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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's

Last updated: Sat Apr 30 07:01:28 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.432
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.496
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Richmond neutral 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410 0.00189
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.529 0.501 0.00435
Western Carolina neutral 21 19 0.525 0.508 0.390 0.00135
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 30 0.231 0.543 0.251 -0.00241
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 30 0.231 0.543 0.251 -0.00241
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 9 30 0.231 0.543 0.251 -0.00241
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515 0.00473
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515 0.00473
Florida State Florida State 28 11 0.718 0.624 0.515 0.00473
Iona Iona 8 28 0.222 0.491 0.234 -0.00286
Fairleigh Dickinson Fairleigh Dickinson 19 21 0.475 0.437 0.347 0.00019
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00200
Southern Illinois Southern Illinois 23 17 0.575 0.505 0.414 0.00200
Fairfield St. John's 21 18 0.538 0.426 0.376 0.00097
Nevada Nevada 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00084
Nevada Nevada 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00084
Nevada Nevada 19 20 0.487 0.510 0.371 0.00084
LaSalle St. John's 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00227
LaSalle St. John's 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00227
LaSalle St. John's 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256 -0.00227
Wagner St. John's 11 26 0.297 0.454 0.262 -0.00211
New York Tech St. John's 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324 -0.00043
New York Tech New York Tech 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324 -0.00043
Columbia Columbia 14 23 0.378 0.480 0.309 -0.00084
Georgetown St. John's 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 0.00019
Georgetown St. John's 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 0.00019
Georgetown St. John's 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347 0.00019
Albany Albany 16 20 0.444 0.475 0.341 0.00003
Princeton St. John's 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394 0.00146
Villanova Villanova 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308 -0.00086
Villanova Villanova 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308 -0.00086
Villanova Villanova 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308 -0.00086
St. Peter's St. John's 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190 -0.00405
Xavier Xavier 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00051
Xavier Xavier 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00051
Xavier Xavier 16 26 0.381 0.523 0.321 -0.00051
LIU Brooklyn St. John's 11 26 0.297 0.450 0.261 -0.00214
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00527
Louisville Louisville 32 9 0.780 0.580 0.535 0.00527

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 135.12 16 20 0.444 0.475 0.341
Army 47.02 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Binghamton 147.49 17 20 0.459 0.501 0.355
Brown 146.13 12 23 0.343 0.454 0.285
Bryant 143.33 30 7 0.811 0.475 0.524
Central Connecticut State 85.98 18 21 0.462 0.475 0.350
Columbia 12.19 14 23 0.378 0.480 0.309
Connecticut 109.05 22 18 0.550 0.538 0.410
Delaware 126.57 24 16 0.600 0.451 0.413
Delaware State 141.20 10 30 0.250 0.437 0.234
Fairfield 41.22 21 18 0.538 0.426 0.376
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.41 19 21 0.475 0.437 0.347
Fordham 10.64 22 21 0.512 0.449 0.368
Hartford 93.30 26 12 0.684 0.475 0.461
Hofstra 10.14 13 27 0.325 0.476 0.281
Holy Cross 146.64 22 23 0.489 0.454 0.358
Iona 13.27 8 28 0.222 0.491 0.234
LIU Brooklyn 10.06 11 26 0.297 0.450 0.261
LaSalle 85.91 12 30 0.286 0.450 0.256
Lafayette 75.71 13 26 0.333 0.468 0.284
Lehigh 82.64 19 26 0.422 0.434 0.320
Manhattan 12.63 13 25 0.342 0.501 0.296
Marist 69.14 18 19 0.486 0.452 0.356
Massachusetts 132.22 11 19 0.367 0.426 0.290
Monmouth 32.88 20 20 0.500 0.463 0.366
New Jersey Tech 19.77 15 23 0.395 0.443 0.308
New York Tech 11.57 17 21 0.447 0.400 0.324
Pennsylvania 91.39 18 19 0.486 0.429 0.350
Princeton 51.97 19 17 0.528 0.521 0.394
Quinnipiac 67.23 17 23 0.425 0.423 0.318
Rhode Island 128.63 17 20 0.459 0.513 0.358
Rider 58.69 13 25 0.342 0.489 0.293
Rutgers 36.74 21 20 0.512 0.561 0.396
Sacred Heart 44.20 21 16 0.568 0.453 0.397
Seton Hall 23.88 30 12 0.714 0.438 0.466
Siena 137.89 13 26 0.333 0.448 0.279
St. Joseph's 91.56 21 15 0.583 0.484 0.412
St. Peter's 15.84 6 31 0.162 0.434 0.190
Stony Brook 37.62 17 19 0.472 0.481 0.356
Temple 83.34 0.000
Villanova 89.01 15 25 0.375 0.483 0.308
Wagner 15.86 11 26 0.297 0.454 0.262
Yale 59.36 15 23 0.395 0.500 0.323

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 175.68 21 16 0.568 0.556 0.423
Bucknell 162.78 16 29 0.356 0.420 0.283
Coppin State 189.07 9 31 0.225 0.352 0.201
Cornell 182.83 13 19 0.406 0.437 0.312
Dartmouth 219.78 15 23 0.395 0.458 0.312
George Mason 228.19 13 28 0.317 0.449 0.271
George Washington 218.26 19 23 0.452 0.468 0.343
Georgetown 213.01 19 23 0.452 0.484 0.347
Harvard 178.47 16 21 0.432 0.454 0.330
Maryland 205.67 22 18 0.550 0.569 0.417
Maryland-Baltimore County 184.91 19 18 0.514 0.435 0.366
Maryland-Eastern Shore 200.80 13 27 0.325 0.374 0.256
Massachusetts-Lowell 184.57 17 20 0.459 0.482 0.350
Mount St. Mary's 200.91 9 27 0.250 0.366 0.216
Navy 186.96 34 11 0.756 0.418 0.482
Norfolk State 299.08 20 17 0.541 0.360 0.361
Northeastern 177.80 19 19 0.500 0.452 0.363
Old Dominion 297.88 25 16 0.610 0.543 0.441
Penn State 212.55 24 18 0.571 0.509 0.413
Richmond 295.85 22 16 0.579 0.482 0.410
St. Bonaventure 260.66 18 16 0.529 0.383 0.360
Towson 175.17 15 27 0.357 0.471 0.296
Virginia Commonwealth 293.41 28 14 0.667 0.490 0.456
William and Mary 284.95 20 21 0.488 0.517 0.373

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation