Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois-Chicago

Last updated: Mon May 2 06:55:23 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.468
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Texas Southern Texas Southern 13 20 0.394 0.390 0.294 -0.00158
Texas Southern Texas Southern 13 20 0.394 0.390 0.294 -0.00158
Texas Southern Texas Southern 13 20 0.394 0.390 0.294 -0.00158
Texas Southern Texas Southern 13 20 0.394 0.390 0.294 -0.00158
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00413
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00413
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 33 10 0.767 0.535 0.517 0.00413
Missouri Missouri 23 21 0.523 0.560 0.402 0.00119
Missouri Missouri 23 21 0.523 0.560 0.402 0.00119
Missouri Missouri 23 21 0.523 0.560 0.402 0.00119
Missouri Missouri 23 21 0.523 0.560 0.402 0.00119
Northwestern Illinois-Chicago 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00284
Chicago State Illinois-Chicago 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228 -0.00328
Chicago State Chicago State 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228 -0.00328
Chicago State Chicago State 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228 -0.00328
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00026
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00026
Oakland Illinois-Chicago 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366 0.00026
Notre Dame Notre Dame 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440 0.00216
Michigan Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00347
Michigan Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00347
Michigan Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00347
Michigan Michigan 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491 0.00347
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00235
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 27 0.270 0.517 0.264 -0.00235
Northwestern Northwestern 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245 -0.00284
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00176
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00176
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287 -0.00176
Northern Illinois Illinois-Chicago 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00097
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00011
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00011
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois-Chicago 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00011
Valparaiso Illinois-Chicago 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00085
Valparaiso Illinois-Chicago 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00085
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00011
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360 0.00011
Northern Illinois Northern Illinois 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318 -0.00097
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00085
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00085
Valparaiso Valparaiso 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389 0.00085

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 129.86 17 16 0.515 0.478 0.377
Chicago State 10.56 10 32 0.238 0.436 0.228
IPFW 141.47 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 125.88 21 18 0.538 0.522 0.400
Illinois State 116.76 13 28 0.317 0.489 0.281
Northern Illinois 58.36 17 25 0.405 0.462 0.318
Northwestern 14.17 10 31 0.244 0.492 0.245
Notre Dame 74.12 25 16 0.610 0.541 0.440
Purdue 105.28 7 33 0.175 0.532 0.221
Valparaiso 42.36 19 18 0.514 0.528 0.389
Western Michigan 108.85 13 25 0.342 0.472 0.289
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 86.61 18 19 0.486 0.469 0.360

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 162.58 27 18 0.600 0.435 0.409
Bowling Green State 210.29 15 27 0.357 0.436 0.287
Butler 159.58 10 29 0.256 0.463 0.244
Central Michigan 187.57 10 32 0.238 0.497 0.243
Cincinnati 250.70 21 22 0.488 0.546 0.381
Dayton 232.68 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Illinois 167.26 5 36 0.122 0.519 0.191
Eastern Michigan 206.96 17 22 0.436 0.502 0.344
Evansville 268.81 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420
Indiana 195.03 25 16 0.610 0.459 0.420
Indiana State 165.36 26 16 0.619 0.508 0.436
Iowa 201.78 16 20 0.444 0.572 0.365
Louisville 271.83 35 9 0.795 0.581 0.543
Miami, Ohio 223.04 21 21 0.500 0.483 0.371
Michigan 202.28 29 11 0.725 0.516 0.491
Michigan State 172.23 29 11 0.725 0.480 0.482
Northern Kentucky 257.75 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
Oakland 233.62 17 17 0.500 0.466 0.366
Ohio State 273.21 27 14 0.659 0.458 0.444
Southern Illinois 299.35 24 18 0.571 0.491 0.408
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 245.89 9 30 0.231 0.526 0.247
St. Louis 261.40 17 25 0.405 0.437 0.312
Toledo 209.53 9 34 0.209 0.496 0.228
Western Illinois 184.96 11 25 0.306 0.486 0.274
Wright State 236.86 30 13 0.698 0.461 0.464
Xavier 250.88 17 26 0.395 0.518 0.327

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation