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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.512
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.37775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00087
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00087
Southern California Southern California 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415 0.00087
Kansas neutral 30 20 0.600 0.547 0.437 0.00138
Mississippi Valley State neutral 4 35 0.103 0.472 0.169 -0.00485
Nebraska-Omaha neutral 23 19 0.548 0.446 0.386 0.00019
Ball State neutral 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453 0.00175
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00210
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00210
Tennessee Tech Tennessee Tech 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468 0.00210
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00017
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00017
South Florida South Florida 24 23 0.511 0.518 0.385 0.00017
Evansville neutral 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00175
LIU Brooklyn neutral 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 -0.00013
Maine neutral 16 25 0.390 0.465 0.311 -0.00155
Bucknell neutral 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416 0.00089
Minnesota Northwestern 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00024
Minnesota Northwestern 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00024
Minnesota Northwestern 21 19 0.525 0.501 0.388 0.00024
Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270 -0.00251
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00155
Penn State Penn State 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311 -0.00155
Illinois Northwestern 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Illinois Northwestern 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Illinois Northwestern 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00131
Valparaiso Northwestern 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324 -0.00125
Iowa Northwestern 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00098
Iowa Northwestern 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00098
Iowa Northwestern 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420 0.00098
Chicago State Chicago State 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253 -0.00290
Chicago State Chicago State 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253 -0.00290
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00189
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00189
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00189
Chicago State Northwestern 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253 -0.00290
Michigan State Michigan State 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00056
Michigan State Michigan State 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00056
Michigan State Michigan State 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402 0.00056
Northern Illinois neutral 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00204
Michigan Northwestern 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00023
Michigan Northwestern 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00023
Michigan Northwestern 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368 -0.00023

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Chicago State 24.73 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
IPFW 148.99 16 28 0.364 0.425 0.288
Illinois 139.02 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 126.93 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Northern Illinois 56.57 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Notre Dame 79.58 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300
Purdue 119.20 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Valparaiso 54.02 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Western Michigan 108.03 19 25 0.432 0.457 0.330
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 14 22 0.389 0.407 0.296

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Bowling Green State 214.84 21 22 0.488 0.505 0.370
Butler 172.94 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Central Michigan 180.69 28 20 0.583 0.456 0.405
Cincinnati 262.70 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Dayton 243.27 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Eastern Illinois 180.73 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Eastern Michigan 207.50 14 29 0.326 0.427 0.270
Evansville 282.86 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Indiana 209.04 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 179.49 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Iowa 200.70 25 17 0.595 0.491 0.420
Louisville 285.65 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Miami, Ohio 234.77 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Michigan 202.74 23 25 0.479 0.513 0.368
Michigan State 169.77 25 20 0.556 0.494 0.402
Northern Kentucky 269.81 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Oakland 232.51 8 28 0.222 0.496 0.235
Ohio State 281.68 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 272.21 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Toledo 212.92 19 27 0.413 0.511 0.334
Western Illinois 190.56 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Wright State 247.13 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 262.81 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation