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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Santa Barbara

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:08 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.551
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.519
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40525


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.529 0.329 -0.00147
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.529 0.329 -0.00147
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.529 0.329 -0.00147
San Francisco UC Santa Barbara 22 34 0.393 0.529 0.329 -0.00147
St. Mary's UC Santa Barbara 30 23 0.566 0.532 0.416 0.00021
Kentucky neutral 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424 0.00036
Bryant neutral 44 10 0.815 0.463 0.523 0.00226
San Diego neutral 27 29 0.482 0.528 0.373 -0.00062
UCLA UC Santa Barbara 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376 -0.00056
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00017
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00017
Oregon Oregon 29 23 0.558 0.538 0.414 0.00017
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467 0.00119
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467 0.00119
Hartford UC Santa Barbara 36 16 0.692 0.484 0.467 0.00119
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00046
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00046
Connecticut UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.517 0.429 0.00046
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 18 35 0.340 0.496 0.294 -0.00214
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00052
Southern California UC Santa Barbara 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00052
Southern California Southern California 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00052
Pepperdine Pepperdine 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414 0.00017
Long Beach State Long Beach State 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462 0.00109
Long Beach State Long Beach State 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462 0.00109
Long Beach State Long Beach State 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462 0.00109
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00015
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00015
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 20 0.615 0.451 0.420 0.00028
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 20 0.615 0.451 0.420 0.00028
Cal State Northridge UC Santa Barbara 32 20 0.615 0.451 0.420 0.00028
Nevada UC Santa Barbara 33 22 0.600 0.487 0.422 0.00032
Cal Poly Cal Poly 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00001
Cal Poly Cal Poly 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00001
Cal Poly Cal Poly 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406 0.00001
St. Mary's St. Mary's 30 23 0.566 0.532 0.416 0.00021
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00085
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00085
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 22 26 0.458 0.527 0.361 -0.00085
Pepperdine UC Santa Barbara 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414 0.00017
UC Davis UC Davis 16 34 0.320 0.523 0.291 -0.00220
UC Davis UC Davis 16 34 0.320 0.523 0.291 -0.00220
UC Davis UC Davis 16 34 0.320 0.523 0.291 -0.00220
CSU Bakersfield UC Santa Barbara 18 35 0.340 0.496 0.294 -0.00214
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 19 0.635 0.537 0.452 0.00090
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 19 0.635 0.537 0.452 0.00090
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 33 19 0.635 0.537 0.452 0.00090
UCLA UCLA 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376 -0.00056
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 24 0.547 0.492 0.397 -0.00016
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 24 0.547 0.492 0.397 -0.00016
UC Irvine UC Irvine 29 24 0.547 0.492 0.397 -0.00016
Gonzaga UC Santa Barbara 33 17 0.660 0.500 0.455 0.00096

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 76.79 18 35 0.340 0.496 0.294
Cal Poly 76.74 30 24 0.556 0.510 0.406
Cal State Fullerton 118.32 33 19 0.635 0.537 0.452
Cal State Northridge 76.61 32 20 0.615 0.451 0.420
Long Beach State 107.61 35 18 0.660 0.527 0.462
Loyola Marymount 87.30 26 27 0.491 0.517 0.375
Pepperdine 70.25 28 22 0.560 0.535 0.414
Southern California 93.35 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378
UC Irvine 126.45 29 24 0.547 0.492 0.397
UC Riverside 144.35 24 28 0.462 0.497 0.355
UCLA 83.36 25 28 0.472 0.561 0.376

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 299.06 0.000
California 273.71 30 20 0.600 0.516 0.429
Fresno State 165.52 36 20 0.643 0.491 0.444
Nevada-Las Vegas 289.97 24 30 0.444 0.547 0.359
Pacific 258.91 22 30 0.423 0.472 0.330
San Diego 191.00 27 29 0.482 0.528 0.373
San Diego State 195.94 19 36 0.345 0.549 0.310
San Francisco 273.50 22 34 0.393 0.529 0.329
San Jose State 229.92 17 38 0.309 0.518 0.284
Santa Clara 233.49 23 29 0.442 0.503 0.347
St. Mary's 267.93 30 23 0.566 0.532 0.416
Stanford 244.91 28 23 0.549 0.514 0.403

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation