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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Northwestern

Last updated: Tue May 31 06:48:09 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.487
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.505
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.493 0.427 0.00108
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.493 0.427 0.00108
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.493 0.427 0.00108
Nevada neutral 37 24 0.607 0.493 0.427 0.00108
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.468 0.329 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.468 0.329 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.468 0.329 -0.00077
Pacific Pacific 22 30 0.423 0.468 0.329 -0.00077
Boston College neutral 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439 0.00131
Butler neutral 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239 -0.00247
Illinois State neutral 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285 -0.00160
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342 -0.00052
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.540 0.313 -0.00107
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.540 0.313 -0.00107
San Diego State San Diego State 21 38 0.356 0.540 0.313 -0.00107
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00003
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00003
Cincinnati Cincinnati 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368 -0.00003
Northern Kentucky Northern Kentucky 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302 -0.00128
Miami, Ohio Miami, Ohio 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358 -0.00022
Ohio State Ohio State 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478 0.00204
Ohio State Ohio State 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478 0.00204
Ohio State Ohio State 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478 0.00204
Chicago State Northwestern 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221 -0.00281
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447 0.00146
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447 0.00146
Michigan Northwestern 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447 0.00146
Illinois-Chicago Northwestern 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342 -0.00052
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00157
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00157
Nebraska Nebraska 37 20 0.649 0.515 0.453 0.00157
Bradley Northwestern 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394 0.00046
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00027
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00027
Penn State Northwestern 28 27 0.509 0.519 0.384 0.00027
Chicago State Chicago State 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221 -0.00281
Minnesota Northwestern 32 20 0.615 0.518 0.437 0.00127
Minnesota Northwestern 32 20 0.615 0.518 0.437 0.00127
Minnesota Northwestern 32 20 0.615 0.518 0.437 0.00127
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00074
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00074
Indiana Indiana 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409 0.00074
Illinois-Chicago Illinois-Chicago 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342 -0.00052
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00277
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00277
Purdue Northwestern 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223 -0.00277
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.508 0.429 0.00112
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.508 0.429 0.00112
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.508 0.429 0.00112
California Northwestern 32 21 0.604 0.508 0.429 0.00112
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00016
Rutgers Rutgers 27 28 0.491 0.528 0.378 0.00016

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bradley 137.30 25 21 0.543 0.488 0.394
Chicago State 24.73 12 41 0.226 0.433 0.221
IPFW 148.99 29 26 0.527 0.417 0.368
Illinois 139.02 28 23 0.549 0.545 0.411
Illinois State 126.93 17 37 0.315 0.512 0.285
Illinois-Chicago 14.17 24 30 0.444 0.479 0.342
Northern Illinois 56.57 24 32 0.429 0.464 0.331
Notre Dame 79.58 27 27 0.500 0.542 0.386
Purdue 119.20 10 44 0.185 0.521 0.223
Valparaiso 54.02 29 28 0.509 0.492 0.378
Western Michigan 108.03 22 32 0.407 0.462 0.319
Wisconsin-Milwaukee 72.43 29 26 0.527 0.476 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Ball State 174.08 32 26 0.552 0.443 0.387
Bowling Green State 214.84 16 37 0.302 0.475 0.270
Butler 172.94 12 40 0.231 0.496 0.239
Central Michigan 180.69 23 37 0.383 0.486 0.313
Cincinnati 262.70 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Dayton 243.27 19 36 0.345 0.485 0.294
Eastern Illinois 180.73 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Eastern Michigan 207.50 23 36 0.390 0.504 0.321
Evansville 282.86 28 27 0.509 0.503 0.380
Indiana 209.04 32 24 0.571 0.496 0.409
Indiana State 179.49 35 21 0.625 0.511 0.440
Iowa 200.70 27 26 0.509 0.563 0.395
Louisville 285.65 47 12 0.797 0.583 0.544
Miami, Ohio 234.77 27 29 0.482 0.467 0.358
Michigan 202.74 36 21 0.632 0.524 0.447
Michigan State 169.77 36 20 0.643 0.493 0.445
Northern Kentucky 269.81 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Oakland 232.51 21 27 0.438 0.483 0.340
Ohio State 281.68 43 18 0.705 0.501 0.478
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 256.86 9 40 0.184 0.495 0.216
St. Louis 272.21 24 31 0.436 0.453 0.331
Toledo 212.92 19 38 0.333 0.505 0.293
Western Illinois 190.56 13 35 0.271 0.490 0.258
Wright State 247.13 44 15 0.746 0.466 0.489
Xavier 262.81 30 28 0.517 0.532 0.392

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation