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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38225


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00013
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00013
Belmont Belmont 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389 0.00013
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00061
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00061
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00061
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00061
Indiana neutral 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417 0.00067
Ohio State neutral 38 17 0.691 0.488 0.467 0.00163
Northwestern neutral 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264 -0.00227
Michigan State neutral 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448 0.00126
Florida International Florida International 27 27 0.500 0.557 0.389 0.00013
Western Michigan neutral 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298 -0.00162
Central Michigan neutral 20 35 0.364 0.487 0.304 -0.00150
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240 -0.00274
St. Louis St. Louis 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00079
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00011
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00011
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00011
Illinois Illinois State 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00057
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00178
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00178
Tulane Tulane 37 17 0.685 0.529 0.475 0.00178
Eastern Illinois Illinois State 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238 -0.00277
Xavier Illinois State 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00008
Xavier Illinois State 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00008
Xavier Illinois State 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 -0.00008
Valparaiso Valparaiso 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 -0.00020
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 37 17 0.685 0.535 0.476 0.00180
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 37 17 0.685 0.535 0.476 0.00180
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412 0.00057
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00128
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00128
Indiana State Indiana State 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449 0.00128
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216 -0.00320
Southern Illinois Illinois State 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00053
Southern Illinois Illinois State 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00053
Southern Illinois Illinois State 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410 0.00053
Purdue Illinois State 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225 -0.00302
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 -0.00000
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 -0.00000
Evansville Evansville 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382 -0.00000
Bradley Illinois State 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394 0.00023
Bradley Illinois State 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394 0.00023
Bradley Illinois State 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394 0.00023
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00011
Wichita State Illinois State 21 35 0.375 0.556 0.327 -0.00106
Wichita State Illinois State 21 35 0.375 0.556 0.327 -0.00106
Wichita State Illinois State 21 35 0.375 0.556 0.327 -0.00106
Missouri State Missouri State 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00111
Missouri State Missouri State 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00111
Missouri State Missouri State 34 19 0.642 0.474 0.440 0.00111

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 33.57 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Chicago State 110.14 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
Eastern Illinois 83.72 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Illinois 49.82 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois-Chicago 116.76 23 28 0.451 0.479 0.345
Indiana State 110.25 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Northern Illinois 98.78 24 30 0.444 0.470 0.340
Northwestern 126.93 15 38 0.283 0.491 0.264
Purdue 108.30 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.41 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 145.51 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341
Valparaiso 121.60 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Western Illinois 88.69 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 288.83 32 21 0.604 0.495 0.426
Ball State 189.47 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Bowling Green State 286.53 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Butler 156.49 12 40 0.231 0.499 0.240
Cincinnati 256.55 26 28 0.481 0.542 0.376
Dayton 259.05 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295
Evansville 192.19 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
IPFW 207.93 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Indiana 160.87 31 22 0.585 0.497 0.417
Iowa 154.83 24 25 0.490 0.559 0.385
Kentucky 295.75 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Louisville 235.28 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 236.14 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Michigan 298.13 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 278.75 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Missouri 208.28 26 29 0.473 0.547 0.373
Murray State 271.43 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
Northern Kentucky 261.77 20 33 0.377 0.470 0.306
Notre Dame 165.74 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Southeast Missouri State 223.12 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 194.57 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Tennessee-Martin 288.42 18 34 0.346 0.482 0.293
Toledo 291.99 18 36 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Kentucky 279.72 24 30 0.444 0.539 0.357
Western Michigan 214.29 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 187.04 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388
Wright State 266.33 41 15 0.732 0.467 0.483
Xavier 257.80 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation