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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for North Carolina-Asheville

Last updated: Sun May 1 06:56:29 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.423
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.476
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3305


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00021
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00021
Ohio North Carolina-Asheville 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322 -0.00021
Monmouth neutral 20 20 0.500 0.465 0.366 0.00087
Rider neutral 13 26 0.333 0.481 0.287 -0.00106
Wofford Wofford 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398 0.00165
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315 -0.00038
Mount St. Mary's North Carolina-Asheville 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224 -0.00260
Mount St. Mary's North Carolina-Asheville 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224 -0.00260
Mount St. Mary's North Carolina-Asheville 10 28 0.263 0.368 0.224 -0.00260
Furman Furman 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346 0.00038
Appalachian State neutral 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265 -0.00160
Iona North Carolina-Asheville 8 28 0.222 0.487 0.233 -0.00238
Iona North Carolina-Asheville 8 28 0.222 0.487 0.233 -0.00238
Iona North Carolina-Asheville 8 28 0.222 0.487 0.233 -0.00238
Tennessee North Carolina-Asheville 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 0.00216
High Point North Carolina-Asheville 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00287
High Point North Carolina-Asheville 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00287
High Point North Carolina-Asheville 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448 0.00287
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265 -0.00160
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 0.00121
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 0.00121
Liberty Liberty 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380 0.00121
South Carolina-Upstate North Carolina-Asheville 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331 0.00001
Tennessee Tennessee 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419 0.00216
Presbyterian North Carolina-Asheville 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00084
Presbyterian North Carolina-Asheville 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00084
Presbyterian North Carolina-Asheville 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365 0.00084
South Carolina-Upstate South Carolina-Upstate 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331 0.00001
North Carolina North Carolina 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474 0.00350
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Asheville 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00004
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Asheville 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00004
North Carolina Central North Carolina-Asheville 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329 -0.00004
East Tennessee State North Carolina-Asheville 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315 -0.00038
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304 -0.00065
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304 -0.00065
Charleston Southern Charleston Southern 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304 -0.00065
Western Carolina Western Carolina 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396 0.00160
Winthrop North Carolina-Asheville 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00123
Winthrop North Carolina-Asheville 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00123
Winthrop North Carolina-Asheville 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381 0.00123

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 64.01 12 31 0.279 0.503 0.265
Clemson 66.73 26 14 0.650 0.587 0.472
Davidson 97.51 21 21 0.500 0.478 0.369
East Tennessee State 49.24 17 24 0.415 0.428 0.315
Furman 48.61 17 24 0.415 0.553 0.346
Gardner-Webb 56.93 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
Georgia 124.62 22 21 0.512 0.646 0.417
High Point 146.40 26 16 0.619 0.553 0.448
North Carolina-Charlotte 105.27 19 25 0.432 0.544 0.352
Presbyterian 89.27 21 21 0.500 0.462 0.365
South Carolina 142.16 33 9 0.786 0.579 0.538
South Carolina-Upstate 54.23 18 23 0.439 0.447 0.331
Tennessee 79.54 24 19 0.558 0.558 0.419
Wake Forest 134.54 27 17 0.614 0.567 0.449
Western Carolina 40.71 22 19 0.537 0.510 0.396
Winthrop 99.05 22 20 0.524 0.476 0.381
Wofford 58.03 25 20 0.556 0.480 0.398

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 233.54 11 35 0.239 0.368 0.211
Alabama-Birmingham 281.88 17 23 0.425 0.580 0.357
Auburn 267.10 19 23 0.452 0.589 0.373
Austin Peay State 274.65 25 16 0.610 0.528 0.437
Belmont 238.60 24 18 0.571 0.409 0.388
Campbell 216.12 22 21 0.512 0.504 0.382
Charleston Southern 231.36 15 26 0.366 0.483 0.304
Cincinnati 265.07 21 21 0.500 0.545 0.386
Coastal Carolina 247.38 31 12 0.721 0.589 0.508
College of Charleston 247.48 22 18 0.550 0.567 0.417
Dayton 298.14 16 28 0.364 0.472 0.300
Duke 204.87 24 19 0.558 0.572 0.422
East Carolina 292.24 26 16 0.619 0.574 0.453
Eastern Kentucky 174.97 19 25 0.432 0.468 0.333
Elon 174.82 20 23 0.465 0.507 0.359
Georgia Southern 224.84 26 18 0.591 0.472 0.413
Georgia State 164.93 18 21 0.462 0.460 0.346
Georgia Tech 164.01 28 14 0.667 0.571 0.476
Jacksonville State 220.16 27 14 0.659 0.515 0.458
James Madison 282.34 18 24 0.429 0.499 0.339
Kennesaw State 158.05 20 23 0.465 0.499 0.357
Kentucky 197.74 26 16 0.619 0.567 0.451
Liberty 223.27 22 22 0.500 0.521 0.380
Lipscomb 239.13 22 21 0.512 0.443 0.367
Longwood 259.24 25 18 0.581 0.480 0.410
Louisville 251.11 34 9 0.791 0.581 0.541
Marshall 195.81 22 17 0.564 0.528 0.414
Mercer 202.38 26 17 0.605 0.489 0.425
Miami, Ohio 294.04 20 21 0.488 0.481 0.364
Middle Tennessee State 213.49 17 26 0.395 0.560 0.338
Morehead State 184.14 25 18 0.581 0.503 0.416
North Carolina 198.75 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina A&T 159.66 10 33 0.233 0.476 0.235
North Carolina Central 207.23 20 24 0.455 0.406 0.329
North Carolina State 218.62 30 11 0.732 0.603 0.517
North Carolina-Greensboro 157.50 33 11 0.750 0.490 0.497
North Carolina-Wilmington 283.00 29 10 0.744 0.525 0.503
Northern Kentucky 257.61 15 28 0.349 0.462 0.290
Ohio 257.39 17 23 0.425 0.439 0.322
Radford 154.26 13 29 0.310 0.547 0.292
Samford 282.79 24 19 0.558 0.532 0.412
Savannah State 262.69 10 32 0.238 0.463 0.235
Tennessee Tech 169.19 21 18 0.538 0.413 0.372
The Citadel 245.69 15 27 0.357 0.501 0.304
VMI 229.44 18 28 0.391 0.485 0.317
Vanderbilt 239.97 32 10 0.762 0.536 0.515
Virginia 280.10 27 17 0.614 0.597 0.456
Virginia Tech 162.72 15 28 0.349 0.543 0.310
Western Kentucky 236.28 23 20 0.535 0.532 0.401
Wright State 299.05 30 12 0.714 0.457 0.471
Xavier 265.57 17 26 0.395 0.519 0.327

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation