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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.583
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.550
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.429


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00361
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00361
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216 -0.00361
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336 -0.00158
Mississippi Mississippi 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505 0.00129
Mississippi Mississippi 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505 0.00129
Mississippi Mississippi 43 17 0.717 0.586 0.505 0.00129
Morehead State Louisville 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393 -0.00061
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 24 19 0.558 0.496 0.403 -0.00044
Longwood Louisville 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389 -0.00068
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00073
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00073
Notre Dame Louisville 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386 -0.00073
Xavier Louisville 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392 -0.00063
Wright State Louisville 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489 0.00102
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 11 0.796 0.598 0.547 0.00200
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 11 0.796 0.598 0.547 0.00200
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 43 11 0.796 0.598 0.547 0.00200
Purdue Purdue 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00349
Virginia Louisville 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00069
Virginia Louisville 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00069
Virginia Louisville 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00069
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355 -0.00125
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00214
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00214
Virginia Tech Louisville 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303 -0.00214
Florida State Florida State 37 20 0.649 0.599 0.474 0.00076
Florida State Florida State 37 20 0.649 0.599 0.474 0.00076
Florida State Florida State 37 20 0.649 0.599 0.474 0.00076
Western Kentucky Louisville 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355 -0.00125
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 -0.00019
Clemson Louisville 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00114
Clemson Louisville 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00114
Clemson Louisville 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00114
Kentucky Louisville 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418 -0.00019
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00017
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00017
Boston College Boston College 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00017
Florida International Louisville 28 29 0.491 0.553 0.384 -0.00076
St. John's Louisville 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 -0.00078
St. John's Louisville 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 -0.00078
St. John's Louisville 28 26 0.519 0.492 0.383 -0.00078
Cincinnati Louisville 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00103
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00049
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00049
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.594 0.458 0.00049
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501 0.00122
North Carolina State Louisville 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00071
North Carolina State Louisville 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00071
North Carolina State Louisville 35 20 0.636 0.613 0.471 0.00071
Indiana Louisville 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 -0.00034
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00002
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00002
Wake Forest Wake Forest 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00002
Wake Forest neutral 34 25 0.576 0.568 0.430 0.00002
Clemson neutral 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496 0.00114
Virginia neutral 37 20 0.649 0.583 0.470 0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 34 23 0.596 0.499 0.423
Ball State 140.21 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387
Butler 115.38 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Cincinnati 92.81 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 134.81 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 24 31 0.436 0.473 0.336
Evansville 97.59 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Indiana 78.50 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 125.12 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Kentucky 69.79 32 25 0.561 0.548 0.418
Miami, Ohio 105.96 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Morehead State 126.86 31 27 0.534 0.505 0.393
Northern Kentucky 90.19 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Tennessee Tech 140.80 31 24 0.564 0.440 0.392
Western Kentucky 92.70 24 30 0.444 0.533 0.355
Wright State 142.80 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 95.23 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 12 44 0.214 0.403 0.208
Appalachian State 262.87 18 36 0.333 0.498 0.291
Belmont 153.17 33 27 0.550 0.453 0.388
Bowling Green State 246.87 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Bradley 266.94 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394
Chicago State 261.45 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
Clemson 292.55 42 18 0.700 0.584 0.496
East Tennessee State 228.17 27 30 0.474 0.430 0.344
Eastern Illinois 157.07 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Furman 292.24 29 30 0.492 0.528 0.378
IPFW 204.30 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Illinois 185.87 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Illinois State 235.28 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Kennesaw State 295.69 29 27 0.518 0.489 0.381
Lipscomb 156.12 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Marshall 224.62 34 21 0.618 0.524 0.440
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 20 35 0.364 0.544 0.318
Murray State 177.79 25 28 0.472 0.481 0.356
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
Northwestern 285.65 15 38 0.283 0.487 0.263
Notre Dame 242.44 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Ohio 211.45 23 29 0.442 0.440 0.331
Ohio State 192.50 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Purdue 166.60 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Radford 294.99 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 38 19 0.667 0.500 0.459
Southern Illinois 191.56 31 25 0.554 0.510 0.405
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
St. Louis 243.58 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331
Tennessee 185.77 29 28 0.509 0.550 0.392
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 18 34 0.346 0.480 0.293
Toledo 263.68 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Valparaiso 234.76 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Vanderbilt 153.68 43 17 0.717 0.572 0.501
Virginia Tech 299.62 19 36 0.345 0.523 0.303
Western Carolina 246.33 30 29 0.508 0.526 0.386
Western Michigan 281.96 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation