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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Bowling Green State

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.430
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.473
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.33325


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315 -0.00045
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315 -0.00045
Seattle Seattle 26 15 0.634 0.474 0.435 0.00248
Seattle Seattle 26 15 0.634 0.474 0.435 0.00248
Seattle Seattle 26 15 0.634 0.474 0.435 0.00248
Seattle Seattle 26 15 0.634 0.474 0.435 0.00248
Elon Elon 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359 0.00063
Appalachian State neutral 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265 -0.00166
Stony Brook neutral 17 19 0.472 0.482 0.356 0.00055
Alabama State neutral 29 14 0.674 0.431 0.445 0.00273
Alabama State neutral 29 14 0.674 0.431 0.445 0.00273
Presbyterian neutral 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00077
Savannah State neutral 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235 -0.00240
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 21 21 0.500 0.460 0.365 0.00077
Presbyterian neutral 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00077
Central Michigan Bowling Green State 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247 -0.00210
Western Michigan Western Michigan 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281 -0.00127
Western Michigan Western Michigan 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281 -0.00127
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281 -0.00127
Western Michigan Bowling Green State 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281 -0.00127
Central Michigan Central Michigan 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247 -0.00210
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00009
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00009
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337 0.00009
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00245
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00245
Toledo Bowling Green State 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233 -0.00245
Michigan Michigan 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500 0.00407
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00075
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00075
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364 0.00075
Dayton Bowling Green State 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300 -0.00081
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00027
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00027
Ohio Bowling Green State 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00027
Wright State Wright State 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471 0.00336
Ball State Ball State 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00195
Ball State Ball State 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00195
Ball State Ball State 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413 0.00195
Youngstown State Youngstown State 9 27 0.250 0.515 0.254 -0.00193
Northern Illinois Bowling Green State 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310 -0.00057
Northern Illinois Bowling Green State 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310 -0.00057

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 112.06 0.000
Ball State 123.47 26 17 0.605 0.441 0.413
Dayton 117.66 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300
Eastern Michigan 60.59 16 22 0.421 0.507 0.337
IPFW 78.71 17 22 0.436 0.417 0.322
Kent State 119.95 31 10 0.756 0.449 0.490
Miami, Ohio 141.49 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364
Michigan 61.57 29 10 0.744 0.511 0.500
Michigan State 103.25 28 11 0.718 0.473 0.477
Notre Dame 136.18 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Oakland 91.86 16 17 0.485 0.458 0.357
Ohio State 99.87 27 14 0.659 0.463 0.445
Toledo 18.08 9 33 0.214 0.506 0.233
Western Michigan 119.28 12 25 0.324 0.478 0.281
Wright State 112.40 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471
Youngstown State 149.58 9 27 0.250 0.515 0.254

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Buffalo 272.02 12 25 0.324 0.440 0.272
Butler 170.22 10 29 0.256 0.458 0.242
Canisius 266.59 24 18 0.571 0.428 0.392
Central Michigan 162.65 10 31 0.244 0.502 0.247
Chicago State 207.01 9 32 0.220 0.434 0.218
Cincinnati 162.38 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386
Eastern Illinois 273.06 5 35 0.125 0.523 0.193
Eastern Kentucky 254.35 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333
Illinois 256.61 21 18 0.538 0.523 0.400
Illinois State 286.53 13 28 0.317 0.486 0.280
Illinois-Chicago 210.29 16 23 0.410 0.462 0.321
Indiana 215.32 25 16 0.610 0.465 0.421
Indiana State 238.59 26 16 0.619 0.504 0.435
Kentucky 236.24 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451
Louisville 246.87 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Marshall 234.88 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Morehead State 220.50 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
Niagara 263.71 12 26 0.316 0.477 0.277
Northern Illinois 268.60 16 25 0.390 0.461 0.310
Northern Kentucky 168.43 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290
Northwestern 214.84 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Ohio 163.05 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Pittsburgh 201.85 21 14 0.600 0.555 0.439
Purdue 184.82 7 33 0.175 0.527 0.219
St. Bonaventure 269.48 18 17 0.514 0.386 0.354
Valparaiso 176.43 19 18 0.514 0.526 0.389
West Virginia 225.61 22 18 0.550 0.501 0.400
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 249.96 17 19 0.472 0.474 0.354
Xavier 160.45 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation