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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northern Kentucky

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.502
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.374


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00066
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00066
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00066
Troy Troy 21 27 0.438 0.504 0.345 -0.00066
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00173
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00173
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00173
San Diego San Diego 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450 0.00173
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00018
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00018
Georgia State Georgia State 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366 -0.00018
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413 0.00089
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413 0.00089
Loyola Marymount Loyola Marymount 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413 0.00089
Eastern Michigan Northern Kentucky 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00236
Eastern Michigan Northern Kentucky 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00236
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374 0.00000
Eastern Kentucky Eastern Kentucky 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00061
North Florida Northern Kentucky 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00057
North Florida Northern Kentucky 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00057
North Florida Northern Kentucky 20 25 0.444 0.508 0.349 -0.00057
Morehead State Northern Kentucky 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369 -0.00011
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00016
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00016
East Tennessee State East Tennessee State 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381 0.00016
Ball State Northern Kentucky 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00180
Stetson Northern Kentucky 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00102
Stetson Northern Kentucky 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00102
Stetson Northern Kentucky 20 30 0.400 0.517 0.329 -0.00102
Eastern Kentucky neutral 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347 -0.00061
South Carolina-Upstate Northern Kentucky 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00232
South Carolina-Upstate Northern Kentucky 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00232
South Carolina-Upstate Northern Kentucky 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272 -0.00232
Mercer Mercer 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00305
Mercer Mercer 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00305
Mercer Mercer 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508 0.00305
Xavier Northern Kentucky 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00032
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00032
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00048
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00048
Lipscomb Lipscomb 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395 0.00048
Florida Gulf Coast Northern Kentucky 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00161
Florida Gulf Coast Northern Kentucky 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00161
Florida Gulf Coast Northern Kentucky 32 17 0.653 0.475 0.445 0.00161

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 96.67 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Butler 106.97 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Cincinnati 7.48 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 50.78 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Kentucky 89.72 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
IPFW 148.33 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Indiana 110.54 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Kentucky 69.15 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 90.19 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 36.44 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 80.47 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Ohio 127.85 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 102.39 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Wright State 56.87 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 8.47 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 210.65 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Appalachian State 246.72 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Austin Peay State 233.50 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Belmont 236.27 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bowling Green State 168.43 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Bradley 295.33 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Chicago State 248.65 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
East Tennessee State 220.14 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Eastern Illinois 201.21 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 227.20 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 181.11 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Illinois 213.66 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 261.77 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 257.75 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana State 160.91 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kent State 220.13 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Lipscomb 239.14 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Marshall 160.20 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Michigan 227.02 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 255.91 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Middle Tennessee State 243.01 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Murray State 267.93 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 257.61 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
Northwestern 269.81 12 31 0.279 0.512 0.268
Notre Dame 206.39 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Oakland 260.25 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Pittsburgh 258.27 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Purdue 163.69 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Radford 250.27 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Southeast Missouri State 299.82 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois 273.35 22 26 0.458 0.483 0.350
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 298.93 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
Tennessee 214.74 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 205.14 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Toledo 186.27 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
VMI 285.09 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Valparaiso 215.80 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 237.01 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Virginia Tech 252.72 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
West Virginia 243.21 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 267.03 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
Western Kentucky 178.22 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Western Michigan 232.77 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Youngstown State 247.60 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation