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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Mississippi State

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.561
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.534
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.414


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Cincinnati Mississippi State 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00281
Cincinnati Mississippi State 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00281
Miami, Ohio Mississippi State 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222 -0.00457
Cincinnati Mississippi State 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00281
Marshall Mississippi State 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00276
Alabama A&M Mississippi State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00157
Alabama A&M Mississippi State 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348 -0.00157
Marshall Mississippi State 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00276
Alcorn State Mississippi State 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212 -0.00481
Arizona Mississippi State 24 15 0.615 0.495 0.431 0.00040
Arizona Mississippi State 24 15 0.615 0.495 0.431 0.00040
Samford Mississippi State 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00007
Samford Mississippi State 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417 0.00007
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Mississippi State 18 15 0.545 0.413 0.376 -0.00090
San Diego Mississippi State 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00014
San Diego Mississippi State 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00014
San Diego Mississippi State 23 16 0.590 0.500 0.420 0.00014
Western Kentucky Mississippi State 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00033
Western Kentucky Mississippi State 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00033
Alabama Mississippi State 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00026
Alabama Mississippi State 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00026
Alabama Mississippi State 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425 0.00026
Eastern Illinois Mississippi State 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220 -0.00462
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00067
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00067
Kentucky Kentucky 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442 0.00067
Southern Mississippi neutral 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427 0.00031
Auburn Mississippi State 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00129
Auburn Mississippi State 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00129
Auburn Mississippi State 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468 0.00129
South Alabama South Alabama 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433 0.00045
South Carolina Mississippi State 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00060
South Carolina Mississippi State 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00060
South Carolina Mississippi State 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439 0.00060
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00129
Texas A&M Texas A&M 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00333
Texas A&M Texas A&M 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00333
Texas A&M Texas A&M 36 7 0.837 0.543 0.554 0.00333
Florida Mississippi State 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00240
Florida Mississippi State 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00240
Florida Mississippi State 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00240
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00069
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00069
Arkansas Arkansas 25 17 0.595 0.580 0.443 0.00069

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 74.64 22 18 0.550 0.602 0.425
Alabama-Birmingham 114.27 23 16 0.590 0.529 0.427
Jackson State 114.69 17 16 0.515 0.431 0.365
Memphis 130.38 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468
Mississippi 75.06 21 21 0.500 0.628 0.407
Samford 115.16 23 17 0.575 0.519 0.417

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 156.06 22 24 0.478 0.436 0.348
Alabama State 164.10 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458
Alcorn State 174.92 7 32 0.179 0.489 0.212
Arkansas State 195.90 16 22 0.421 0.552 0.349
Arkansas-Little Rock 220.41 14 24 0.368 0.540 0.319
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 190.67 18 15 0.545 0.413 0.376
Auburn 200.44 28 16 0.636 0.598 0.468
Austin Peay State 227.49 22 17 0.564 0.457 0.396
Belmont 217.52 21 19 0.525 0.490 0.385
Central Arkansas 237.33 20 15 0.571 0.501 0.411
Georgia State 260.36 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 254.08 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
Grambling State 235.94 7 26 0.212 0.403 0.207
Jacksonville State 175.39 21 20 0.512 0.481 0.376
Kennesaw State 245.20 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Lipscomb 214.66 26 13 0.667 0.487 0.455
Louisiana State 253.48 37 6 0.860 0.544 0.566
Louisiana Tech 232.60 19 19 0.500 0.533 0.383
Louisiana-Lafayette 294.46 26 15 0.634 0.564 0.458
Louisiana-Monroe 200.05 20 23 0.465 0.451 0.345
Middle Tennessee State 215.09 23 18 0.561 0.542 0.416
Murray State 220.01 14 28 0.333 0.429 0.274
New Orleans 248.33 12 25 0.324 0.497 0.286
Nicholls State 280.15 22 15 0.595 0.496 0.421
Northwestern State 276.88 23 17 0.575 0.512 0.415
South Alabama 194.79 27 16 0.628 0.475 0.433
Southeast Missouri State 269.30 26 15 0.634 0.456 0.431
Southeastern Louisiana 226.46 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487
Southern 246.81 12 18 0.400 0.398 0.299
Southern Illinois 294.05 10 33 0.233 0.510 0.244
Southern Mississippi 150.51 22 15 0.595 0.517 0.427
Tennessee Tech 264.19 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
Tennessee-Martin 198.99 9 27 0.250 0.481 0.245
Troy 201.36 23 20 0.535 0.525 0.399
Tulane 255.09 25 16 0.610 0.561 0.445
Vanderbilt 216.78 31 12 0.721 0.555 0.499
Western Kentucky 276.59 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation