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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Fri May 6 06:57:30 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.579
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.546
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.426


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00400
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00400
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Louisville 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246 -0.00400
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345 -0.00180
Mississippi Mississippi 34 12 0.739 0.590 0.517 0.00202
Mississippi Mississippi 34 12 0.739 0.590 0.517 0.00202
Mississippi Mississippi 34 12 0.739 0.590 0.517 0.00202
Morehead State Louisville 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406 -0.00044
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404 -0.00049
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404 -0.00049
Princeton Louisville 22 18 0.550 0.515 0.404 -0.00049
Longwood Louisville 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 -0.00062
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Notre Dame Louisville 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424 -0.00004
Xavier Louisville 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339 -0.00193
Wright State Louisville 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464 0.00084
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.596 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.596 0.546 0.00267
Miami, Florida Miami, Florida 31 8 0.795 0.596 0.546 0.00267
Purdue Purdue 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220 -0.00458
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00104
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00104
Virginia Louisville 31 17 0.646 0.599 0.473 0.00104
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 24 21 0.533 0.531 0.399 -0.00060
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Virginia Tech Louisville 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298 -0.00284
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00162
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00162
Florida State Florida State 29 13 0.690 0.618 0.499 0.00162
Western Kentucky Louisville 24 21 0.533 0.531 0.399 -0.00060
Kentucky Kentucky 27 18 0.600 0.553 0.438 0.00027
Clemson Louisville 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479 0.00118
Clemson Louisville 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479 0.00118
Clemson Louisville 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479 0.00118
Kentucky Louisville 27 18 0.600 0.553 0.438 0.00027
Boston College Boston College 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00016
Boston College Boston College 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00016
Boston College Boston College 25 17 0.595 0.544 0.433 0.00016
Florida International Louisville 21 24 0.467 0.560 0.374 -0.00116
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00096
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00096
St. John's Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.456 0.383 -0.00096
Cincinnati Louisville 21 23 0.477 0.549 0.376 -0.00111

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 26 16 0.619 0.529 0.442
Ball State 140.21 27 18 0.600 0.439 0.410
Butler 115.38 10 31 0.244 0.465 0.238
Cincinnati 92.81 21 23 0.477 0.549 0.376
Dayton 134.81 16 29 0.356 0.479 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 21 25 0.457 0.467 0.345
Evansville 97.59 24 18 0.571 0.495 0.409
Indiana 78.50 26 16 0.619 0.456 0.423
Indiana State 125.12 27 16 0.628 0.514 0.443
Kentucky 69.79 27 18 0.600 0.553 0.438
Miami, Ohio 105.96 21 22 0.488 0.492 0.367
Morehead State 126.86 25 20 0.556 0.512 0.406
Northern Kentucky 90.19 16 29 0.356 0.467 0.295
Tennessee Tech 140.80 23 19 0.548 0.416 0.378
Western Kentucky 92.70 24 21 0.533 0.531 0.399
Wright State 142.80 30 13 0.698 0.459 0.464
Xavier 95.23 19 26 0.422 0.511 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 12 38 0.240 0.372 0.213
Appalachian State 262.87 14 31 0.311 0.498 0.280
Belmont 153.17 26 19 0.578 0.429 0.396
Bowling Green State 246.87 15 28 0.349 0.438 0.284
Bradley 266.94 17 16 0.515 0.473 0.376
Chicago State 261.45 10 34 0.227 0.437 0.223
Clemson 292.55 29 15 0.659 0.596 0.479
East Tennessee State 228.17 19 25 0.432 0.426 0.323
Eastern Illinois 157.07 5 36 0.122 0.518 0.191
Furman 292.24 20 25 0.444 0.548 0.359
IPFW 204.30 17 23 0.425 0.419 0.317
Illinois 185.87 23 19 0.548 0.532 0.407
Illinois State 235.28 14 28 0.333 0.499 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 19 23 0.452 0.461 0.341
Kennesaw State 295.69 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Lipscomb 156.12 23 21 0.523 0.440 0.371
Marshall 224.62 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 17 28 0.378 0.561 0.329
Murray State 177.79 20 23 0.465 0.482 0.353
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 15 27 0.357 0.433 0.287
Northwestern 285.65 10 33 0.233 0.497 0.241
Notre Dame 242.44 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Ohio 211.45 20 23 0.465 0.455 0.346
Ohio State 192.50 29 15 0.659 0.454 0.443
Purdue 166.60 7 34 0.171 0.539 0.220
Radford 294.99 14 30 0.318 0.552 0.297
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 30 13 0.698 0.483 0.470
Southern Illinois 191.56 25 19 0.568 0.493 0.407
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 9 30 0.231 0.524 0.246
St. Louis 243.58 19 25 0.432 0.440 0.326
Tennessee 185.77 24 21 0.533 0.553 0.405
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 14 27 0.341 0.471 0.288
Toledo 263.68 10 34 0.227 0.494 0.237
Valparaiso 234.76 19 21 0.475 0.518 0.367
Vanderbilt 153.68 35 10 0.778 0.538 0.524
Virginia Tech 299.62 15 31 0.326 0.539 0.298
Western Carolina 246.33 22 21 0.512 0.521 0.386
Western Michigan 281.96 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation