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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:14 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.554
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Oregon State neutral 25 13 0.658 0.527 0.461 0.00152
New Mexico neutral 24 17 0.585 0.544 0.428 0.00070
Michigan State neutral 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00065
Incarnate Word neutral 13 27 0.325 0.463 0.278 -0.00305
Villanova neutral 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319 -0.00203
Notre Dame neutral 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00192
Villanova neutral 15 20 0.429 0.419 0.319 -0.00203
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487 0.00217
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487 0.00217
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern Louisiana 32 12 0.727 0.495 0.487 0.00217
Ball State neutral 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428 0.00070
Dartmouth neutral 16 19 0.457 0.493 0.352 -0.00120
Georgetown neutral 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381 -0.00048
Georgetown neutral 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381 -0.00048
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 -0.00108
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 -0.00108
Seattle Seattle 20 20 0.500 0.430 0.357 -0.00108
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00140
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00140
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00140
Nevada-Las Vegas Nevada-Las Vegas 16 23 0.410 0.556 0.344 -0.00140
St. Mary's St. Mary's 21 18 0.538 0.432 0.377 -0.00058
St. Mary's St. Mary's 21 18 0.538 0.432 0.377 -0.00058
Minnesota Minnesota 15 19 0.441 0.512 0.349 -0.00128
Minnesota Minnesota 15 19 0.441 0.512 0.349 -0.00128
Minnesota Minnesota 15 19 0.441 0.512 0.349 -0.00128
Chicago State Chicago State 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226 -0.00435
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00358
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00358
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00358
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00065
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00065
Michigan State Michigan State 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426 0.00065
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 -0.00050
Iowa Iowa 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00172
Iowa Iowa 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00172
Iowa Iowa 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469 0.00172
Wisconsin-Milwaukee Northwestern 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413 0.00032
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380 -0.00050
Ohio State Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00265
Ohio State Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00265
Ohio State Northwestern 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506 0.00265

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 24 10 0.706 0.551 0.491
Chicago State 24.73 9 29 0.237 0.429 0.226
IPFW 148.99 19 16 0.543 0.438 0.381
Illinois 139.02 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543
Illinois State 126.93 18 19 0.486 0.500 0.368
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 19 16 0.543 0.434 0.380
Northern Illinois 56.57 15 26 0.366 0.435 0.292
Notre Dame 79.58 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477
Purdue 119.20 13 30 0.302 0.538 0.285
Valparaiso 54.02 14 21 0.400 0.455 0.314
Western Michigan 108.03 15 22 0.405 0.433 0.311
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 21 14 0.600 0.452 0.413

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 25 15 0.625 0.462 0.428
Bowling Green State 214.84 14 21 0.400 0.452 0.313
Butler 172.94 11 25 0.306 0.493 0.276
Central Michigan 180.69 27 14 0.659 0.448 0.442
Cincinnati 262.70 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296
Dayton 243.27 11 29 0.275 0.453 0.251
Eastern Illinois 180.73 6 28 0.176 0.528 0.220
Eastern Michigan 207.50 16 24 0.400 0.539 0.335
Evansville 282.86 20 17 0.541 0.533 0.404
Indiana 209.04 23 15 0.605 0.538 0.437
Indiana State 179.49 18 21 0.462 0.505 0.357
Iowa 200.70 24 11 0.686 0.503 0.469
Louisville 285.65 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516
Miami, Ohio 234.77 8 30 0.211 0.464 0.222
Michigan 202.74 25 16 0.610 0.499 0.430
Michigan State 169.77 23 17 0.575 0.556 0.426
Northern Kentucky 269.81 11 24 0.314 0.517 0.286
Oakland 232.51 7 26 0.212 0.572 0.249
Ohio State 281.68 29 10 0.744 0.535 0.506
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 13 21 0.382 0.519 0.321
St. Louis 272.21 27 13 0.675 0.488 0.460
Toledo 212.92 15 26 0.366 0.519 0.313
Western Illinois 190.56 10 25 0.286 0.507 0.270
Wright State 247.13 30 10 0.750 0.431 0.483
Xavier 262.81 11 31 0.262 0.520 0.261

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation