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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern Illinois

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.483
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.513
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00080
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00080
Western Kentucky Western Kentucky 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408 0.00080
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00104
Western Illinois neutral 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330 -0.00083
Nicholls State Nicholls State 26 23 0.531 0.493 0.389 0.00040
Tennessee-Martin Tennessee-Martin 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00322
Northern Illinois neutral 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00166
Northern Illinois neutral 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00166
Northern Illinois neutral 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290 -0.00166
Belmont Belmont 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333 -0.00077
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00031
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00031
South Alabama South Alabama 21 26 0.447 0.525 0.355 -0.00031
Mississippi State Mississippi State 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00178
Illinois Southern Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00134
Illinois Southern Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00134
Illinois Southern Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00134
Eastern Illinois Southern Illinois 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306 -0.00133
Purdue Southern Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00193
Purdue Southern Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00193
Purdue Southern Illinois 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277 -0.00193
Murray State Murray State 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00087
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00039
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00039
Missouri State Missouri State 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351 -0.00039
Missouri neutral 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00035
Murray State Southern Illinois 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328 -0.00087
Bradley Southern Illinois 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00031
Bradley Southern Illinois 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00031
Bradley Southern Illinois 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355 -0.00031
Southeast Missouri State Southeast Missouri State 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00144
Indiana State Southern Illinois 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00226
Indiana State Southern Illinois 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00226
Indiana State Southern Illinois 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478 0.00226
Tennessee-Martin Southern Illinois 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215 -0.00322
Austin Peay State Southern Illinois 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320 -0.00104
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00038
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00038
Wichita State Wichita State 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00038
Southeast Missouri State Southern Illinois 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439 0.00144
Illinois State Illinois State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00151
Illinois State Illinois State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00151
Illinois State Illinois State 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442 0.00151
Illinois Illinois 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434 0.00134
Evansville Southern Illinois 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00173
Evansville Southern Illinois 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00173
Evansville Southern Illinois 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453 0.00173

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 130.61 19 30 0.388 0.502 0.320
Eastern Illinois 134.82 15 30 0.333 0.560 0.306
Evansville 93.98 29 15 0.659 0.493 0.453
Murray State 89.76 18 25 0.419 0.475 0.328
Southeast Missouri State 32.09 30 16 0.652 0.452 0.439
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 87.10 17 26 0.395 0.478 0.317
St. Louis 84.43 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406
Tennessee-Martin 96.09 8 36 0.182 0.495 0.215

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 249.93 19 29 0.396 0.423 0.304
Arkansas 296.94 30 20 0.600 0.543 0.436
Arkansas State 151.54 27 20 0.574 0.557 0.426
Arkansas-Little Rock 268.86 21 26 0.447 0.521 0.354
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 286.62 20 24 0.455 0.401 0.328
Ball State 267.95 30 15 0.667 0.478 0.453
Belmont 172.52 19 27 0.413 0.504 0.333
Bradley 207.10 20 23 0.465 0.490 0.355
Butler 221.19 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299
Central Arkansas 255.42 23 21 0.523 0.513 0.390
Chicago State 290.10 13 32 0.289 0.434 0.253
Cincinnati 273.16 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Eastern Kentucky 268.91 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Illinois 173.69 27 17 0.614 0.509 0.434
Illinois State 194.57 26 15 0.634 0.498 0.442
Illinois-Chicago 299.35 22 19 0.537 0.426 0.375
Indiana 178.17 32 12 0.727 0.564 0.504
Indiana State 156.61 29 13 0.690 0.534 0.478
Kentucky 258.52 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Lipscomb 173.65 27 22 0.551 0.478 0.395
Louisville 191.56 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Memphis 184.02 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388
Miami, Ohio 272.60 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Middle Tennessee State 203.35 24 24 0.500 0.537 0.384
Mississippi 231.58 35 14 0.714 0.562 0.497
Mississippi State 294.05 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455
Missouri 189.17 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353
Missouri State 225.16 20 25 0.444 0.514 0.351
Northern Illinois 293.26 15 32 0.319 0.521 0.290
Northern Kentucky 273.35 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Purdue 224.96 12 32 0.273 0.562 0.277
Tennessee Tech 230.30 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Valparaiso 284.44 17 23 0.425 0.447 0.324
Vanderbilt 171.46 36 13 0.735 0.568 0.509
Western Illinois 206.80 16 23 0.410 0.500 0.330
Western Kentucky 159.57 27 22 0.551 0.528 0.408
Xavier 275.49 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation