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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Furman

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.518
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.382


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Norfolk State Furman 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00117
Toledo neutral 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334 -0.00104
Xavier Furman 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00013
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 -0.00002
Virginia Commonwealth Furman 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00193
Virginia Commonwealth Furman 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00193
Virginia Commonwealth Furman 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00193
Georgia Georgia 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401 0.00041
Maine neutral 16 25 0.390 0.465 0.311 -0.00154
Stetson Stetson 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00115
Iowa neutral 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00083
South Carolina-Upstate neutral 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00239
Gardner-Webb Furman 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00111
Gardner-Webb Furman 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00111
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00111
South Carolina South Carolina 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00265
Duke Duke 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00128
Hofstra Furman 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00093
Hofstra Furman 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00093
North Carolina-Asheville Furman 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00254
North Carolina Central Furman 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283 -0.00215
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00013
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00013
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00013
Presbyterian Furman 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294 -0.00191
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00102
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00102
Samford Samford 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429 0.00102
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00133
Davidson Furman 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00148
Davidson Furman 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00148
Davidson Furman 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00148
South Carolina neutral 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504 0.00265
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00187
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00187
Western Carolina Western Carolina 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00187
Wofford Furman 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00033
Wofford Furman 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367 -0.00033
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265 -0.00254
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00111
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00111
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00111
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331 -0.00111
Georgia Southern Furman 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00100
Georgia Southern Furman 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00100
Georgia Southern Furman 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428 0.00100

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.59 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Clemson 28.52 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Davidson 98.94 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
East Tennessee State 96.04 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Gardner-Webb 49.05 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
Georgia 86.30 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia State 135.11 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 136.56 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
Kennesaw State 136.40 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
North Carolina-Asheville 48.61 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 99.92 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
Presbyterian 45.69 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
South Carolina 102.63 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 27.35 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 109.76 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Wake Forest 148.79 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
Western Carolina 49.29 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Winthrop 80.66 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 29.08 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 234.71 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Alabama State 283.21 34 19 0.642 0.426 0.427
Alabama-Birmingham 268.04 30 16 0.652 0.484 0.447
Auburn 237.41 26 23 0.531 0.571 0.408
Austin Peay State 297.29 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 258.22 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Campbell 212.06 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Charleston Southern 190.96 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Coastal Carolina 219.56 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 206.92 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Duke 210.42 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 290.02 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Eastern Kentucky 220.23 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Elon 184.29 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Georgia Southern 176.33 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
High Point 155.77 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Jacksonville State 204.65 26 21 0.553 0.503 0.402
Kentucky 243.10 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Liberty 247.70 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Lipscomb 258.22 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Longwood 279.01 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Louisville 292.24 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Marshall 241.10 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Mercer 160.44 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Middle Tennessee State 230.15 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Morehead State 232.54 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
North Carolina 203.13 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 169.92 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 212.75 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 220.30 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Greensboro 167.73 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 264.39 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Radford 186.40 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Samford 268.42 29 20 0.592 0.531 0.429
Savannah State 215.18 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
Tennessee Tech 193.20 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
The Citadel 204.79 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Troy 295.93 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345
VMI 259.30 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Vanderbilt 259.53 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 194.65 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Western Kentucky 266.07 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation