Cal State Fullerton | 164 | 0.493 | 0.334 | 0.562 | 0.515 | 17.6 | 35.2 | 19 | 34 |
Cal State Northridge | 111 | 0.517 | 0.587 | 0.488 | 0.505 | 30.2 | 21.3 | 31 | 22 |
California | 61 | 0.548 | 0.520 | 0.569 | 0.533 | 27.4 | 25.3 | 29 | 26 |
California Baptist | 86 | 0.529 | 0.646 | 0.482 | 0.504 | 32.1 | 17.6 | 34 | 19 |
Campbell | 49 | 0.561 | 0.737 | 0.499 | 0.510 | 39.6 | 14.1 | 39 | 16 |
Canisius | 169 | 0.490 | 0.658 | 0.422 | 0.459 | 30.0 | 15.6 | 30 | 20 |
Central Arkansas | 202 | 0.474 | 0.444 | 0.473 | 0.505 | 21.4 | 26.8 | 24 | 28 |
Central Connecticut State | 145 | 0.501 | 0.729 | 0.414 | 0.447 | 32.5 | 12.1 | 32 | 14 |
Central Florida | 72 | 0.541 | 0.559 | 0.538 | 0.530 | 29.3 | 23.1 | 33 | 23 |
Central Michigan | 62 | 0.547 | 0.780 | 0.461 | 0.483 | 41.0 | 11.5 | 38 | 14 |
Charleston Southern | 222 | 0.462 | 0.355 | 0.495 | 0.504 | 16.7 | 30.3 | 18 | 33 |
Cincinnati | 115 | 0.513 | 0.519 | 0.503 | 0.527 | 26.1 | 24.2 | 28 | 26 |
Clemson | 32 | 0.574 | 0.549 | 0.600 | 0.545 | 28.7 | 23.6 | 33 | 23 |
Coastal Carolina | 26 | 0.577 | 0.584 | 0.598 | 0.528 | 31.3 | 22.3 | 34 | 22 |
College of Charleston | 89 | 0.528 | 0.634 | 0.485 | 0.508 | 33.8 | 19.5 | 37 | 19 |
Columbia | 68 | 0.543 | 0.662 | 0.503 | 0.503 | 26.9 | 13.7 | 26 | 17 |
Connecticut | 40 | 0.568 | 0.803 | 0.482 | 0.506 | 43.7 | 10.7 | 45 | 13 |
Coppin State | 292 | 0.391 | 0.310 | 0.409 | 0.437 | 14.1 | 31.5 | 15 | 35 |
Cornell | 239 | 0.453 | 0.336 | 0.501 | 0.473 | 10.6 | 21.1 | 11 | 25 |
Creighton | 91 | 0.527 | 0.627 | 0.485 | 0.509 | 32.6 | 19.5 | 34 | 19 |
Dallas Baptist | 38 | 0.570 | 0.695 | 0.531 | 0.524 | 34.4 | 15.1 | 38 | 17 |
Dartmouth | 193 | 0.478 | 0.498 | 0.460 | 0.495 | 19.8 | 20.0 | 20 | 22 |
Davidson | 92 | 0.526 | 0.654 | 0.481 | 0.490 | 32.1 | 17.0 | 35 | 17 |
Dayton | 170 | 0.490 | 0.522 | 0.476 | 0.486 | 26.8 | 24.6 | 27 | 29 |
Delaware | 204 | 0.471 | 0.375 | 0.510 | 0.489 | 18.2 | 30.3 | 21 | 32 |
Delaware State | 290 | 0.399 | 0.363 | 0.396 | 0.440 | 14.9 | 26.1 | 15 | 28 |
Duke | 65 | 0.545 | 0.505 | 0.565 | 0.544 | 26.0 | 25.5 | 31 | 25 |
East Carolina | 10 | 0.592 | 0.728 | 0.557 | 0.524 | 37.1 | 13.8 | 41 | 14 |
East Tennessee State | 117 | 0.511 | 0.507 | 0.517 | 0.505 | 25.5 | 24.8 | 27 | 26 |
Eastern Illinois | 137 | 0.504 | 0.616 | 0.451 | 0.498 | 26.4 | 16.4 | 24 | 20 |
Eastern Kentucky | 154 | 0.495 | 0.531 | 0.472 | 0.506 | 26.5 | 23.4 | 28 | 24 |
Eastern Michigan | 265 | 0.436 | 0.422 | 0.426 | 0.471 | 21.2 | 29.1 | 21 | 31 |
Elon | 122 | 0.509 | 0.563 | 0.487 | 0.501 | 29.2 | 22.7 | 31 | 23 |
Evansville | 103 | 0.521 | 0.629 | 0.479 | 0.499 | 32.8 | 19.4 | 34 | 22 |
Fairfield | 96 | 0.525 | 0.750 | 0.441 | 0.466 | 38.8 | 12.9 | 37 | 16 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 291 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.368 | 0.442 | 19.3 | 28.5 | 20 | 29 |
Florida | 22 | 0.580 | 0.625 | 0.570 | 0.555 | 30.9 | 18.6 | 37 | 18 |
Florida A&M | 209 | 0.469 | 0.456 | 0.483 | 0.454 | 23.6 | 28.2 | 26 | 27 |
Florida Atlantic | 76 | 0.538 | 0.536 | 0.545 | 0.524 | 28.6 | 24.7 | 32 | 24 |
Florida Gulf Coast | 74 | 0.541 | 0.678 | 0.483 | 0.518 | 35.2 | 16.8 | 36 | 17 |
Florida International | 201 | 0.475 | 0.275 | 0.557 | 0.512 | 15.0 | 39.6 | 18 | 38 |
Florida State | 13 | 0.589 | 0.586 | 0.612 | 0.548 | 29.6 | 20.9 | 33 | 22 |
Fordham | 238 | 0.453 | 0.355 | 0.493 | 0.472 | 18.2 | 33.2 | 20 | 36 |
Fresno State | 140 | 0.502 | 0.468 | 0.518 | 0.504 | 23.0 | 26.2 | 26 | 25 |
Gardner-Webb | 206 | 0.470 | 0.476 | 0.454 | 0.496 | 24.2 | 26.6 | 28 | 28 |
George Mason | 254 | 0.443 | 0.439 | 0.428 | 0.477 | 22.3 | 28.4 | 25 | 30 |
George Washington | 188 | 0.480 | 0.435 | 0.506 | 0.471 | 23.5 | 30.6 | 25 | 31 |
Georgetown | 218 | 0.466 | 0.458 | 0.460 | 0.485 | 23.7 | 28.0 | 26 | 30 |
Georgia | 31 | 0.574 | 0.582 | 0.577 | 0.559 | 29.9 | 21.4 | 34 | 22 |
Georgia Southern | 30 | 0.574 | 0.643 | 0.558 | 0.537 | 33.7 | 18.7 | 36 | 19 |
Georgia State | 127 | 0.509 | 0.437 | 0.533 | 0.532 | 23.0 | 29.7 | 26 | 30 |
Georgia Tech | 18 | 0.585 | 0.611 | 0.593 | 0.544 | 31.9 | 20.3 | 36 | 20 |
Gonzaga | 29 | 0.575 | 0.670 | 0.549 | 0.532 | 33.5 | 16.5 | 34 | 18 |
Grambling State | 250 | 0.445 | 0.506 | 0.414 | 0.445 | 24.8 | 24.2 | 25 | 28 |
Grand Canyon | 58 | 0.549 | 0.647 | 0.521 | 0.506 | 35.2 | 19.2 | 37 | 19 |
Hartford | 259 | 0.441 | 0.354 | 0.483 | 0.446 | 12.7 | 23.3 | 11 | 29 |
Harvard | 155 | 0.495 | 0.570 | 0.451 | 0.509 | 22.0 | 16.6 | 22 | 18 |
Hawaii | 133 | 0.507 | 0.465 | 0.531 | 0.500 | 22.6 | 26.0 | 25 | 25 |
High Point | 220 | 0.466 | 0.361 | 0.504 | 0.495 | 19.1 | 33.9 | 22 | 34 |
Hofstra | 163 | 0.493 | 0.477 | 0.503 | 0.490 | 24.8 | 27.1 | 25 | 31 |
Holy Cross | 285 | 0.409 | 0.314 | 0.430 | 0.462 | 15.5 | 33.9 | 16 | 35 |
Houston | 120 | 0.511 | 0.527 | 0.493 | 0.530 | 28.9 | 25.9 | 31 | 25 |
Houston Christian | 229 | 0.458 | 0.333 | 0.503 | 0.494 | 17.4 | 34.8 | 17 | 38 |
IPFW | 276 | 0.428 | 0.312 | 0.470 | 0.458 | 16.2 | 35.7 | 16 | 40 |
Illinois | 98 | 0.524 | 0.548 | 0.512 | 0.524 | 25.9 | 21.4 | 28 | 23 |
Illinois State | 167 | 0.491 | 0.506 | 0.480 | 0.499 | 26.3 | 25.7 | 26 | 28 |
Illinois-Chicago | 192 | 0.478 | 0.470 | 0.473 | 0.499 | 25.2 | 28.4 | 26 | 30 |
Incarnate Word | 180 | 0.483 | 0.457 | 0.491 | 0.492 | 22.9 | 27.2 | 24 | 28 |
Indiana | 94 | 0.525 | 0.532 | 0.530 | 0.509 | 26.6 | 23.4 | 30 | 24 |
Indiana State | 59 | 0.548 | 0.630 | 0.529 | 0.505 | 33.0 | 19.4 | 33 | 22 |
Iona | 294 | 0.390 | 0.209 | 0.450 | 0.450 | 9.1 | 34.3 | 9 | 43 |
Iowa | 77 | 0.538 | 0.676 | 0.484 | 0.506 | 32.1 | 15.4 | 35 | 16 |
Jackson State | 223 | 0.462 | 0.623 | 0.386 | 0.452 | 28.0 | 17.0 | 28 | 18 |
Jacksonville | 150 | 0.498 | 0.505 | 0.490 | 0.506 | 25.3 | 24.8 | 30 | 25 |
Jacksonville State | 152 | 0.496 | 0.450 | 0.507 | 0.517 | 20.9 | 25.5 | 23 | 25 |
James Madison | 149 | 0.498 | 0.389 | 0.542 | 0.521 | 20.7 | 32.6 | 22 | 34 |
Kansas | 129 | 0.508 | 0.433 | 0.535 | 0.528 | 22.6 | 29.6 | 24 | 31 |
Kansas State | 69 | 0.542 | 0.529 | 0.559 | 0.522 | 27.7 | 24.7 | 29 | 25 |
Kennesaw State | 85 | 0.529 | 0.540 | 0.529 | 0.516 | 27.8 | 23.6 | 32 | 23 |
Kent State | 172 | 0.488 | 0.535 | 0.470 | 0.477 | 26.9 | 23.4 | 28 | 26 |
Kentucky | 35 | 0.572 | 0.513 | 0.618 | 0.539 | 25.9 | 24.6 | 29 | 25 |
LIU-Brooklyn | 196 | 0.477 | 0.641 | 0.405 | 0.457 | 30.4 | 17.0 | 31 | 19 |
Lafayette | 261 | 0.440 | 0.359 | 0.474 | 0.451 | 15.1 | 27.0 | 14 | 33 |
Lamar | 156 | 0.495 | 0.576 | 0.456 | 0.493 | 30.1 | 22.2 | 32 | 24 |
Lehigh | 269 | 0.435 | 0.540 | 0.378 | 0.444 | 25.4 | 21.6 | 26 | 23 |
Liberty | 23 | 0.578 | 0.711 | 0.543 | 0.515 | 35.0 | 14.2 | 35 | 17 |
Lipscomb | 162 | 0.493 | 0.408 | 0.526 | 0.513 | 20.2 | 29.2 | 21 | 30 |
Long Beach State | 112 | 0.516 | 0.568 | 0.492 | 0.512 | 29.9 | 22.8 | 31 | 24 |
Longwood | 252 | 0.444 | 0.369 | 0.466 | 0.475 | 18.3 | 31.4 | 20 | 35 |
Louisiana State | 14 | 0.589 | 0.649 | 0.584 | 0.539 | 32.4 | 17.5 | 37 | 18 |
Louisiana Tech | 42 | 0.567 | 0.658 | 0.539 | 0.532 | 34.3 | 17.8 | 38 | 18 |
Louisiana-Lafayette | 55 | 0.550 | 0.615 | 0.529 | 0.526 | 30.0 | 18.8 | 34 | 18 |
Louisiana-Monroe | 166 | 0.492 | 0.410 | 0.520 | 0.518 | 22.1 | 31.8 | 24 | 32 |
Louisville | 28 | 0.575 | 0.662 | 0.547 | 0.546 | 32.3 | 16.5 | 38 | 17 |
Loyola Marymount | 173 | 0.487 | 0.382 | 0.522 | 0.523 | 19.4 | 31.4 | 20 | 33 |
Maine | 235 | 0.456 | 0.472 | 0.434 | 0.484 | 24.0 | 26.8 | 25 | 26 |
Manhattan | 225 | 0.460 | 0.475 | 0.455 | 0.456 | 24.1 | 26.6 | 23 | 30 |
Marist | 158 | 0.494 | 0.620 | 0.441 | 0.476 | 31.0 | 18.9 | 29 | 23 |
Marshall | 205 | 0.471 | 0.317 | 0.526 | 0.515 | 15.4 | 33.1 | 17 | 34 |
Maryland | 37 | 0.571 | 0.763 | 0.504 | 0.513 | 40.2 | 12.5 | 41 | 14 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 271 | 0.433 | 0.391 | 0.442 | 0.459 | 20.2 | 31.5 | 21 | 33 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 299 | 0.363 | 0.216 | 0.406 | 0.427 | 10.7 | 38.9 | 12 | 38 |
Massachusetts | 228 | 0.459 | 0.451 | 0.457 | 0.473 | 21.2 | 25.8 | 20 | 28 |
Massachusetts-Lowell | 221 | 0.464 | 0.420 | 0.480 | 0.478 | 20.7 | 28.5 | 20 | 33 |
McNeese State | 132 | 0.507 | 0.576 | 0.481 | 0.489 | 28.9 | 21.3 | 32 | 21 |
Memphis | 183 | 0.482 | 0.375 | 0.521 | 0.511 | 19.6 | 32.7 | 22 | 33 |
Mercer | 66 | 0.543 | 0.626 | 0.512 | 0.523 | 32.6 | 19.5 | 36 | 20 |
Merrimack | 268 | 0.436 | 0.443 | 0.428 | 0.442 | 20.8 | 26.1 | 21 | 28 |
Miami, Florida | 6 | 0.593 | 0.671 | 0.576 | 0.550 | 33.6 | 16.5 | 38 | 17 |
Miami, Ohio | 203 | 0.474 | 0.464 | 0.475 | 0.480 | 20.9 | 24.2 | 21 | 28 |
Michigan | 82 | 0.533 | 0.622 | 0.491 | 0.528 | 31.5 | 19.2 | 33 | 20 |
Michigan State | 186 | 0.481 | 0.384 | 0.520 | 0.501 | 19.3 | 31.0 | 21 | 34 |
Middle Tennessee State | 134 | 0.506 | 0.518 | 0.496 | 0.516 | 26.3 | 24.4 | 29 | 26 |
Minnesota | 246 | 0.446 | 0.180 | 0.556 | 0.494 | 9.9 | 45.1 | 12 | 43 |
Mississippi | 9 | 0.593 | 0.678 | 0.574 | 0.546 | 35.7 | 17.0 | 39 | 17 |
Mississippi State | 54 | 0.555 | 0.525 | 0.569 | 0.555 | 26.9 | 24.3 | 33 | 23 |
Mississippi Valley State | 300 | 0.361 | 0.105 | 0.445 | 0.448 | 5.1 | 43.3 | 6 | 46 |
Missouri | 71 | 0.541 | 0.472 | 0.572 | 0.549 | 23.8 | 26.6 | 26 | 26 |
Missouri State | 101 | 0.523 | 0.529 | 0.532 | 0.497 | 27.6 | 24.5 | 29 | 25 |
Monmouth | 207 | 0.470 | 0.463 | 0.464 | 0.490 | 23.7 | 27.5 | 24 | 29 |
Morehead State | 143 | 0.501 | 0.569 | 0.477 | 0.482 | 26.0 | 19.7 | 27 | 21 |
Mount St. Mary's | 296 | 0.383 | 0.236 | 0.421 | 0.453 | 11.8 | 38.1 | 13 | 40 |
Murray State | 181 | 0.482 | 0.492 | 0.466 | 0.504 | 22.3 | 23.0 | 24 | 23 |
Navy | 275 | 0.428 | 0.416 | 0.420 | 0.455 | 20.1 | 28.2 | 22 | 28 |
Nebraska | 104 | 0.521 | 0.538 | 0.522 | 0.504 | 26.9 | 23.1 | 30 | 25 |
Nebraska-Omaha | 213 | 0.467 | 0.490 | 0.447 | 0.486 | 21.0 | 21.9 | 21 | 25 |
Nevada | 78 | 0.537 | 0.622 | 0.507 | 0.513 | 33.6 | 20.4 | 34 | 22 |
Nevada-Las Vegas | 67 | 0.543 | 0.598 | 0.529 | 0.517 | 31.5 | 21.2 | 32 | 23 |
New Jersey Tech | 190 | 0.479 | 0.441 | 0.500 | 0.474 | 21.2 | 26.9 | 20 | 32 |
New Mexico | 208 | 0.470 | 0.419 | 0.477 | 0.506 | 19.5 | 26.9 | 23 | 27 |
New Mexico State | 242 | 0.452 | 0.457 | 0.429 | 0.492 | 21.0 | 24.9 | 22 | 26 |
New Orleans | 105 | 0.520 | 0.571 | 0.508 | 0.493 | 28.0 | 21.0 | 30 | 24 |
Niagara | 266 | 0.436 | 0.489 | 0.402 | 0.452 | 22.6 | 23.6 | 22 | 27 |
Nicholls State | 175 | 0.485 | 0.425 | 0.507 | 0.502 | 19.1 | 25.8 | 20 | 29 |
Norfolk State | 289 | 0.404 | 0.286 | 0.447 | 0.434 | 13.4 | 33.3 | 14 | 34 |
North Alabama | 286 | 0.407 | 0.145 | 0.494 | 0.496 | 7.3 | 43.1 | 8 | 45 |
North Carolina | 5 | 0.594 | 0.655 | 0.587 | 0.545 | 32.0 | 16.9 | 38 | 17 |
North Carolina A&T | 262 | 0.440 | 0.305 | 0.481 | 0.492 | 15.4 | 35.1 | 18 | 36 |
North Carolina State | 17 | 0.586 | 0.675 | 0.564 | 0.540 | 33.3 | 16.0 | 38 | 17 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 249 | 0.445 | 0.394 | 0.450 | 0.487 | 19.0 | 29.3 | 22 | 29 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 51 | 0.557 | 0.595 | 0.555 | 0.523 | 32.1 | 21.8 | 35 | 21 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 88 | 0.528 | 0.509 | 0.545 | 0.512 | 25.6 | 24.7 | 26 | 25 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 70 | 0.541 | 0.609 | 0.525 | 0.506 | 31.2 | 20.0 | 34 | 21 |
North Dakota State | 130 | 0.507 | 0.600 | 0.471 | 0.487 | 29.8 | 19.8 | 27 | 25 |
North Florida | 124 | 0.509 | 0.512 | 0.513 | 0.497 | 25.9 | 24.7 | 28 | 25 |
Northeastern | 93 | 0.526 | 0.624 | 0.487 | 0.504 | 29.6 | 17.8 | 31 | 21 |
Northern Colorado | 295 | 0.385 | 0.165 | 0.454 | 0.464 | 5.8 | 29.1 | 6 | 34 |
Northern Illinois | 279 | 0.425 | 0.273 | 0.477 | 0.471 | 13.9 | 37.1 | 14 | 41 |
Northern Kentucky | 267 | 0.436 | 0.381 | 0.447 | 0.468 | 18.2 | 29.6 | 19 | 31 |
Northwestern | 147 | 0.500 | 0.441 | 0.529 | 0.500 | 21.8 | 27.7 | 22 | 30 |
Northwestern State | 191 | 0.479 | 0.433 | 0.490 | 0.502 | 20.4 | 26.7 | 23 | 28 |
Notre Dame | 20 | 0.583 | 0.758 | 0.510 | 0.556 | 39.2 | 12.5 | 40 | 13 |
Oakland | 240 | 0.453 | 0.441 | 0.452 | 0.466 | 21.5 | 27.3 | 22 | 30 |
Ohio | 151 | 0.496 | 0.542 | 0.478 | 0.484 | 25.8 | 21.8 | 24 | 25 |
Ohio State | 116 | 0.512 | 0.470 | 0.535 | 0.509 | 25.4 | 28.7 | 26 | 31 |
Oklahoma | 16 | 0.586 | 0.603 | 0.607 | 0.528 | 30.8 | 20.3 | 33 | 20 |
Oklahoma State | 12 | 0.591 | 0.705 | 0.560 | 0.538 | 34.9 | 14.6 | 39 | 15 |
Old Dominion | 41 | 0.568 | 0.736 | 0.503 | 0.530 | 38.7 | 13.9 | 42 | 14 |
Oral Roberts | 139 | 0.503 | 0.723 | 0.398 | 0.495 | 34.6 | 13.3 | 36 | 16 |
Oregon | 24 | 0.578 | 0.614 | 0.585 | 0.526 | 32.4 | 20.3 | 36 | 20 |
Oregon State | 7 | 0.593 | 0.749 | 0.549 | 0.525 | 38.1 | 12.8 | 42 | 13 |
Pacific | 243 | 0.452 | 0.282 | 0.512 | 0.500 | 13.0 | 33.1 | 14 | 35 |
Penn State | 157 | 0.495 | 0.465 | 0.512 | 0.491 | 24.3 | 27.9 | 25 | 30 |
Pennsylvania | 118 | 0.511 | 0.635 | 0.460 | 0.488 | 26.0 | 14.9 | 25 | 17 |
Pepperdine | 135 | 0.506 | 0.458 | 0.523 | 0.521 | 22.0 | 26.1 | 24 | 26 |
Pittsburgh | 50 | 0.559 | 0.537 | 0.584 | 0.530 | 30.5 | 26.4 | 29 | 27 |
Portland | 106 | 0.519 | 0.577 | 0.498 | 0.505 | 26.7 | 19.6 | 28 | 22 |
Prairie View A&M | 272 | 0.433 | 0.478 | 0.405 | 0.444 | 22.5 | 24.6 | 24 | 27 |
Presbyterian | 177 | 0.485 | 0.433 | 0.506 | 0.493 | 23.2 | 30.3 | 23 | 33 |
Princeton | 264 | 0.438 | 0.212 | 0.525 | 0.488 | 7.9 | 29.3 | 8 | 35 |
Purdue | 174 | 0.487 | 0.523 | 0.461 | 0.501 | 28.0 | 25.5 | 29 | 27 |
Quinnipiac | 270 | 0.435 | 0.449 | 0.417 | 0.454 | 21.3 | 26.0 | 22 | 30 |
Radford | 244 | 0.449 | 0.396 | 0.454 | 0.491 | 20.7 | 31.6 | 23 | 33 |
Rhode Island | 184 | 0.482 | 0.464 | 0.491 | 0.482 | 25.2 | 29.2 | 25 | 32 |
Rice | 178 | 0.484 | 0.287 | 0.566 | 0.518 | 15.7 | 38.9 | 17 | 39 |
Richmond | 200 | 0.475 | 0.488 | 0.464 | 0.486 | 24.8 | 26.0 | 28 | 27 |
Rider | 194 | 0.478 | 0.573 | 0.437 | 0.466 | 29.0 | 21.6 | 27 | 25 |
Rutgers | 53 | 0.556 | 0.669 | 0.526 | 0.504 | 35.0 | 17.3 | 34 | 21 |
Sacramento State | 160 | 0.494 | 0.551 | 0.468 | 0.488 | 29.4 | 24.0 | 32 | 24 |
Sacred Heart | 274 | 0.430 | 0.316 | 0.483 | 0.439 | 14.6 | 31.6 | 15 | 37 |
Sam Houston State | 131 | 0.507 | 0.546 | 0.488 | 0.505 | 28.4 | 23.6 | 30 | 26 |
Samford | 109 | 0.517 | 0.558 | 0.496 | 0.517 | 29.0 | 23.0 | 31 | 25 |
San Diego | 43 | 0.565 | 0.669 | 0.535 | 0.522 | 31.4 | 15.5 | 33 | 17 |
San Diego State | 144 | 0.501 | 0.443 | 0.526 | 0.510 | 24.6 | 30.9 | 26 | 31 |
San Francisco | 141 | 0.502 | 0.497 | 0.496 | 0.517 | 23.8 | 24.0 | 26 | 25 |
San Jose State | 187 | 0.480 | 0.344 | 0.536 | 0.504 | 17.8 | 34.0 | 19 | 35 |
Santa Clara | 189 | 0.479 | 0.438 | 0.483 | 0.512 | 22.5 | 28.9 | 23 | 29 |
Seattle | 248 | 0.445 | 0.292 | 0.496 | 0.497 | 12.8 | 31.2 | 14 | 35 |
Seton Hall | 179 | 0.483 | 0.458 | 0.493 | 0.488 | 21.8 | 25.8 | 23 | 31 |
Siena | 273 | 0.431 | 0.299 | 0.484 | 0.459 | 15.2 | 35.6 | 14 | 42 |
South Alabama | 56 | 0.549 | 0.601 | 0.534 | 0.528 | 31.9 | 21.2 | 34 | 21 |
South Carolina | 46 | 0.564 | 0.551 | 0.579 | 0.547 | 27.8 | 22.6 | 32 | 23 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 125 | 0.509 | 0.645 | 0.442 | 0.507 | 32.4 | 17.8 | 36 | 18 |
South Dakota State | 234 | 0.456 | 0.519 | 0.419 | 0.467 | 22.5 | 20.8 | 21 | 25 |
South Florida | 87 | 0.528 | 0.440 | 0.580 | 0.513 | 24.1 | 30.7 | 26 | 30 |
Southeast Missouri State | 95 | 0.525 | 0.642 | 0.482 | 0.493 | 30.3 | 16.9 | 32 | 18 |
Southeastern Louisiana | 113 | 0.514 | 0.572 | 0.493 | 0.499 | 28.2 | 21.1 | 30 | 22 |
Southern | 212 | 0.468 | 0.554 | 0.436 | 0.446 | 27.5 | 22.2 | 27 | 26 |
Southern California | 107 | 0.519 | 0.433 | 0.556 | 0.530 | 23.2 | 30.4 | 27 | 29 |
Southern Illinois | 63 | 0.546 | 0.695 | 0.494 | 0.501 | 35.3 | 15.5 | 37 | 16 |
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville | 185 | 0.482 | 0.512 | 0.463 | 0.489 | 23.0 | 21.9 | 23 | 23 |
Southern Mississippi | 11 | 0.591 | 0.689 | 0.569 | 0.537 | 34.7 | 15.7 | 38 | 16 |
St. Bonaventure | 293 | 0.390 | 0.134 | 0.486 | 0.452 | 6.3 | 40.4 | 7 | 45 |
St. John's | 195 | 0.477 | 0.433 | 0.496 | 0.485 | 22.4 | 29.4 | 23 | 32 |
St. Joseph's | 182 | 0.482 | 0.480 | 0.486 | 0.477 | 21.4 | 23.2 | 24 | 25 |
St. Louis | 233 | 0.456 | 0.476 | 0.428 | 0.493 | 21.3 | 23.4 | 23 | 24 |
St. Mary's | 165 | 0.493 | 0.426 | 0.520 | 0.505 | 22.9 | 30.8 | 26 | 30 |
St. Peter's | 298 | 0.370 | 0.213 | 0.416 | 0.434 | 10.8 | 39.8 | 10 | 45 |
St. Thomas | 283 | 0.418 | 0.313 | 0.446 | 0.467 | 13.9 | 30.4 | 12 | 37 |
Stanford | 8 | 0.593 | 0.771 | 0.526 | 0.548 | 37.5 | 11.2 | 39 | 12 |
Stephen F. Austin State | 247 | 0.446 | 0.341 | 0.483 | 0.476 | 19.2 | 37.2 | 19 | 37 |
Stetson | 146 | 0.500 | 0.558 | 0.466 | 0.510 | 28.8 | 22.8 | 32 | 23 |
Stony Brook | 198 | 0.477 | 0.441 | 0.488 | 0.491 | 21.9 | 27.9 | 24 | 30 |
Tarleton State | 258 | 0.442 | 0.293 | 0.496 | 0.483 | 13.4 | 32.3 | 15 | 33 |
Tennessee | 2 | 0.615 | 0.796 | 0.560 | 0.544 | 38.9 | 10.0 | 46 | 10 |
Tennessee Tech | 138 | 0.503 | 0.529 | 0.491 | 0.501 | 20.9 | 18.5 | 22 | 22 |
Tennessee-Martin | 257 | 0.442 | 0.277 | 0.505 | 0.482 | 13.0 | 33.8 | 14 | 36 |
Texas | 4 | 0.595 | 0.741 | 0.549 | 0.540 | 37.2 | 13.0 | 43 | 13 |
Texas A&M | 25 | 0.577 | 0.625 | 0.570 | 0.544 | 30.9 | 18.5 | 36 | 19 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 171 | 0.489 | 0.442 | 0.512 | 0.492 | 20.7 | 26.1 | 22 | 27 |
Texas Christian | 21 | 0.582 | 0.628 | 0.576 | 0.550 | 32.8 | 19.4 | 36 | 19 |
Texas Southern | 260 | 0.441 | 0.510 | 0.405 | 0.443 | 19.6 | 18.9 | 19 | 23 |
Texas State | 45 | 0.564 | 0.622 | 0.559 | 0.519 | 31.6 | 19.2 | 35 | 21 |
Texas Tech | 27 | 0.576 | 0.650 | 0.561 | 0.530 | 33.1 | 17.8 | 38 | 18 |
Texas-Arlington | 197 | 0.477 | 0.408 | 0.499 | 0.503 | 21.8 | 31.6 | 22 | 34 |
Texas-Rio Grande Valley | 148 | 0.500 | 0.520 | 0.494 | 0.490 | 28.7 | 26.5 | 30 | 25 |
Texas-San Antonio | 84 | 0.532 | 0.650 | 0.474 | 0.530 | 34.3 | 18.4 | 37 | 19 |
The Citadel | 227 | 0.460 | 0.298 | 0.528 | 0.486 | 15.9 | 37.3 | 20 | 35 |
Toledo | 176 | 0.485 | 0.546 | 0.458 | 0.476 | 29.1 | 24.2 | 28 | 28 |
Towson | 253 | 0.444 | 0.291 | 0.502 | 0.478 | 15.3 | 37.2 | 17 | 38 |
Troy | 79 | 0.536 | 0.536 | 0.544 | 0.519 | 29.2 | 25.3 | 31 | 25 |
Tulane | 73 | 0.541 | 0.535 | 0.553 | 0.523 | 27.9 | 24.3 | 29 | 26 |
UC Davis | 284 | 0.411 | 0.172 | 0.485 | 0.500 | 9.2 | 44.4 | 10 | 47 |
UC Irvine | 64 | 0.546 | 0.649 | 0.508 | 0.519 | 34.4 | 18.6 | 37 | 19 |
UC Riverside | 280 | 0.424 | 0.200 | 0.502 | 0.493 | 10.3 | 41.1 | 11 | 41 |
UC San Diego | 199 | 0.476 | 0.453 | 0.473 | 0.505 | 22.3 | 27.0 | 25 | 27 |
UC Santa Barbara | 48 | 0.562 | 0.791 | 0.472 | 0.514 | 42.7 | 11.3 | 44 | 11 |
UCLA | 36 | 0.572 | 0.677 | 0.539 | 0.533 | 33.8 | 16.1 | 37 | 17 |
Utah | 121 | 0.510 | 0.429 | 0.546 | 0.519 | 22.6 | 30.1 | 23 | 33 |
Utah Tech | 216 | 0.466 | 0.380 | 0.494 | 0.498 | 16.7 | 27.3 | 19 | 29 |
Utah Valley | 278 | 0.427 | 0.363 | 0.430 | 0.486 | 19.0 | 33.3 | 19 | 35 |
VMI | 237 | 0.454 | 0.353 | 0.486 | 0.491 | 18.4 | 33.8 | 21 | 34 |
Valparaiso | 211 | 0.468 | 0.342 | 0.518 | 0.495 | 15.8 | 30.5 | 15 | 36 |
Vanderbilt | 3 | 0.603 | 0.695 | 0.580 | 0.555 | 34.9 | 15.3 | 39 | 16 |
Villanova | 219 | 0.466 | 0.435 | 0.469 | 0.491 | 21.2 | 27.5 | 22 | 29 |
Virginia | 15 | 0.588 | 0.648 | 0.586 | 0.532 | 32.0 | 17.4 | 38 | 18 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 52 | 0.557 | 0.781 | 0.474 | 0.497 | 39.6 | 11.1 | 43 | 13 |
Virginia Tech | 19 | 0.585 | 0.703 | 0.543 | 0.549 | 36.9 | 15.6 | 40 | 16 |
Wagner | 277 | 0.428 | 0.435 | 0.415 | 0.446 | 20.4 | 26.4 | 20 | 29 |
Wake Forest | 39 | 0.570 | 0.620 | 0.562 | 0.537 | 32.3 | 19.8 | 36 | 20 |
Washington | 119 | 0.511 | 0.519 | 0.498 | 0.528 | 25.0 | 23.2 | 27 | 25 |
Washington State | 97 | 0.525 | 0.486 | 0.542 | 0.529 | 23.6 | 24.9 | 23 | 25 |
West Virginia | 44 | 0.565 | 0.594 | 0.561 | 0.546 | 31.0 | 21.2 | 31 | 24 |
Western Carolina | 142 | 0.502 | 0.467 | 0.518 | 0.503 | 23.2 | 26.5 | 25 | 30 |
Western Illinois | 287 | 0.407 | 0.184 | 0.490 | 0.465 | 7.8 | 34.5 | 8 | 41 |
Western Kentucky | 215 | 0.466 | 0.363 | 0.495 | 0.512 | 18.3 | 32.2 | 22 | 31 |
Western Michigan | 231 | 0.458 | 0.425 | 0.464 | 0.478 | 20.9 | 28.3 | 20 | 33 |
Wichita State | 108 | 0.519 | 0.466 | 0.549 | 0.512 | 24.3 | 27.9 | 26 | 29 |
William and Mary | 110 | 0.517 | 0.524 | 0.526 | 0.491 | 28.2 | 25.6 | 30 | 26 |
Winthrop | 214 | 0.466 | 0.333 | 0.523 | 0.488 | 16.8 | 33.7 | 18 | 34 |
Wisconsin-Milwaukee | 256 | 0.443 | 0.468 | 0.415 | 0.473 | 23.1 | 26.2 | 22 | 30 |
Wofford | 57 | 0.549 | 0.723 | 0.482 | 0.509 | 38.3 | 14.6 | 40 | 16 |
Wright State | 102 | 0.522 | 0.701 | 0.453 | 0.484 | 36.3 | 15.5 | 37 | 18 |
Xavier | 75 | 0.539 | 0.587 | 0.532 | 0.504 | 31.4 | 22.1 | 31 | 26 |
Yale | 114 | 0.514 | 0.648 | 0.465 | 0.476 | 25.7 | 14.0 | 24 | 17 |
Youngstown State | 230 | 0.458 | 0.437 | 0.456 | 0.484 | 22.5 | 28.9 | 23 | 33 |
Boyd's World-> Preseason Projected RPI's for the 2023 Season | About the author, Boyd Nation |