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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Furman
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:09 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.526 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.490 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.3855 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Fordham | Furman | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 | -0.00040 |
Michigan State | Furman | 36 | 20 | 0.643 | 0.490 | 0.444 | 0.00099 |
Presbyterian | Furman | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00053 |
Dayton | Furman | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00157 |
Dayton | Furman | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00157 |
Dayton | Furman | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.484 | 0.293 | -0.00157 |
South Carolina-Upstate | Furman | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00092 |
Holy Cross | Furman | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.472 | 0.372 | -0.00023 |
Holy Cross | Furman | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.472 | 0.372 | -0.00023 |
Holy Cross | Furman | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.472 | 0.372 | -0.00023 |
North Carolina-Asheville | Furman | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00216 |
South Carolina | South Carolina | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00196 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00133 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00133 |
Tulane | Tulane | 41 | 21 | 0.661 | 0.532 | 0.464 | 0.00133 |
College of Charleston | Furman | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 | 0.00043 |
Davidson | Davidson | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | -0.00008 |
Davidson | Davidson | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | -0.00008 |
Davidson | Davidson | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 | -0.00008 |
Gardner-Webb | Gardner-Webb | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 | 0.00072 |
Samford | Furman | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00042 |
Samford | Furman | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00042 |
Samford | Furman | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00042 |
Clemson | Furman | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 | 0.00175 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00070 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00070 |
East Tennessee State | East Tennessee State | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00070 |
Gardner-Webb | Furman | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 | 0.00072 |
West Virginia | West Virginia | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 | 0.00091 |
West Virginia | West Virginia | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 | 0.00091 |
West Virginia | West Virginia | 36 | 22 | 0.621 | 0.515 | 0.439 | 0.00091 |
Presbyterian | Presbyterian | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00053 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | Furman | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00104 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | Furman | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00104 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | Furman | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00104 |
South Carolina-Upstate | South Carolina-Upstate | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 | -0.00092 |
South Carolina | Furman | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 | 0.00196 |
Mercer | Mercer | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 | 0.00079 |
Mercer | Mercer | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 | 0.00079 |
Mercer | Mercer | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 | 0.00079 |
Presbyterian | Furman | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 | -0.00053 |
The Citadel | The Citadel | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00197 |
The Citadel | The Citadel | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00197 |
The Citadel | The Citadel | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 | -0.00197 |
Clemson | Clemson | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 | 0.00175 |
Western Carolina | Furman | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | -0.00004 |
Western Carolina | Furman | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | -0.00004 |
Western Carolina | Furman | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | -0.00004 |
North Carolina-Asheville | North Carolina-Asheville | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 | -0.00216 |
VMI | VMI | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00135 |
VMI | VMI | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00135 |
VMI | VMI | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 | -0.00135 |
Wofford | Furman | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | -0.00014 |
Wofford | Furman | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | -0.00014 |
Wofford | Furman | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 | -0.00014 |
East Tennessee State | neutral | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 | -0.00070 |
Mercer | neutral | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 | 0.00079 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | neutral | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 | 0.00104 |
Samford | neutral | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 | 0.00042 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Appalachian State | 98.59 | 18 | 36 | 0.333 | 0.496 | 0.290 |
Clemson | 28.52 | 44 | 20 | 0.688 | 0.579 | 0.489 |
Davidson | 98.94 | 28 | 26 | 0.519 | 0.486 | 0.381 |
East Tennessee State | 96.04 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.429 | 0.344 |
Gardner-Webb | 49.05 | 37 | 21 | 0.638 | 0.436 | 0.428 |
Georgia | 86.30 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.612 | 0.390 |
Georgia State | 135.11 | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.478 | 0.337 |
Georgia Tech | 136.56 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.582 | 0.447 |
Kennesaw State | 136.40 | 29 | 27 | 0.518 | 0.487 | 0.381 |
North Carolina-Asheville | 48.61 | 16 | 38 | 0.296 | 0.441 | 0.258 |
North Carolina-Charlotte | 99.92 | 23 | 32 | 0.418 | 0.534 | 0.343 |
Presbyterian | 45.69 | 27 | 30 | 0.474 | 0.467 | 0.354 |
South Carolina | 102.63 | 46 | 18 | 0.719 | 0.568 | 0.501 |
South Carolina-Upstate | 27.35 | 22 | 30 | 0.423 | 0.477 | 0.331 |
Tennessee | 109.76 | 29 | 28 | 0.509 | 0.543 | 0.390 |
Wake Forest | 148.79 | 35 | 27 | 0.565 | 0.568 | 0.424 |
Western Carolina | 49.29 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 |
Winthrop | 80.66 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.477 | 0.374 |
Wofford | 29.08 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.474 | 0.377 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Alabama A&M | 234.71 | 12 | 44 | 0.214 | 0.400 | 0.207 |
Alabama State | 283.21 | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.409 | 0.448 |
Alabama-Birmingham | 268.04 | 21 | 34 | 0.382 | 0.550 | 0.329 |
Auburn | 237.41 | 23 | 33 | 0.411 | 0.561 | 0.346 |
Austin Peay State | 297.29 | 34 | 23 | 0.596 | 0.497 | 0.422 |
Belmont | 258.22 | 33 | 27 | 0.550 | 0.451 | 0.388 |
Campbell | 212.06 | 26 | 27 | 0.491 | 0.510 | 0.373 |
Charleston Southern | 190.96 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.488 | 0.304 |
Coastal Carolina | 219.56 | 55 | 18 | 0.753 | 0.580 | 0.521 |
College of Charleston | 206.92 | 31 | 26 | 0.544 | 0.555 | 0.411 |
Duke | 210.42 | 33 | 24 | 0.579 | 0.580 | 0.434 |
East Carolina | 290.02 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.558 | 0.451 |
Eastern Kentucky | 220.23 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.471 | 0.336 |
Elon | 184.29 | 25 | 29 | 0.463 | 0.488 | 0.354 |
Georgia Southern | 176.33 | 36 | 24 | 0.600 | 0.506 | 0.426 |
High Point | 155.77 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.513 | 0.414 |
Jacksonville State | 204.65 | 34 | 24 | 0.586 | 0.514 | 0.421 |
Kentucky | 243.10 | 32 | 25 | 0.561 | 0.542 | 0.416 |
Liberty | 247.70 | 31 | 28 | 0.525 | 0.522 | 0.393 |
Lipscomb | 258.22 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.458 | 0.382 |
Longwood | 279.01 | 32 | 27 | 0.542 | 0.473 | 0.389 |
Louisville | 292.24 | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 |
Marshall | 241.10 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.521 | 0.439 |
Mercer | 160.44 | 38 | 23 | 0.623 | 0.484 | 0.432 |
Middle Tennessee State | 230.15 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.539 | 0.317 |
Morehead State | 232.54 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.502 | 0.393 |
North Carolina | 203.13 | 34 | 21 | 0.618 | 0.588 | 0.456 |
North Carolina A&T | 169.92 | 13 | 41 | 0.241 | 0.452 | 0.233 |
North Carolina Central | 212.75 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.396 | 0.321 |
North Carolina State | 220.30 | 38 | 22 | 0.633 | 0.619 | 0.471 |
North Carolina-Greensboro | 167.73 | 38 | 21 | 0.644 | 0.498 | 0.447 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | 264.39 | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 |
Radford | 186.40 | 19 | 39 | 0.328 | 0.537 | 0.298 |
Samford | 268.42 | 35 | 26 | 0.574 | 0.491 | 0.410 |
Savannah State | 215.18 | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.446 | 0.227 |
Tennessee Tech | 193.20 | 31 | 24 | 0.564 | 0.439 | 0.392 |
The Citadel | 204.79 | 17 | 42 | 0.288 | 0.500 | 0.269 |
Troy | 295.93 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.522 | 0.407 |
VMI | 259.30 | 21 | 35 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.306 |
Vanderbilt | 259.53 | 43 | 19 | 0.694 | 0.566 | 0.488 |
Virginia Tech | 194.65 | 19 | 36 | 0.345 | 0.518 | 0.302 |
Western Kentucky | 266.07 | 24 | 30 | 0.444 | 0.530 | 0.355 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |