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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Cal State Fullerton

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:01 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.545
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.526
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.404


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Stanford Stanford 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398 -0.00014
Stanford Stanford 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398 -0.00014
Stanford Stanford 20 18 0.526 0.540 0.398 -0.00014
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00048
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00048
Indiana Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424 0.00048
Arizona Arizona 28 16 0.636 0.550 0.456 0.00124
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.560 0.502 0.00233
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.560 0.502 0.00233
Texas Tech Texas Tech 34 13 0.723 0.560 0.502 0.00233
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 26 15 0.634 0.537 0.451 0.00112
Arizona State Cal State Fullerton 26 15 0.634 0.537 0.451 0.00112
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00181
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00181
Wichita State Cal State Fullerton 16 27 0.372 0.568 0.328 -0.00181
San Diego State Cal State Fullerton 12 30 0.286 0.554 0.281 -0.00293
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00040
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00040
Maryland Cal State Fullerton 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00040
Southern California Southern California 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374 -0.00071
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00114
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00114
Long Beach State Cal State Fullerton 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452 0.00114
UCLA UCLA 20 21 0.488 0.558 0.384 -0.00048
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00045
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00045
Cal State Northridge Cal State Fullerton 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423 0.00045
San Diego Cal State Fullerton 23 25 0.479 0.535 0.373 -0.00074
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00052
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00052
Cal Poly Cal Poly 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426 0.00052
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285 -0.00283
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285 -0.00283
UC Davis Cal State Fullerton 12 25 0.324 0.493 0.285 -0.00283
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243 -0.00383
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00124
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00124
Nevada-Las Vegas Cal State Fullerton 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352 -0.00124
UCLA Cal State Fullerton 20 21 0.488 0.558 0.384 -0.00048
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422 0.00043
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422 0.00043
UC Irvine UC Irvine 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422 0.00043
San Diego State San Diego State 12 30 0.286 0.554 0.281 -0.00293

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 122.49 9 33 0.214 0.545 0.243
Cal State Northridge 44.24 25 16 0.610 0.474 0.423
Long Beach State 16.34 26 16 0.619 0.570 0.452
Loyola Marymount 31.48 24 21 0.533 0.496 0.391
Pepperdine 48.48 20 18 0.526 0.533 0.396
San Diego 86.81 23 25 0.479 0.535 0.373
San Diego State 89.87 12 30 0.286 0.554 0.281
Southern California 25.04 20 22 0.476 0.544 0.374
UC Irvine 16.39 25 16 0.610 0.469 0.422
UC Riverside 29.37 20 21 0.488 0.482 0.364
UC Santa Barbara 118.32 29 10 0.744 0.560 0.512
UCLA 34.98 20 21 0.488 0.558 0.384

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal Poly 186.08 25 17 0.595 0.513 0.426
Fresno State 228.02 29 16 0.644 0.506 0.449
Nevada-Las Vegas 218.23 19 24 0.442 0.522 0.352

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation