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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Mississippi State

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.605
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.545
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.43875


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Florida Atlantic Mississippi State 29 11 0.725 0.515 0.491 0.00124
Florida Atlantic Mississippi State 29 11 0.725 0.515 0.491 0.00124
South Dakota State Mississippi State 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294 -0.00345
South Dakota State Mississippi State 13 25 0.342 0.491 0.294 -0.00345
Massachusetts-Lowell Mississippi State 17 20 0.459 0.483 0.350 -0.00211
Massachusetts-Lowell Mississippi State 17 20 0.459 0.483 0.350 -0.00211
Nicholls State Mississippi State 18 24 0.429 0.482 0.335 -0.00247
Nicholls State Mississippi State 18 24 0.429 0.482 0.335 -0.00247
Alcorn State Mississippi State 11 26 0.297 0.406 0.250 -0.00449
UCLA UCLA 19 20 0.487 0.571 0.386 -0.00126
Southern California Southern California 19 22 0.463 0.539 0.366 -0.00173
South Alabama Mississippi State 32 11 0.744 0.510 0.499 0.00143
Oregon Mississippi State 18 17 0.514 0.527 0.389 -0.00118
Oregon Mississippi State 18 17 0.514 0.527 0.389 -0.00118
Oregon Mississippi State 18 17 0.514 0.527 0.389 -0.00118
Eastern Kentucky Mississippi State 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333 -0.00252
Oral Roberts Mississippi State 25 14 0.641 0.508 0.448 0.00022
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515 0.00182
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515 0.00182
Vanderbilt Vanderbilt 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515 0.00182
Mississippi Valley State Mississippi State 4 30 0.118 0.399 0.159 -0.00666
Georgia Mississippi State 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00052
Georgia Mississippi State 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00052
Georgia Mississippi State 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417 -0.00052
Southern Mississippi neutral 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485 0.00110
Mississippi Mississippi State 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00177
Mississippi Mississippi State 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00177
Mississippi Mississippi State 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00177
Tennessee-Martin Mississippi State 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00359
Florida Florida 37 6 0.860 0.627 0.587 0.00353
Florida Florida 37 6 0.860 0.627 0.587 0.00353
Florida Florida 37 6 0.860 0.627 0.587 0.00353
Memphis Mississippi State 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290 -0.00354
Texas A&M Mississippi State 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00246
Texas A&M Mississippi State 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00246
Texas A&M Mississippi State 33 8 0.805 0.556 0.542 0.00246
Louisiana-Monroe neutral 16 27 0.372 0.549 0.323 -0.00276
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00096
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00096
Louisiana State Louisiana State 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479 0.00096
Mississippi neutral 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513 0.00177
Alabama Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420 -0.00045
Alabama Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420 -0.00045
Alabama Alabama 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420 -0.00045

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama 74.64 24 19 0.558 0.563 0.420
Alabama-Birmingham 114.27 17 23 0.425 0.580 0.357
Jackson State 114.69 15 21 0.417 0.393 0.307
Memphis 130.38 14 28 0.333 0.494 0.290
Mississippi 75.06 32 12 0.727 0.598 0.513
Samford 115.16 24 19 0.558 0.532 0.412

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 156.06 11 35 0.239 0.368 0.211
Alabama State 164.10 29 14 0.674 0.431 0.445
Alcorn State 174.92 11 26 0.297 0.406 0.250
Arkansas State 195.90 20 22 0.476 0.527 0.370
Arkansas-Little Rock 220.41 20 18 0.526 0.526 0.395
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 190.67 17 21 0.447 0.399 0.323
Auburn 200.44 19 23 0.452 0.589 0.373
Austin Peay State 227.49 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437
Belmont 217.52 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388
Central Arkansas 237.33 17 22 0.436 0.540 0.353
Georgia State 260.36 18 21 0.462 0.460 0.346
Georgia Tech 254.08 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476
Grambling State 235.94 16 20 0.444 0.425 0.328
Jacksonville State 175.39 27 14 0.659 0.515 0.458
Kennesaw State 245.20 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Lipscomb 214.66 22 21 0.512 0.443 0.367
Louisiana State 253.48 28 15 0.651 0.615 0.479
Louisiana Tech 232.60 25 13 0.658 0.513 0.457
Louisiana-Lafayette 294.46 27 15 0.643 0.594 0.470
Louisiana-Monroe 200.05 16 27 0.372 0.549 0.323
Middle Tennessee State 215.09 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338
Murray State 220.01 20 21 0.488 0.468 0.361
New Orleans 248.33 25 16 0.610 0.558 0.445
Nicholls State 280.15 18 24 0.429 0.482 0.335
Northwestern State 276.88 23 18 0.561 0.576 0.424
South Alabama 194.79 32 11 0.744 0.510 0.499
Southeast Missouri State 269.30 29 12 0.707 0.488 0.475
Southeastern Louisiana 226.46 29 13 0.690 0.502 0.470
Southern 246.81 8 24 0.250 0.427 0.232
Southern Illinois 294.05 23 18 0.561 0.500 0.406
Southern Mississippi 150.51 30 13 0.698 0.545 0.485
Tennessee Tech 264.19 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372
Tennessee-Martin 198.99 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Troy 201.36 24 18 0.571 0.533 0.419
Tulane 255.09 27 14 0.659 0.545 0.466
Vanderbilt 216.78 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515
Western Kentucky 276.59 23 20 0.535 0.532 0.401

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation