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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for South Florida

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.583
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.516
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.4205


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Cal State Fullerton neutral 21 19 0.525 0.601 0.413 -0.00018
Louisville neutral 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00227
Alabama State neutral 28 12 0.700 0.431 0.458 0.00089
Florida South Florida 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515 0.00225
Wagner South Florida 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375 -0.00108
Wagner South Florida 17 15 0.531 0.438 0.375 -0.00108
Florida Gulf Coast South Florida 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00049
High Point South Florida 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 -0.00063
High Point South Florida 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 -0.00063
High Point South Florida 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394 -0.00063
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00204
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00204
Seton Hall South Florida 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00082
Seton Hall South Florida 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00082
Seton Hall South Florida 19 16 0.543 0.459 0.386 -0.00082
Bethune-Cookman Bethune-Cookman 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00342
Florida A&M South Florida 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00235
Florida A&M South Florida 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00235
Florida A&M South Florida 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322 -0.00235
Stetson South Florida 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389 -0.00075
Florida International South Florida 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00185
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00292
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00292
Illinois Illinois 33 6 0.846 0.479 0.543 0.00292
Florida Gulf Coast Florida Gulf Coast 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400 -0.00049
Cincinnati South Florida 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00296
Cincinnati South Florida 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00296
Cincinnati South Florida 13 28 0.317 0.550 0.296 -0.00296
Stetson Stetson 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389 -0.00075
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00092
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00092
Connecticut Connecticut 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00092
Florida International Florida International 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343 -0.00185
East Carolina South Florida 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00082
East Carolina South Florida 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00082
East Carolina South Florida 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455 0.00082
Stetson South Florida 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389 -0.00075
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00113
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00113
Memphis Memphis 27 13 0.675 0.521 0.468 0.00113
Bethune-Cookman South Florida 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277 -0.00342
Houston South Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00101
Houston South Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00101
Houston South Florida 27 15 0.643 0.565 0.463 0.00101

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Bethune-Cookman 115.87 15 32 0.319 0.472 0.277
Central Florida 82.77 26 17 0.605 0.554 0.441
Florida 109.91 32 11 0.744 0.571 0.515
Florida Gulf Coast 116.58 21 19 0.525 0.549 0.400
Stetson 94.27 22 21 0.512 0.530 0.389

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Florida A&M 198.83 16 22 0.421 0.444 0.322
Florida Atlantic 183.03 31 10 0.756 0.553 0.516
Florida International 202.22 17 22 0.436 0.501 0.343
Florida State 200.48 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506
Jacksonville 165.52 18 22 0.450 0.546 0.362
Miami, Florida 208.30 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505
North Florida 162.39 32 13 0.711 0.496 0.479
Savannah State 285.51 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation