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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's
Last updated: Mon Aug 22 06:46:13 2016
Team Components
Opponents' Winning % | OWP | 0.490 |
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % | OOWP | 0.492 |
Strength of Schedule | OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 | 0.368 |
Schedule Analysis
Legend:
Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent --
it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference
in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number
of games played.
Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to
them.
Opponent | Location | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution | Impact |
Richmond | neutral | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 | 0.00028 |
North Carolina-Wilmington | North Carolina-Wilmington | 41 | 19 | 0.683 | 0.521 | 0.472 | 0.00193 |
Western Carolina | neutral | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.531 | 0.383 | 0.00028 |
CSU Bakersfield | CSU Bakersfield | 19 | 37 | 0.339 | 0.493 | 0.293 | -0.00139 |
CSU Bakersfield | CSU Bakersfield | 19 | 37 | 0.339 | 0.493 | 0.293 | -0.00139 |
CSU Bakersfield | CSU Bakersfield | 19 | 37 | 0.339 | 0.493 | 0.293 | -0.00139 |
Florida State | Florida State | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 | 0.00200 |
Florida State | Florida State | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 | 0.00200 |
Florida State | Florida State | 41 | 22 | 0.651 | 0.602 | 0.476 | 0.00200 |
Iona | Iona | 11 | 39 | 0.220 | 0.460 | 0.225 | -0.00265 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | Fairleigh Dickinson | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 | -0.00026 |
Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00067 |
Southern Illinois | Southern Illinois | 31 | 25 | 0.554 | 0.509 | 0.404 | 0.00067 |
Fairfield | St. John's | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 | 0.00033 |
Nevada | Nevada | 37 | 24 | 0.607 | 0.490 | 0.426 | 0.00107 |
Nevada | Nevada | 37 | 24 | 0.607 | 0.490 | 0.426 | 0.00107 |
Nevada | Nevada | 37 | 24 | 0.607 | 0.490 | 0.426 | 0.00107 |
LaSalle | St. John's | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00213 |
LaSalle | St. John's | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00213 |
LaSalle | St. John's | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 | -0.00213 |
Wagner | St. John's | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 | -0.00133 |
New York Tech | St. John's | 17 | 26 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.298 | -0.00130 |
New York Tech | New York Tech | 17 | 26 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.298 | -0.00130 |
Columbia | Columbia | 17 | 24 | 0.415 | 0.493 | 0.331 | -0.00069 |
Georgetown | St. John's | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 | -0.00033 |
Georgetown | St. John's | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 | -0.00033 |
Georgetown | St. John's | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 | -0.00033 |
Albany | Albany | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.460 | 0.332 | -0.00067 |
Princeton | St. John's | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 | 0.00044 |
Villanova | Villanova | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 | -0.00100 |
Villanova | Villanova | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 | -0.00100 |
Villanova | Villanova | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 | -0.00100 |
St. Peter's | St. John's | 10 | 42 | 0.192 | 0.424 | 0.202 | -0.00307 |
Xavier | Xavier | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00046 |
Xavier | Xavier | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00046 |
Xavier | Xavier | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00046 |
LIU Brooklyn | St. John's | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.455 | 0.290 | -0.00144 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00309 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00309 |
Louisville | Louisville | 50 | 14 | 0.781 | 0.580 | 0.535 | 0.00309 |
Iona | St. John's | 11 | 39 | 0.220 | 0.460 | 0.225 | -0.00265 |
Butler | St. John's | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00239 |
Butler | St. John's | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00239 |
Butler | St. John's | 12 | 40 | 0.231 | 0.495 | 0.239 | -0.00239 |
Seton Hall | Seton Hall | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 | 0.00130 |
Seton Hall | Seton Hall | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 | 0.00130 |
Seton Hall | Seton Hall | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 | 0.00130 |
Albany | St. John's | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.460 | 0.332 | -0.00067 |
Creighton | St. John's | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.496 | 0.469 | 0.00187 |
Creighton | St. John's | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.496 | 0.469 | 0.00187 |
Creighton | St. John's | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.496 | 0.469 | 0.00187 |
Xavier | neutral | 32 | 30 | 0.516 | 0.538 | 0.393 | 0.00046 |
Seton Hall | neutral | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 | 0.00130 |
Creighton | neutral | 38 | 17 | 0.691 | 0.496 | 0.469 | 0.00187 |
Legend:
Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team
beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to
them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses
to them.
Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Albany | 135.12 | 23 | 30 | 0.434 | 0.460 | 0.332 |
Army | 47.02 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.485 | 0.288 |
Binghamton | 147.49 | 30 | 25 | 0.545 | 0.488 | 0.395 |
Brown | 146.13 | 15 | 24 | 0.385 | 0.461 | 0.308 |
Bryant | 143.33 | 47 | 12 | 0.797 | 0.467 | 0.515 |
Central Connecticut State | 85.98 | 23 | 34 | 0.404 | 0.505 | 0.328 |
Columbia | 12.19 | 17 | 24 | 0.415 | 0.493 | 0.331 |
Connecticut | 109.05 | 38 | 25 | 0.603 | 0.516 | 0.430 |
Delaware | 126.57 | 31 | 22 | 0.585 | 0.475 | 0.411 |
Delaware State | 141.20 | 13 | 37 | 0.260 | 0.442 | 0.240 |
Fairfield | 41.22 | 32 | 26 | 0.552 | 0.440 | 0.386 |
Fairleigh Dickinson | 17.41 | 28 | 28 | 0.500 | 0.418 | 0.354 |
Fordham | 10.64 | 29 | 29 | 0.500 | 0.450 | 0.362 |
Hartford | 93.30 | 37 | 18 | 0.673 | 0.483 | 0.457 |
Hofstra | 10.14 | 15 | 37 | 0.288 | 0.488 | 0.266 |
Holy Cross | 146.64 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.472 | 0.372 |
Iona | 13.27 | 11 | 39 | 0.220 | 0.460 | 0.225 |
LIU Brooklyn | 10.06 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.455 | 0.290 |
LaSalle | 85.91 | 15 | 39 | 0.278 | 0.457 | 0.253 |
Lafayette | 75.71 | 14 | 29 | 0.326 | 0.460 | 0.278 |
Lehigh | 82.64 | 23 | 29 | 0.442 | 0.443 | 0.332 |
Manhattan | 12.63 | 24 | 31 | 0.436 | 0.460 | 0.333 |
Marist | 69.14 | 24 | 27 | 0.471 | 0.424 | 0.341 |
Massachusetts | 132.22 | 18 | 27 | 0.400 | 0.453 | 0.313 |
Monmouth | 32.88 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.452 | 0.376 |
New Jersey Tech | 19.77 | 16 | 36 | 0.308 | 0.476 | 0.273 |
New York Tech | 11.57 | 17 | 26 | 0.395 | 0.404 | 0.298 |
Pennsylvania | 91.39 | 19 | 22 | 0.463 | 0.434 | 0.340 |
Princeton | 51.97 | 24 | 21 | 0.533 | 0.500 | 0.392 |
Quinnipiac | 67.23 | 21 | 31 | 0.404 | 0.456 | 0.316 |
Rhode Island | 128.63 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.507 | 0.394 |
Rider | 58.69 | 18 | 33 | 0.353 | 0.450 | 0.289 |
Rutgers | 36.74 | 27 | 28 | 0.491 | 0.523 | 0.376 |
Sacred Heart | 44.20 | 30 | 28 | 0.517 | 0.460 | 0.373 |
Seton Hall | 23.88 | 38 | 20 | 0.655 | 0.440 | 0.438 |
Siena | 137.89 | 25 | 32 | 0.439 | 0.422 | 0.325 |
St. Joseph's | 91.56 | 31 | 23 | 0.574 | 0.485 | 0.408 |
St. Peter's | 15.84 | 10 | 42 | 0.192 | 0.424 | 0.202 |
Stony Brook | 37.62 | 27 | 27 | 0.500 | 0.478 | 0.369 |
Temple | 83.34 | 0.000 | ||||
Villanova | 89.01 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.484 | 0.314 |
Wagner | 15.86 | 19 | 33 | 0.365 | 0.454 | 0.296 |
Yale | 59.36 | 18 | 28 | 0.391 | 0.484 | 0.317 |
Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles
Opponent | Distance | W | L | WP | OWP | Contribution |
Boston College | 175.68 | 35 | 22 | 0.614 | 0.549 | 0.444 |
Bucknell | 162.78 | 18 | 34 | 0.346 | 0.468 | 0.290 |
Coppin State | 189.07 | 14 | 38 | 0.269 | 0.368 | 0.227 |
Cornell | 182.83 | 14 | 22 | 0.389 | 0.445 | 0.306 |
Dartmouth | 219.78 | 18 | 25 | 0.419 | 0.456 | 0.324 |
George Mason | 228.19 | 19 | 35 | 0.352 | 0.457 | 0.290 |
George Washington | 218.26 | 24 | 33 | 0.421 | 0.492 | 0.334 |
Georgetown | 213.01 | 24 | 29 | 0.453 | 0.495 | 0.350 |
Harvard | 178.47 | 17 | 24 | 0.415 | 0.446 | 0.319 |
Maryland | 205.67 | 30 | 27 | 0.526 | 0.562 | 0.404 |
Maryland-Baltimore County | 184.91 | 28 | 23 | 0.549 | 0.447 | 0.386 |
Maryland-Eastern Shore | 200.80 | 16 | 32 | 0.333 | 0.371 | 0.259 |
Massachusetts-Lowell | 184.57 | 20 | 32 | 0.385 | 0.491 | 0.315 |
Mount St. Mary's | 200.91 | 11 | 37 | 0.229 | 0.434 | 0.223 |
Navy | 186.96 | 42 | 16 | 0.724 | 0.424 | 0.468 |
Norfolk State | 299.08 | 29 | 21 | 0.580 | 0.370 | 0.382 |
Northeastern | 177.80 | 31 | 27 | 0.534 | 0.452 | 0.380 |
Old Dominion | 297.88 | 32 | 24 | 0.571 | 0.518 | 0.415 |
Penn State | 212.55 | 28 | 27 | 0.509 | 0.514 | 0.383 |
Richmond | 295.85 | 28 | 24 | 0.538 | 0.457 | 0.383 |
St. Bonaventure | 260.66 | 26 | 22 | 0.542 | 0.408 | 0.373 |
Towson | 175.17 | 20 | 35 | 0.364 | 0.491 | 0.305 |
Virginia Commonwealth | 293.41 | 38 | 19 | 0.667 | 0.488 | 0.456 |
William and Mary | 284.95 | 31 | 31 | 0.500 | 0.539 | 0.385 |
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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis | About the author, Boyd Nation |