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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Illinois State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.500
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.503
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37575


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00072
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00072
Arkansas State Arkansas State 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00072
Southeast Missouri State neutral 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00149
Southeast Missouri State neutral 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00149
Southeast Missouri State neutral 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431 0.00149
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00333
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00333
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499 0.00333
St. Joseph's neutral 15 19 0.441 0.474 0.339 -0.00099
Georgetown neutral 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381 0.00014
Bucknell neutral 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353 -0.00061
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516 0.00379
Bowling Green State neutral 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313 -0.00170
Maine neutral 12 20 0.375 0.462 0.303 -0.00197
LIU Brooklyn neutral 12 25 0.324 0.411 0.265 -0.00299
Butler neutral 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00270
Illinois-Chicago Illinois State 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 0.00011
Eastern Kentucky Illinois State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00213
Eastern Kentucky Illinois State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00213
Eastern Kentucky Illinois State 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00213
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 30 9 0.769 0.588 0.531 0.00420
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 30 9 0.769 0.588 0.531 0.00420
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 30 9 0.769 0.588 0.531 0.00420
Eastern Illinois Eastern Illinois 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00421
Evansville Illinois State 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 0.00076
Evansville Illinois State 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 0.00076
Evansville Illinois State 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404 0.00076
Northern Illinois Illinois State 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292 -0.00226
Wichita State Wichita State 15 26 0.366 0.530 0.316 -0.00161
Wichita State Wichita State 15 26 0.366 0.530 0.316 -0.00161
Wichita State Wichita State 15 26 0.366 0.530 0.316 -0.00161
Illinois Illinois State 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00452
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00356
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00356
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244 -0.00356
Missouri State Illinois State 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00379
Missouri State Illinois State 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00379
Missouri State Illinois State 29 9 0.763 0.537 0.516 0.00379

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 33.57 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Chicago State 110.14 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Eastern Illinois 83.72 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Illinois 49.82 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois-Chicago 116.76 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Indiana State 110.25 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Northern Illinois 98.78 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Northwestern 126.93 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Purdue 108.30 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 130.41 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 145.51 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Valparaiso 121.60 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Western Illinois 88.69 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 288.83 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Ball State 189.47 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 286.53 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 156.49 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 256.55 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 259.05 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Evansville 192.19 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
IPFW 207.93 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Indiana 160.87 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Iowa 154.83 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Kentucky 295.75 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Louisville 235.28 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 236.14 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Michigan 298.13 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 278.75 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Missouri 208.28 25 16 0.610 0.564 0.446
Murray State 271.43 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
Northern Kentucky 261.77 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Notre Dame 165.74 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Southeast Missouri State 223.12 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 194.57 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Tennessee-Martin 288.42 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Toledo 291.99 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Western Kentucky 279.72 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Western Michigan 214.29 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 187.04 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413
Wright State 266.33 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 257.80 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation