2008 CWS Probabilities

Boyd's World-> 2008 CWS Probabilities About the author, Boyd Nation

Publication Date: June 10, 2008

These don't have to take home field advantage into account, which I still haven't figured out how to quantify for the supers, so they should be fairly reliable.

Pat Murphy's flameout (good coach; screwed up last night) gives Miami a pretty clear claim to be the favorite, but this is baseball, so that only buys you so much.
Through a combination of good play by the Hurricanes and good scheduling on behalf of the Seminoles and Tar Heels, there's a better than 50% chance that we finally get an ACC title, which I've been rooting for for a while now.
I have no idea what to do with LSU; on the one hand, they've won 25 of 26 now, which certainly reaches the level of significance. On the other hand, they were pretty thoroughly dominated for 17 innings this weekend before winning the last 10, so we'll just let it play out and see how the system does.

The columns are the probability of reaching and winning the championship round.

36 23 Miami, Florida
 9  3 Georgia
27 15 Florida State
28 17 Stanford
33 16 North Carolina
20  7 Louisiana State
12  3 Fresno State
35 17 Rice

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