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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.488
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.502
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3695


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Nevada neutral 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00004
Nevada neutral 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00004
Nevada neutral 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00004
Nevada neutral 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00004
Pacific Pacific 17 21 0.447 0.488 0.346 -0.00060
Pacific Pacific 17 21 0.447 0.488 0.346 -0.00060
Pacific Pacific 17 21 0.447 0.488 0.346 -0.00060
Pacific Pacific 17 21 0.447 0.488 0.346 -0.00060
Boston College neutral 21 16 0.568 0.556 0.423 0.00137
Butler neutral 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246 -0.00317
Illinois State neutral 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274 -0.00245
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326 -0.00112
San Diego State San Diego State 12 26 0.316 0.567 0.300 -0.00178
San Diego State San Diego State 12 26 0.316 0.567 0.300 -0.00178
San Diego State San Diego State 12 26 0.316 0.567 0.300 -0.00178
Cincinnati Cincinnati 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379 0.00024
Cincinnati Cincinnati 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379 0.00024
Cincinnati Cincinnati 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379 0.00024
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293 -0.00196
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368 -0.00004
Ohio State Ohio State 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00178
Ohio State Ohio State 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00178
Ohio State Ohio State 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439 0.00178
Chicago State Northwestern 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221 -0.00381
Michigan Northwestern 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00324
Michigan Northwestern 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00324
Michigan Northwestern 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496 0.00324
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326 -0.00112
Nebraska Nebraska 26 15 0.634 0.494 0.441 0.00183
Nebraska Nebraska 26 15 0.634 0.494 0.441 0.00183
Nebraska Nebraska 26 15 0.634 0.494 0.441 0.00183
Bradley Northwestern 15 15 0.500 0.464 0.366 -0.00009
Penn State Northwestern 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00112
Penn State Northwestern 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00112
Penn State Northwestern 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413 0.00112
Chicago State Chicago State 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221 -0.00381
Minnesota Northwestern 23 12 0.657 0.535 0.462 0.00237
Minnesota Northwestern 23 12 0.657 0.535 0.462 0.00237
Minnesota Northwestern 23 12 0.657 0.535 0.462 0.00237
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00114
Indiana Indiana 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414 0.00114

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 15 15 0.500 0.464 0.366
Chicago State 24.73 9 31 0.225 0.432 0.221
IPFW 148.99 16 21 0.432 0.415 0.320
Illinois 139.02 20 17 0.541 0.518 0.400
Illinois State 126.93 12 27 0.308 0.481 0.274
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 16 22 0.421 0.460 0.326
Northern Illinois 56.57 15 25 0.375 0.468 0.304
Notre Dame 79.58 24 16 0.600 0.541 0.435
Purdue 119.20 7 31 0.184 0.520 0.222
Valparaiso 54.02 18 18 0.500 0.530 0.383
Western Michigan 108.03 11 25 0.306 0.485 0.274
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 16 19 0.457 0.473 0.347

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 25 17 0.595 0.439 0.407
Bowling Green State 214.84 15 25 0.375 0.427 0.294
Butler 172.94 10 28 0.263 0.458 0.246
Central Michigan 180.69 10 30 0.250 0.506 0.252
Cincinnati 262.70 20 21 0.488 0.541 0.379
Dayton 243.27 14 28 0.333 0.468 0.284
Eastern Illinois 180.73 5 33 0.132 0.531 0.199
Eastern Michigan 207.50 15 22 0.405 0.509 0.330
Evansville 282.86 22 15 0.595 0.507 0.424
Indiana 209.04 23 16 0.590 0.477 0.414
Indiana State 179.49 24 16 0.600 0.495 0.424
Iowa 200.70 16 19 0.457 0.579 0.373
Louisville 285.65 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535
Miami, Ohio 234.77 20 20 0.500 0.472 0.368
Michigan 202.74 28 10 0.737 0.511 0.496
Michigan State 169.77 28 10 0.737 0.465 0.485
Northern Kentucky 269.81 15 27 0.357 0.459 0.293
Oakland 232.51 16 15 0.516 0.443 0.369
Ohio State 281.68 25 14 0.641 0.475 0.439
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 8 28 0.222 0.542 0.246
St. Louis 272.21 16 24 0.400 0.433 0.308
Toledo 212.92 9 32 0.220 0.506 0.236
Western Illinois 190.56 10 24 0.294 0.495 0.271
Wright State 247.13 28 12 0.700 0.455 0.464
Xavier 262.81 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation