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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Sun Jul 24 06:48:54 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.484
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.503
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00110
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00110
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00110
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.490 0.426 0.00110
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00075
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00075
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00075
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.465 0.328 -0.00075
Boston College neutral 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00144
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239 -0.00243
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285 -0.00156
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00050
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00105
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00105
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.536 0.312 -0.00105
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00001
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00001
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367 -0.00001
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301 -0.00126
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357 -0.00020
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00195
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00195
Ohio State Ohio State 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471 0.00195
Chicago State Northwestern 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00277
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00150
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00150
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447 0.00150
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00050
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00142
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00142
Nebraska Nebraska 37 22 0.627 0.517 0.443 0.00142
Bradley Northwestern 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393 0.00048
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00029
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00029
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.514 0.383 0.00029
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221 -0.00277
Minnesota Northwestern 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00125
Minnesota Northwestern 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00125
Minnesota Northwestern 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00125
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00078
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00078
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409 0.00078
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341 -0.00050
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00275
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00275
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222 -0.00275
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00114
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00114
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00114
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.506 0.428 0.00114
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.523 0.376 0.00016

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 25 21 0.543 0.486 0.393
Chicago State 24.73 12 41 0.226 0.431 0.221
IPFW 148.99 29 26 0.527 0.413 0.367
Illinois 139.02 28 23 0.549 0.542 0.410
Illinois State 126.93 17 37 0.315 0.510 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 24 30 0.444 0.476 0.341
Northern Illinois 56.57 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Notre Dame 79.58 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385
Purdue 119.20 10 44 0.185 0.518 0.222
Valparaiso 54.02 29 28 0.509 0.489 0.377
Western Michigan 108.03 22 34 0.393 0.472 0.315
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 29 26 0.527 0.473 0.382

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 32 26 0.552 0.440 0.386
Bowling Green State 214.84 16 37 0.302 0.473 0.269
Butler 172.94 12 40 0.231 0.495 0.239
Central Michigan 180.69 23 37 0.383 0.485 0.313
Cincinnati 262.70 26 30 0.464 0.538 0.367
Dayton 243.27 19 36 0.345 0.484 0.293
Eastern Illinois 180.73 12 39 0.235 0.479 0.237
Eastern Michigan 207.50 23 36 0.390 0.502 0.321
Evansville 282.86 28 27 0.509 0.502 0.380
Indiana 209.04 32 24 0.571 0.493 0.409
Indiana State 179.49 35 21 0.625 0.509 0.440
Iowa 200.70 27 26 0.509 0.560 0.395
Louisville 285.65 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 234.77 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Michigan 202.74 36 21 0.632 0.522 0.447
Michigan State 169.77 36 20 0.643 0.490 0.444
Northern Kentucky 269.81 20 34 0.370 0.464 0.301
Oakland 232.51 21 27 0.438 0.481 0.339
Ohio State 281.68 44 20 0.688 0.510 0.471
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 9 40 0.184 0.493 0.215
St. Louis 272.21 24 31 0.436 0.452 0.331
Toledo 212.92 19 38 0.333 0.502 0.292
Western Illinois 190.56 13 35 0.271 0.486 0.257
Wright State 247.13 46 17 0.730 0.477 0.484
Xavier 262.81 32 30 0.516 0.538 0.393

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation