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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:13 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.540
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.546
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4065


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama State neutral 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00123
South Florida neutral 28 14 0.667 0.583 0.479 0.00173
Cal State Fullerton neutral 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 0.00015
Arkansas State neutral 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00137
Arkansas State neutral 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00137
Arkansas State neutral 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349 -0.00137
Butler Louisville 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276 -0.00311
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00261
Xavier Louisville 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00346
Xavier Louisville 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00346
Xavier Louisville 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261 -0.00346
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297 -0.00261
Miami, Florida Louisville 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00235
Miami, Florida Louisville 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00235
Miami, Florida Louisville 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00235
Mississippi Louisville 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00001
Mississippi Louisville 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407 0.00001
Boston College Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00006
Boston College Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00006
Boston College Louisville 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00006
Purdue Louisville 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285 -0.00289
Notre Dame Notre Dame 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00168
Notre Dame Notre Dame 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00168
Notre Dame Notre Dame 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00168
Indiana Indiana 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437 0.00073
Georgia Tech Louisville 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Georgia Tech Louisville 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Georgia Tech Louisville 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451 0.00106
Miami, Ohio Louisville 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00439
Virginia Virginia 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00130
Virginia Virginia 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00130
Virginia Virginia 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461 0.00130
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 0.00035
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 0.00035
Duke Duke 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421 0.00035
Ohio State Ohio State 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00237
Wake Forest Louisville 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00013
Wake Forest Louisville 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00013
Wake Forest Louisville 23 20 0.535 0.534 0.401 -0.00013
Cincinnati Cincinnati 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00263
Western Kentucky Louisville 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00015
Bethune-Cookman Louisville 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00308
Bethune-Cookman Louisville 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00308
Bethune-Cookman Louisville 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00308

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Ball State 140.21 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Butler 115.38 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Cincinnati 92.81 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 134.81 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
Evansville 97.59 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Indiana 78.50 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 125.12 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Kentucky 69.79 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Miami, Ohio 105.96 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Morehead State 126.86 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Northern Kentucky 90.19 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Tennessee Tech 140.80 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Western Kentucky 92.70 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Wright State 142.80 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 95.23 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Appalachian State 262.87 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Belmont 153.17 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Bowling Green State 246.87 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Bradley 266.94 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Chicago State 261.45 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
Clemson 292.55 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
East Tennessee State 228.17 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Eastern Illinois 157.07 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Furman 292.24 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
IPFW 204.30 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 185.87 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 235.28 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Kennesaw State 295.69 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Lipscomb 156.12 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Marshall 224.62 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 177.79 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
Northwestern 285.65 13 27 0.325 0.554 0.301
Notre Dame 242.44 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Ohio 211.45 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Ohio State 192.50 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Purdue 166.60 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Radford 294.99 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southern Illinois 191.56 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 243.58 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Tennessee 185.77 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Toledo 263.68 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Valparaiso 234.76 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Vanderbilt 153.68 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Virginia Tech 299.62 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Western Carolina 246.33 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
Western Michigan 281.96 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation