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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky

Last updated: Thu May 26 06:50:46 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.470
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.479
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00119
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00119
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00119
Troy Troy 32 24 0.571 0.530 0.418 0.00119
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00013
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00013
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348 -0.00013
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259 -0.00181
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259 -0.00181
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259 -0.00181
Western Illinois neutral 13 35 0.271 0.492 0.259 -0.00181
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.404 0.460 0.00199
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.404 0.460 0.00199
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.404 0.460 0.00199
Alabama State Alabama State 38 15 0.717 0.404 0.460 0.00199
Ohio Ohio 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332 -0.00043
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033
Northwestern Northern Kentucky 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264 -0.00171
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00018
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00018
Oakland Northern Kentucky 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00018
Kentucky Kentucky 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419 0.00121
Butler Northern Kentucky 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00217
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00240
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00240
Wright State Wright State 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00240
Miami, Ohio Northern Kentucky 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364 0.00017
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345 -0.00018
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345 -0.00018
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345 -0.00018
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00179
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00179
Youngstown State Youngstown State 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00179
Xavier Northern Kentucky 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378 0.00044
Dayton Northern Kentucky 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294 -0.00115
Oakland Oakland 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00018
Oakland Oakland 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00018
Wright State Northern Kentucky 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00240
Wright State Northern Kentucky 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482 0.00240
Ball State Ball State 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396 0.00078
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00063
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00063
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00063
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345 -0.00018
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345 -0.00018
Valparaiso Valparaiso 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033
Valparaiso Valparaiso 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Kentucky 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00063
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northern Kentucky 28 24 0.538 0.476 0.388 0.00063
Youngstown State Northern Kentucky 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00179
Youngstown State Northern Kentucky 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260 -0.00179
Valparaiso neutral 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372 0.00033

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 96.67 32 24 0.571 0.442 0.396
Butler 106.97 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Cincinnati 7.48 26 29 0.473 0.543 0.372
Dayton 50.78 19 36 0.345 0.488 0.294
Eastern Kentucky 89.72 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
IPFW 148.33 27 24 0.529 0.402 0.365
Indiana 110.54 31 22 0.585 0.496 0.416
Kentucky 69.15 32 25 0.561 0.555 0.419
Louisville 90.19 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556
Miami, Ohio 36.44 26 27 0.491 0.474 0.364
Morehead State 80.47 30 25 0.545 0.502 0.398
Ohio 127.85 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Ohio State 102.39 38 17 0.691 0.489 0.468
Wright State 56.87 41 15 0.732 0.465 0.482
Xavier 8.47 27 28 0.491 0.529 0.378

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 210.65 0.000
Appalachian State 246.72 18 36 0.333 0.503 0.292
Austin Peay State 233.50 32 21 0.604 0.494 0.425
Belmont 236.27 31 25 0.554 0.448 0.389
Bowling Green State 168.43 16 37 0.302 0.474 0.269
Bradley 295.33 23 19 0.548 0.480 0.394
Chicago State 248.65 12 41 0.226 0.436 0.222
East Tennessee State 220.14 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Eastern Illinois 201.21 12 39 0.235 0.483 0.238
Eastern Michigan 227.20 20 34 0.370 0.499 0.310
Evansville 181.11 26 25 0.510 0.506 0.382
Illinois 213.66 28 23 0.549 0.551 0.412
Illinois State 261.77 17 35 0.327 0.513 0.292
Illinois-Chicago 257.75 23 28 0.451 0.478 0.345
Indiana State 160.91 34 19 0.642 0.512 0.449
Kent State 220.13 40 12 0.769 0.446 0.496
Lipscomb 239.14 30 25 0.545 0.453 0.386
Marshall 160.20 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Michigan 227.02 35 19 0.648 0.521 0.454
Michigan State 255.91 34 18 0.654 0.482 0.448
Middle Tennessee State 243.01 20 35 0.364 0.550 0.320
Murray State 267.93 25 28 0.472 0.486 0.357
North Carolina-Asheville 257.61 16 38 0.296 0.444 0.259
Northwestern 269.81 15 38 0.283 0.490 0.264
Notre Dame 206.39 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386
Oakland 260.25 21 26 0.447 0.485 0.345
Pittsburgh 258.27 25 26 0.490 0.551 0.383
Purdue 163.69 10 44 0.185 0.529 0.225
Radford 250.27 17 38 0.309 0.540 0.289
Southeast Missouri State 299.82 34 18 0.654 0.494 0.451
Southern Illinois 273.35 30 23 0.566 0.507 0.410
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.93 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
Tennessee 214.74 29 28 0.509 0.554 0.393
Tennessee Tech 205.14 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
Toledo 186.27 18 36 0.333 0.504 0.292
VMI 285.09 21 35 0.375 0.478 0.307
Valparaiso 215.80 26 26 0.500 0.489 0.372
Vanderbilt 237.01 42 15 0.737 0.564 0.509
Virginia Tech 252.72 19 36 0.345 0.527 0.304
West Virginia 243.21 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 267.03 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
Western Kentucky 178.22 24 30 0.444 0.538 0.357
Western Michigan 232.77 18 31 0.367 0.458 0.298
Youngstown State 247.60 14 38 0.269 0.502 0.260

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation