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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for St. John's

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:39 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.440
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.511
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.34775


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00298
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00298
Pepperdine Pepperdine 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00298
Old Dominion Old Dominion 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00203
St. Joseph's neutral 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00289
Kentucky neutral 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452 0.00232
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 0.00105
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 0.00105
Florida Atlantic Florida Atlantic 25 23 0.521 0.536 0.395 0.00105
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00247
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00247
Nebraska Nebraska 32 17 0.653 0.531 0.459 0.00247
Iona St. John's 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257 -0.00202
Fairleigh Dickinson St. John's 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288 -0.00133
Holy Cross St. John's 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00153
Holy Cross St. John's 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00153
Holy Cross St. John's 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279 -0.00153
Fairfield St. John's 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402 0.00121
LIU Brooklyn St. John's 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372 0.00054
James Madison St. John's 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00082
James Madison St. John's 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00082
James Madison St. John's 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00082
Hofstra Hofstra 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339 -0.00019
Sacred Heart St. John's 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378 0.00067
Towson St. John's 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 0.00032
Wagner Wagner 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00126
Villanova Villanova 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00148
Villanova Villanova 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00148
Villanova Villanova 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281 -0.00148
Butler St. John's 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00108
Butler St. John's 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00108
Butler St. John's 13 26 0.333 0.529 0.299 -0.00108
Columbia Columbia 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428 0.00178
New York Tech New York Tech 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161 -0.00415
New York Tech St. John's 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161 -0.00415
New York Tech St. John's 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161 -0.00415
Boston College neutral 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00026
Georgetown St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00048
Georgetown St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00048
Georgetown St. John's 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00048
Princeton St. John's 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00106
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00089
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00089
Xavier Xavier 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388 0.00089
Albany St. John's 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235 -0.00251

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Albany 135.12 9 30 0.231 0.478 0.235
Army 47.02 32 16 0.667 0.436 0.443
Binghamton 147.49 19 21 0.475 0.493 0.361
Brown 146.13 13 24 0.351 0.477 0.295
Bryant 143.33 33 12 0.733 0.487 0.488
Central Connecticut State 85.98 20 17 0.541 0.481 0.391
Columbia 12.19 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Connecticut 109.05 23 24 0.489 0.505 0.371
Delaware 126.57 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 141.20 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
Fairfield 41.22 26 19 0.578 0.451 0.402
Fairleigh Dickinson 17.41 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 10.64 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Hartford 93.30 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
Hofstra 10.14 17 20 0.459 0.438 0.339
Holy Cross 146.64 13 31 0.295 0.527 0.279
Iona 13.27 11 27 0.289 0.451 0.257
LIU Brooklyn 10.06 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 85.91 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 75.71 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 82.64 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Manhattan 12.63 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marist 69.14 13 30 0.302 0.433 0.259
Massachusetts 132.22 11 28 0.282 0.491 0.264
Monmouth 32.88 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 19.77 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
New York Tech 11.57 4 41 0.089 0.466 0.161
Pennsylvania 91.39 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Princeton 51.97 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Quinnipiac 67.23 15 24 0.385 0.451 0.305
Rhode Island 128.63 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252
Rider 58.69 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 36.74 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Sacred Heart 44.20 22 22 0.500 0.513 0.378
Seton Hall 23.88 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
Siena 137.89 17 28 0.378 0.443 0.300
St. Joseph's 91.56 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 15.84 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Stony Brook 37.62 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434
Temple 83.34 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Villanova 89.01 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Wagner 15.86 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
Yale 59.36 18 22 0.450 0.446 0.337

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Boston College 175.68 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336
Bucknell 162.78 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Coppin State 189.07 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Cornell 182.83 18 21 0.462 0.442 0.342
Dartmouth 219.78 17 19 0.472 0.491 0.359
George Mason 228.19 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 218.26 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 213.01 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Harvard 178.47 11 28 0.282 0.472 0.259
Maryland 205.67 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 184.91 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 200.80 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Massachusetts-Lowell 184.57 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354
Mount St. Mary's 200.91 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 186.96 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 299.08 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
Northeastern 177.80 21 23 0.477 0.471 0.356
Old Dominion 297.88 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Penn State 212.55 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Richmond 295.85 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
St. Bonaventure 260.66 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262
Towson 175.17 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia Commonwealth 293.41 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
William and Mary 284.95 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation