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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Furman

Last updated: Fri May 27 06:56:10 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.525
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.490
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.385


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Fordham Furman 29 27 0.518 0.450 0.371 -0.00025
Michigan State Furman 35 18 0.660 0.485 0.451 0.00118
Presbyterian Furman 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354 -0.00055
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00163
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00163
Dayton Furman 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00163
South Carolina-Upstate Furman 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331 -0.00096
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00020
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00020
Holy Cross Furman 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374 -0.00020
North Carolina-Asheville Furman 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259 -0.00225
South Carolina South Carolina 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00234
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00164
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00164
Tulane Tulane 38 17 0.691 0.528 0.477 0.00164
College of Charleston Furman 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418 0.00059
Davidson Davidson 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00007
Davidson Davidson 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00007
Davidson Davidson 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381 -0.00007
Gardner-Webb Gardner-Webb 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00087
Samford Furman 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414 0.00052
Samford Furman 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414 0.00052
Samford Furman 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414 0.00052
Clemson Furman 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00179
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
Gardner-Webb Furman 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434 0.00087
West Virginia West Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437 0.00093
West Virginia West Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437 0.00093
West Virginia West Virginia 34 21 0.618 0.511 0.437 0.00093
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354 -0.00055
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00116
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00116
North Carolina-Greensboro Furman 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450 0.00116
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331 -0.00096
South Carolina Furman 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516 0.00234
Mercer Mercer 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437 0.00093
Mercer Mercer 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437 0.00093
Mercer Mercer 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437 0.00093
Presbyterian Furman 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354 -0.00055
The Citadel The Citadel 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272 -0.00202
The Citadel The Citadel 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272 -0.00202
The Citadel The Citadel 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272 -0.00202
Clemson Clemson 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485 0.00179
Western Carolina Furman 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00027
Western Carolina Furman 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00027
Western Carolina Furman 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370 -0.00027
North Carolina-Asheville North Carolina-Asheville 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259 -0.00225
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307 -0.00139
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307 -0.00139
VMI VMI 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307 -0.00139
Wofford Furman 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381 -0.00007
Wofford Furman 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381 -0.00007
Wofford Furman 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381 -0.00007
East Tennessee State neutral 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344 -0.00073
Mercer neutral 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437 0.00093

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.59 18 36 0.333 0.500 0.291
Clemson 28.52 38 18 0.679 0.581 0.485
Davidson 98.94 26 24 0.520 0.483 0.381
East Tennessee State 96.04 26 29 0.473 0.429 0.344
Gardner-Webb 49.05 37 20 0.649 0.440 0.434
Georgia 86.30 27 30 0.474 0.625 0.393
Georgia State 135.11 23 30 0.434 0.484 0.338
Georgia Tech 136.56 36 21 0.632 0.583 0.462
Kennesaw State 136.40 29 26 0.527 0.491 0.386
North Carolina-Asheville 48.61 16 38 0.296 0.442 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 99.92 23 31 0.426 0.540 0.348
Presbyterian 45.69 27 30 0.474 0.470 0.354
South Carolina 102.63 42 14 0.750 0.564 0.516
South Carolina-Upstate 27.35 22 30 0.423 0.479 0.331
Tennessee 109.76 29 28 0.509 0.552 0.393
Wake Forest 148.79 33 24 0.579 0.566 0.431
Western Carolina 49.29 26 28 0.481 0.520 0.370
Winthrop 80.66 28 27 0.509 0.480 0.374
Wofford 29.08 30 27 0.526 0.473 0.381

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 234.71 12 44 0.214 0.406 0.209
Alabama State 283.21 38 15 0.717 0.402 0.459
Alabama-Birmingham 268.04 21 34 0.382 0.559 0.331
Auburn 237.41 23 33 0.411 0.575 0.349
Austin Peay State 297.29 33 21 0.611 0.497 0.430
Belmont 258.22 31 26 0.544 0.450 0.385
Campbell 212.06 26 27 0.491 0.515 0.374
Charleston Southern 190.96 19 33 0.365 0.491 0.305
Coastal Carolina 219.56 42 15 0.737 0.559 0.508
College of Charleston 206.92 30 24 0.556 0.559 0.418
Duke 210.42 33 22 0.600 0.584 0.446
East Carolina 290.02 34 20 0.630 0.557 0.454
Eastern Kentucky 220.23 24 31 0.436 0.477 0.337
Elon 184.29 25 29 0.463 0.491 0.354
Georgia Southern 176.33 34 23 0.596 0.502 0.423
High Point 155.77 32 23 0.582 0.516 0.420
Jacksonville State 204.65 32 22 0.593 0.512 0.424
Kentucky 243.10 32 25 0.561 0.553 0.419
Liberty 247.70 30 27 0.526 0.526 0.395
Lipscomb 258.22 31 25 0.554 0.456 0.391
Longwood 279.01 31 26 0.544 0.469 0.389
Louisville 292.24 47 10 0.825 0.582 0.558
Marshall 241.10 33 19 0.635 0.521 0.448
Mercer 160.44 36 21 0.632 0.485 0.437
Middle Tennessee State 230.15 20 35 0.364 0.548 0.319
Morehead State 232.54 31 25 0.554 0.504 0.403
North Carolina 203.13 34 21 0.618 0.602 0.460
North Carolina A&T 169.92 13 41 0.241 0.457 0.235
North Carolina Central 212.75 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 220.30 34 19 0.642 0.613 0.474
North Carolina-Greensboro 167.73 37 20 0.649 0.500 0.450
North Carolina-Wilmington 264.39 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Radford 186.40 18 38 0.321 0.540 0.295
Samford 268.42 33 24 0.579 0.498 0.414
Savannah State 215.18 12 40 0.231 0.451 0.228
Tennessee Tech 193.20 31 23 0.574 0.443 0.398
The Citadel 204.79 17 41 0.293 0.503 0.272
Troy 295.93 32 25 0.561 0.529 0.413
VMI 259.30 21 35 0.375 0.477 0.307
Vanderbilt 259.53 43 15 0.741 0.568 0.512
Virginia Tech 194.65 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
Western Kentucky 266.07 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation