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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois-Chicago

Last updated: Sat Jun 25 06:47:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.476
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.484
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.359


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas Southern Texas Southern 19 24 0.442 0.405 0.322 -0.00069
Texas Southern Texas Southern 19 24 0.442 0.405 0.322 -0.00069
Texas Southern Texas Southern 19 24 0.442 0.405 0.322 -0.00069
Texas Southern Texas Southern 19 24 0.442 0.405 0.322 -0.00069
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00239
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00239
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 19 0.694 0.566 0.488 0.00239
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 0.00013
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 0.00013
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 0.00013
Missouri Missouri 26 30 0.464 0.535 0.366 0.00013
Northwestern Illinois-Chicago 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00180
Chicago State Illinois-Chicago 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00256
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00256
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00256
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00037
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00037
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00037
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 0.00048
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.523 0.447 0.00163
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.523 0.447 0.00163
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.523 0.447 0.00163
Michigan Michigan 36 21 0.632 0.523 0.447 0.00163
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00185
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00185
Northwestern Northwestern 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00180
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00107
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00107
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00107
Northern Illinois Illinois-Chicago 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00054
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00043
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00043
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00043
Valparaiso Illinois-Chicago 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Valparaiso Illinois-Chicago 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00043
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382 0.00043
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00054
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Valparaiso Valparaiso 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Northwestern Illinois-Chicago 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262 -0.00180
Northern Kentucky Illinois-Chicago 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00107
Northern Kentucky Illinois-Chicago 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00107
Youngstown State Illinois-Chicago 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00185
Youngstown State Illinois-Chicago 14 38 0.269 0.498 0.259 -0.00185
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231
Wright State Wright State 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231
Wright State Illinois-Chicago 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231
Wright State Illinois-Chicago 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231
Wright State Illinois-Chicago 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231
Oakland neutral 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339 -0.00037
Valparaiso neutral 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377 0.00033
Wright State neutral 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484 0.00231

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 129.86 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 10.56 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
IPFW 141.47 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 125.88 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 116.76 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Northern Illinois 58.36 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northwestern 14.17 15 38 0.283 0.484 0.262
Notre Dame 74.12 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 105.28 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Valparaiso 42.36 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Michigan 108.85 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 86.61 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 162.58 32 26 0.552 0.439 0.386
Bowling Green State 210.29 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 159.58 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Central Michigan 187.57 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Cincinnati 250.70 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 232.68 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Illinois 167.26 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 206.96 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 268.81 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Indiana 195.03 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 165.36 35 21 0.625 0.510 0.440
Iowa 201.78 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Louisville 271.83 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 223.04 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 202.28 36 21 0.632 0.523 0.447
Michigan State 172.23 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Northern Kentucky 257.75 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Oakland 233.62 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio State 273.21 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Southern Illinois 299.35 31 25 0.554 0.509 0.404
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 245.89 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 261.40 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Toledo 209.53 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Illinois 184.96 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Wright State 236.86 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 250.88 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation