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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal State Fullerton

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:12 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.601
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.532
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4335


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
South Florida neutral 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00114
Alabama State neutral 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00061
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00206
Southern California Cal State Fullerton 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515 0.00204
Stanford Cal State Fullerton 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371 -0.00156
Stanford Cal State Fullerton 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371 -0.00156
Stanford Cal State Fullerton 18 21 0.462 0.559 0.371 -0.00156
Baylor Cal State Fullerton 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00216
Baylor Cal State Fullerton 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00216
Baylor Cal State Fullerton 16 24 0.400 0.588 0.347 -0.00216
Pepperdine Cal State Fullerton 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384 -0.00124
Texas Tech Cal State Fullerton 27 15 0.643 0.522 0.452 0.00046
Texas Tech Cal State Fullerton 27 15 0.643 0.522 0.452 0.00046
Texas Tech Cal State Fullerton 27 15 0.643 0.522 0.452 0.00046
San Diego Cal State Fullerton 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 -0.00034
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00009
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00009
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00009
CSU Bakersfield Cal State Fullerton 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424 -0.00024
Long Beach State Long Beach State 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 -0.00024
Long Beach State Long Beach State 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 -0.00024
Long Beach State Long Beach State 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424 -0.00024
Nebraska Nebraska 30 13 0.698 0.570 0.491 0.00144
Nebraska Nebraska 30 13 0.698 0.570 0.491 0.00144
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00044
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00044
Cal State Northridge Cal State Northridge 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451 0.00044
Cal Poly Cal State Fullerton 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00171
Cal Poly Cal State Fullerton 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00171
Cal Poly Cal State Fullerton 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365 -0.00171
San Diego San Diego 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 -0.00034
UC Davis UC Davis 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00064
UC Davis UC Davis 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00064
UC Davis UC Davis 23 16 0.590 0.451 0.408 -0.00064
UCLA UCLA 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534 0.00251
Maryland Maryland 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00111
Maryland Maryland 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00111
Maryland Maryland 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478 0.00111
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424 -0.00024
UC Irvine Cal State Fullerton 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00001
UC Irvine Cal State Fullerton 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00001
UC Irvine Cal State Fullerton 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434 0.00001

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 122.49 24 15 0.615 0.465 0.424
Cal State Northridge 44.24 25 15 0.625 0.553 0.451
Long Beach State 16.34 21 16 0.568 0.562 0.424
Loyola Marymount 31.48 26 16 0.619 0.486 0.431
Pepperdine 48.48 22 20 0.524 0.489 0.384
San Diego 86.81 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
San Diego State 89.87 27 16 0.628 0.511 0.442
Southern California 25.04 30 10 0.750 0.559 0.515
UC Irvine 16.39 23 15 0.605 0.526 0.434
UC Riverside 29.37 12 27 0.308 0.514 0.282
UC Santa Barbara 118.32 30 9 0.769 0.548 0.522
UCLA 34.98 29 9 0.763 0.612 0.534

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 186.08 18 20 0.474 0.513 0.365
Fresno State 228.02 21 21 0.500 0.595 0.399
Nevada-Las Vegas 218.23 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation