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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky

Last updated: Wed May 4 06:56:03 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.468
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.478
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3535


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00141
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00141
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00141
Troy Troy 25 19 0.568 0.534 0.417 0.00141
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00059
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00059
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327 -0.00059
Western Illinois neutral 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00159
Western Illinois neutral 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00159
Western Illinois neutral 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00159
Western Illinois neutral 12 25 0.324 0.482 0.282 -0.00159
Alabama State Alabama State 31 14 0.689 0.428 0.451 0.00217
Alabama State Alabama State 31 14 0.689 0.428 0.451 0.00217
Alabama State Alabama State 31 14 0.689 0.428 0.451 0.00217
Alabama State Alabama State 31 14 0.689 0.428 0.451 0.00217
Ohio Ohio 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338 -0.00034
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373 0.00043
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373 0.00043
Valparaiso Northern Kentucky 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373 0.00043
Northwestern Northern Kentucky 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243 -0.00246
Oakland Northern Kentucky 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 0.00030
Oakland Northern Kentucky 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 0.00030
Oakland Northern Kentucky 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 0.00030
Kentucky Kentucky 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446 0.00206
Butler Northern Kentucky 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238 -0.00257
Wright State Wright State 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464 0.00246
Wright State Wright State 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464 0.00246
Wright State Wright State 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464 0.00246
Miami, Ohio Northern Kentucky 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367 0.00030
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00037
Illinois-Chicago Northern Kentucky 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337 -0.00037
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00201
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00201
Youngstown State Youngstown State 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263 -0.00201
Xavier Northern Kentucky 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339 -0.00032
Dayton Northern Kentucky 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00123
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 0.00030
Oakland Oakland 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367 0.00030
Wright State Northern Kentucky 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464 0.00246
Wright State Northern Kentucky 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464 0.00246
Ball State Ball State 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409 0.00123
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354 0.00001
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354 0.00001
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Wisconsin-Milwaukee 18 20 0.474 0.470 0.354 0.00001

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 96.67 27 18 0.600 0.437 0.409
Butler 106.97 10 31 0.244 0.463 0.238
Cincinnati 7.48 21 22 0.488 0.547 0.381
Dayton 50.78 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298
Eastern Kentucky 89.72 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338
IPFW 148.33 17 23 0.425 0.421 0.318
Indiana 110.54 26 16 0.619 0.457 0.424
Kentucky 69.15 27 17 0.614 0.556 0.446
Louisville 90.19 35 9 0.795 0.580 0.542
Miami, Ohio 36.44 21 22 0.488 0.491 0.367
Morehead State 80.47 25 19 0.568 0.513 0.412
Ohio 127.85 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Ohio State 102.39 28 14 0.667 0.453 0.447
Wright State 56.87 30 13 0.698 0.460 0.464
Xavier 8.47 19 26 0.422 0.512 0.339

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 210.65 0.000
Appalachian State 246.72 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Austin Peay State 233.50 26 16 0.619 0.533 0.443
Belmont 236.27 25 19 0.568 0.428 0.391
Bowling Green State 168.43 15 28 0.349 0.439 0.284
Bradley 295.33 17 16 0.515 0.474 0.376
Chicago State 248.65 10 33 0.233 0.437 0.226
East Tennessee State 220.14 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Eastern Illinois 201.21 5 36 0.122 0.520 0.191
Eastern Michigan 227.20 17 23 0.425 0.494 0.336
Evansville 181.11 23 17 0.575 0.493 0.411
Illinois 213.66 21 19 0.525 0.528 0.395
Illinois State 261.77 14 28 0.333 0.497 0.291
Illinois-Chicago 257.75 18 23 0.439 0.468 0.337
Indiana State 160.91 27 16 0.628 0.513 0.442
Kent State 220.13 32 11 0.744 0.454 0.485
Lipscomb 239.14 23 21 0.523 0.441 0.372
Marshall 160.20 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Michigan 227.02 29 12 0.707 0.523 0.484
Michigan State 255.91 30 11 0.732 0.487 0.488
Middle Tennessee State 243.01 17 28 0.378 0.560 0.329
Murray State 267.93 20 22 0.476 0.485 0.359
North Carolina-Asheville 257.61 14 27 0.341 0.431 0.278
Northwestern 269.81 10 32 0.238 0.496 0.243
Notre Dame 206.39 25 18 0.581 0.536 0.424
Oakland 260.25 17 17 0.500 0.470 0.367
Pittsburgh 258.27 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Purdue 163.69 7 34 0.171 0.540 0.221
Radford 250.27 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Southeast Missouri State 299.82 30 12 0.714 0.490 0.479
Southern Illinois 273.35 25 18 0.581 0.492 0.413
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.93 9 30 0.231 0.527 0.247
Tennessee 214.74 24 21 0.533 0.555 0.405
Tennessee Tech 205.14 23 19 0.548 0.420 0.379
Toledo 186.27 10 34 0.227 0.493 0.237
VMI 285.09 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Valparaiso 215.80 19 20 0.487 0.518 0.373
Vanderbilt 237.01 34 10 0.773 0.537 0.521
Virginia Tech 252.72 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
West Virginia 243.21 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Western Carolina 267.03 22 21 0.512 0.520 0.386
Western Kentucky 178.22 24 20 0.545 0.526 0.404
Western Michigan 232.77 13 26 0.333 0.464 0.283
Youngstown State 247.60 10 28 0.263 0.524 0.263

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation