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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Louisville

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:05 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.460
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.584
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.376


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Alabama State neutral 9 6 0.600 0.458 0.414 0.00190
South Florida neutral 13 6 0.684 0.507 0.469 0.00465
Cal State Fullerton neutral 9 9 0.500 0.629 0.407 0.00155
Arkansas State neutral 8 8 0.500 0.597 0.399 0.00115
Arkansas State neutral 8 8 0.500 0.597 0.399 0.00115
Arkansas State neutral 8 8 0.500 0.597 0.399 0.00115
Butler Louisville 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249 -0.00635
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250 -0.00630
Xavier Louisville 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267 -0.00545
Xavier Louisville 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267 -0.00545
Xavier Louisville 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267 -0.00545
Eastern Kentucky Louisville 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250 -0.00630
Miami, Florida Louisville 14 6 0.700 0.610 0.502 0.00630
Miami, Florida Louisville 14 6 0.700 0.610 0.502 0.00630
Miami, Florida Louisville 14 6 0.700 0.610 0.502 0.00630
Mississippi Louisville 10 9 0.526 0.743 0.449 0.00365
Mississippi Louisville 10 9 0.526 0.743 0.449 0.00365
Boston College Louisville 5 12 0.294 0.599 0.297 -0.00395
Boston College Louisville 5 12 0.294 0.599 0.297 -0.00395
Boston College Louisville 5 12 0.294 0.599 0.297 -0.00395

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 144.71 10 5 0.667 0.311 0.411
Ball State 140.21 11 7 0.611 0.495 0.429
Butler 115.38 4 14 0.222 0.551 0.249
Cincinnati 92.81 6 11 0.353 0.416 0.280
Dayton 134.81 5 11 0.312 0.422 0.262
Eastern Kentucky 85.99 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
Evansville 97.59 7 8 0.467 0.444 0.345
Indiana 78.50 13 4 0.765 0.501 0.508
Indiana State 125.12 8 7 0.533 0.555 0.405
Kentucky 69.79 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Miami, Ohio 105.96 2 12 0.143 0.613 0.225
Morehead State 126.86 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Northern Kentucky 90.19 2 12 0.143 0.658 0.236
Tennessee Tech 140.80 8 8 0.500 0.506 0.377
Western Kentucky 92.70 9 9 0.500 0.531 0.383
Wright State 142.80 11 6 0.647 0.451 0.436
Xavier 95.23 4 14 0.222 0.624 0.267

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 240.91 11 7 0.611 0.471 0.423
Appalachian State 262.87 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Belmont 153.17 8 8 0.500 0.466 0.366
Bowling Green State 246.87 5 9 0.357 0.484 0.299
Bradley 266.94 13 3 0.812 0.541 0.541
Chicago State 261.45 5 13 0.278 0.481 0.259
Clemson 292.55 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411
East Tennessee State 228.17 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Eastern Illinois 157.07 0 13 0.000 0.541 0.135
Furman 292.24 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
IPFW 204.30 11 6 0.647 0.400 0.423
Illinois 185.87 14 4 0.778 0.432 0.497
Illinois State 235.28 8 9 0.471 0.547 0.372
Illinois-Chicago 271.83 4 9 0.308 0.421 0.259
Kennesaw State 295.69 9 8 0.529 0.619 0.419
Lipscomb 156.12 11 5 0.688 0.432 0.452
Marshall 224.62 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Middle Tennessee State 166.06 11 6 0.647 0.543 0.459
Murray State 177.79 6 13 0.316 0.407 0.260
North Carolina-Asheville 251.11 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
Northwestern 285.65 4 13 0.235 0.468 0.234
Notre Dame 242.44 14 4 0.778 0.548 0.526
Ohio 211.45 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Ohio State 192.50 10 5 0.667 0.584 0.480
Purdue 166.60 7 10 0.412 0.545 0.342
Radford 294.99 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
Southeast Missouri State 215.16 8 8 0.500 0.498 0.374
Southern Illinois 191.56 3 15 0.167 0.497 0.208
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 233.73 5 9 0.357 0.530 0.311
St. Louis 243.58 12 7 0.632 0.379 0.411
Tennessee 185.77 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
Tennessee-Martin 213.95 3 11 0.214 0.436 0.216
Toledo 263.68 5 13 0.278 0.522 0.270
Valparaiso 234.76 4 10 0.286 0.444 0.254
Vanderbilt 153.68 16 4 0.800 0.545 0.536
Virginia Tech 299.62 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Western Carolina 246.33 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321
Western Michigan 281.96 7 9 0.438 0.431 0.327

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation