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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:27 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.481
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.501
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Belmont Belmont 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393 0.00070
Belmont Belmont 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393 0.00070
Belmont Belmont 24 17 0.585 0.401 0.393 0.00070
Oregon Oregon 18 16 0.529 0.531 0.397 0.00080
Oregon Oregon 18 16 0.529 0.531 0.397 0.00080
Oregon Oregon 18 16 0.529 0.531 0.397 0.00080
Oregon Oregon 18 16 0.529 0.531 0.397 0.00080
Indiana neutral 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00124
Ohio State neutral 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00188
Northwestern neutral 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250 -0.00297
Michigan State neutral 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485 0.00306
Florida International Florida International 19 23 0.452 0.556 0.365 -0.00002
Western Michigan neutral 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274 -0.00235
Central Michigan neutral 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252 -0.00292
Butler neutral 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00307
St. Louis St. Louis 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308 -0.00148
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00048
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00048
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Illinois State 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347 -0.00048
Illinois Illinois State 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00088
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.545 0.474 0.00278
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.545 0.474 0.00278
Tulane Tulane 27 13 0.675 0.545 0.474 0.00278
Eastern Illinois Illinois State 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199 -0.00428
Xavier Illinois State 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00115
Xavier Illinois State 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00115
Xavier Illinois State 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00115
Valparaiso Valparaiso 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383 0.00044
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 27 12 0.692 0.539 0.481 0.00296
Dallas Baptist Illinois State 27 12 0.692 0.539 0.481 0.00296
Illinois Illinois 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400 0.00088
Indiana State Indiana State 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424 0.00149
Indiana State Indiana State 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424 0.00149
Indiana State Indiana State 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424 0.00149
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246 -0.00307
Southern Illinois Illinois State 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00124
Southern Illinois Illinois State 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00124
Southern Illinois Illinois State 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00124
Purdue Illinois State 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222 -0.00369
Evansville Evansville 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424 0.00149
Evansville Evansville 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424 0.00149

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 33.57 15 15 0.500 0.464 0.366
Chicago State 110.14 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
Eastern Illinois 83.72 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Illinois 49.82 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois-Chicago 116.76 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Indiana State 110.25 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Northern Illinois 98.78 15 25 0.375 0.468 0.304
Northwestern 126.93 10 29 0.256 0.488 0.250
Purdue 108.30 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.41 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246
St. Louis 145.51 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308
Valparaiso 121.60 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Western Illinois 88.69 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 288.83 25 14 0.641 0.529 0.453
Ball State 189.47 25 17 0.595 0.439 0.407
Bowling Green State 286.53 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Butler 156.49 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Cincinnati 256.55 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379
Dayton 259.05 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Evansville 192.19 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
IPFW 207.93 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Indiana 160.87 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Iowa 154.83 16 19 0.457 0.579 0.373
Kentucky 295.75 26 15 0.634 0.571 0.460
Louisville 235.28 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 236.14 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Michigan 298.13 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 278.75 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Missouri 208.28 21 21 0.500 0.566 0.391
Murray State 271.43 19 21 0.475 0.462 0.353
Northern Kentucky 261.77 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Notre Dame 165.74 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Southeast Missouri State 223.12 29 11 0.725 0.485 0.484
Southern Illinois 194.57 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414
Tennessee-Martin 288.42 12 26 0.316 0.488 0.280
Toledo 291.99 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
Western Kentucky 279.72 23 18 0.561 0.537 0.415
Western Michigan 214.29 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 187.04 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347
Wright State 266.33 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 257.80 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation