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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's

Last updated: Sun May 29 06:48:44 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.490
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.492
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.368


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Richmond neutral 28 24 0.538 0.459 0.384 0.00030
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 39 15 0.722 0.513 0.489 0.00228
Western Carolina neutral 27 28 0.491 0.520 0.376 0.00015
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293 -0.00142
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293 -0.00142
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 19 37 0.339 0.496 0.293 -0.00142
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476 0.00204
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476 0.00204
Florida State Florida State 36 19 0.655 0.594 0.476 0.00204
Iona Iona 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00268
Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson 27 27 0.500 0.412 0.353 -0.00028
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00070
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 31 25 0.554 0.513 0.405 0.00070
Fairfield St. John's 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390 0.00042
Nevada Nevada 36 23 0.610 0.490 0.427 0.00111
Nevada Nevada 36 23 0.610 0.490 0.427 0.00111
Nevada Nevada 36 23 0.610 0.490 0.427 0.00111
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00215
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00215
LaSalle St. John's 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254 -0.00215
Wagner St. John's 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297 -0.00134
New York Tech St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299 -0.00130
New York Tech New York Tech 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299 -0.00130
Columbia Columbia 17 24 0.415 0.499 0.332 -0.00068
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00032
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00032
Georgetown St. John's 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351 -0.00032
Albany Albany 23 30 0.434 0.463 0.333 -0.00066
Princeton St. John's 24 19 0.558 0.497 0.403 0.00066
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00102
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00102
Villanova Villanova 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314 -0.00102
St. Peter's St. John's 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00311
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00036
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00036
Xavier Xavier 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00036
LIU Brooklyn St. John's 19 35 0.352 0.461 0.291 -0.00145
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00345
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00345
Louisville Louisville 47 11 0.810 0.584 0.551 0.00345
Iona St. John's 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226 -0.00268
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00242
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00242
Butler St. John's 12 40 0.231 0.498 0.240 -0.00242
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00132
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00132
Seton Hall Seton Hall 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00132
Albany St. John's 23 30 0.434 0.463 0.333 -0.00066
Creighton St. John's 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Creighton St. John's 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Creighton St. John's 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198
Xavier neutral 29 28 0.509 0.530 0.387 0.00036
Seton Hall neutral 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438 0.00132
Creighton neutral 37 16 0.698 0.497 0.473 0.00198

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 135.12 23 30 0.434 0.463 0.333
Army 47.02 16 32 0.333 0.488 0.288
Binghamton 147.49 29 23 0.558 0.480 0.399
Brown 146.13 15 24 0.385 0.465 0.309
Bryant 143.33 46 10 0.821 0.465 0.527
Central Connecticut State 85.98 23 34 0.404 0.512 0.330
Columbia 12.19 17 24 0.415 0.499 0.332
Connecticut 109.05 35 22 0.614 0.512 0.435
Delaware 126.57 31 22 0.585 0.480 0.412
Delaware State 141.20 13 37 0.260 0.444 0.241
Fairfield 41.22 31 24 0.564 0.432 0.390
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.41 27 27 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 10.64 29 29 0.500 0.454 0.363
Hartford 93.30 37 18 0.673 0.487 0.458
Hofstra 10.14 15 37 0.288 0.489 0.266
Holy Cross 146.64 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Iona 13.27 11 39 0.220 0.465 0.226
LIU Brooklyn 10.06 19 35 0.352 0.461 0.291
LaSalle 85.91 15 39 0.278 0.458 0.254
Lafayette 75.71 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 82.64 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 12.63 24 31 0.436 0.463 0.334
Marist 69.14 24 27 0.471 0.425 0.342
Massachusetts 132.22 18 27 0.400 0.454 0.314
Monmouth 32.88 30 27 0.526 0.455 0.377
New Jersey Tech 19.77 16 36 0.308 0.478 0.273
New York Tech 11.57 17 26 0.395 0.406 0.299
Pennsylvania 91.39 19 22 0.463 0.439 0.341
Princeton 51.97 24 19 0.558 0.497 0.403
Quinnipiac 67.23 21 31 0.404 0.458 0.317
Rhode Island 128.63 29 25 0.537 0.497 0.393
Rider 58.69 18 33 0.353 0.453 0.290
Rutgers 36.74 27 28 0.491 0.530 0.378
Sacred Heart 44.20 30 27 0.526 0.463 0.379
Seton Hall 23.88 38 20 0.655 0.441 0.438
Siena 137.89 25 31 0.446 0.421 0.328
St. Joseph's 91.56 31 23 0.574 0.487 0.409
St. Peter's 15.84 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Stony Brook 37.62 27 26 0.509 0.481 0.375
Temple 83.34 0.000
Villanova 89.01 20 32 0.385 0.485 0.314
Wagner 15.86 19 33 0.365 0.457 0.297
Yale 59.36 18 28 0.391 0.490 0.318

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 175.68 31 20 0.608 0.538 0.439
Bucknell 162.78 18 34 0.346 0.472 0.291
Coppin State 189.07 14 38 0.269 0.369 0.227
Cornell 182.83 14 22 0.389 0.448 0.306
Dartmouth 219.78 18 25 0.419 0.460 0.325
George Mason 228.19 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 218.26 24 33 0.421 0.495 0.334
Georgetown 213.01 24 29 0.453 0.499 0.351
Harvard 178.47 17 24 0.415 0.450 0.320
Maryland 205.67 30 26 0.536 0.569 0.410
Maryland-Baltimore County 184.91 28 23 0.549 0.450 0.387
Maryland-Eastern Shore 200.80 16 32 0.333 0.372 0.260
Massachusetts-Lowell 184.57 20 32 0.385 0.494 0.316
Mount St. Mary's 200.91 11 37 0.229 0.437 0.224
Navy 186.96 41 14 0.745 0.416 0.476
Norfolk State 299.08 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
Northeastern 177.80 31 27 0.534 0.454 0.381
Old Dominion 297.88 32 24 0.571 0.524 0.416
Penn State 212.55 28 27 0.509 0.523 0.385
Richmond 295.85 28 24 0.538 0.459 0.384
St. Bonaventure 260.66 26 22 0.542 0.409 0.373
Towson 175.17 20 35 0.364 0.494 0.305
Virginia Commonwealth 293.41 38 19 0.667 0.490 0.456
William and Mary 284.95 27 29 0.482 0.525 0.372

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation