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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Southern Illinois

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.513
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.508
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3835


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
McNeese State McNeese State 31 24 0.564 0.504 0.408 0.00044
McNeese State McNeese State 31 24 0.564 0.504 0.408 0.00044
McNeese State McNeese State 31 24 0.564 0.504 0.408 0.00044
Austin Peay State Austin Peay State 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00072
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258 -0.00224
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258 -0.00224
Western Illinois Southern Illinois 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258 -0.00224
Southeast Missouri State Southern Illinois 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453 0.00124
Iowa Southern Illinois 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 0.00021
Iowa Southern Illinois 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 0.00021
Iowa Southern Illinois 26 25 0.510 0.561 0.395 0.00021
Belmont Belmont 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00017
St. John's Southern Illinois 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00006
St. John's Southern Illinois 28 25 0.528 0.490 0.387 0.00006
Arkansas State Arkansas State 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 0.00004
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00096
Illinois Southern Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00049
Illinois Southern Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00049
Northern Illinois Southern Illinois 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330 -0.00096
Memphis Southern Illinois 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304 -0.00142
Memphis Southern Illinois 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304 -0.00142
Memphis Southern Illinois 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304 -0.00142
Austin Peay State Southern Illinois 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424 0.00072
Murray State Southern Illinois 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00047
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00079
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00079
Jacksonville State Southern Illinois 33 22 0.600 0.512 0.428 0.00079
Belmont Southern Illinois 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393 0.00017
Murray State Murray State 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357 -0.00047
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00103
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00103
Indiana State Southern Illinois 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441 0.00103
Eastern Illinois Southern Illinois 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238 -0.00260
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00179
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00179
Dallas Baptist Dallas Baptist 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00179
Arkansas State Southern Illinois 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386 0.00004
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00174
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00174
Illinois State Illinois State 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286 -0.00174
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00113
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00113
Wichita State Southern Illinois 21 37 0.362 0.554 0.320 -0.00113
Illinois Illinois 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411 0.00049
Missouri State Missouri State 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00110
Missouri State Missouri State 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00110
Missouri State Missouri State 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445 0.00110
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381 -0.00004
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381 -0.00004
Evansville Evansville 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381 -0.00004
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399 0.00028
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399 0.00028
Bradley Southern Illinois 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399 0.00028
Evansville neutral 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381 -0.00004
Dallas Baptist neutral 40 17 0.702 0.532 0.484 0.00179
Evansville neutral 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381 -0.00004

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Austin Peay State 130.61 33 22 0.600 0.497 0.424
Eastern Illinois 134.82 12 39 0.235 0.482 0.238
Evansville 93.98 28 27 0.509 0.505 0.381
Murray State 89.76 25 28 0.472 0.484 0.357
Southeast Missouri State 32.09 35 18 0.660 0.493 0.453
Southern Illinois-Edwardsville 87.10 9 40 0.184 0.498 0.216
St. Louis 84.43 24 31 0.436 0.454 0.332
Tennessee-Martin 96.09 18 34 0.346 0.483 0.294

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Alabama A&M 249.93 12 44 0.214 0.405 0.208
Arkansas 296.94 26 29 0.473 0.550 0.374
Arkansas State 151.54 29 28 0.509 0.526 0.386
Arkansas-Little Rock 268.86 26 28 0.481 0.532 0.373
Arkansas-Pine Bluff 286.62 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
Ball State 267.95 32 26 0.552 0.442 0.387
Belmont 172.52 33 26 0.559 0.452 0.393
Bradley 207.10 25 20 0.556 0.485 0.399
Butler 221.19 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240
Central Arkansas 255.42 29 27 0.518 0.529 0.391
Chicago State 290.10 12 41 0.226 0.435 0.222
Cincinnati 273.16 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Eastern Kentucky 268.91 24 31 0.436 0.475 0.337
Illinois 173.69 28 23 0.549 0.546 0.411
Illinois State 194.57 17 37 0.315 0.514 0.286
Illinois-Chicago 299.35 24 30 0.444 0.481 0.342
Indiana 178.17 32 24 0.571 0.497 0.410
Indiana State 156.61 35 21 0.625 0.512 0.441
Kentucky 258.52 32 25 0.561 0.550 0.418
Lipscomb 173.65 31 27 0.534 0.460 0.382
Louisville 191.56 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551
Memphis 184.02 21 38 0.356 0.506 0.304
Miami, Ohio 272.60 27 29 0.482 0.466 0.357
Middle Tennessee State 203.35 20 35 0.364 0.546 0.319
Mississippi 231.58 43 16 0.729 0.584 0.510
Mississippi State 294.05 41 16 0.719 0.573 0.503
Missouri 189.17 26 30 0.464 0.542 0.368
Missouri State 225.16 37 20 0.649 0.482 0.445
Northern Illinois 293.26 24 32 0.429 0.463 0.330
Northern Kentucky 273.35 20 34 0.370 0.468 0.302
Purdue 224.96 10 44 0.185 0.523 0.223
Tennessee Tech 230.30 31 24 0.564 0.442 0.392
Valparaiso 284.44 29 27 0.518 0.488 0.381
Vanderbilt 171.46 43 17 0.717 0.573 0.502
Western Illinois 206.80 13 35 0.271 0.491 0.258
Western Kentucky 159.57 24 30 0.444 0.537 0.356
Xavier 275.49 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation