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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for UC Santa Barbara

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:37 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.502
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.533
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38425


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
CSU Bakersfield UC Santa Barbara 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00147
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00205
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00205
San Jose State San Jose State 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300 -0.00205
UCLA UCLA 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383 -0.00003
Princeton UC Santa Barbara 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00205
Princeton UC Santa Barbara 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00205
Princeton UC Santa Barbara 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300 -0.00205
Mississippi State neutral 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00173
Arizona Arizona 18 28 0.391 0.555 0.334 -0.00123
Mississippi State neutral 31 18 0.633 0.553 0.455 0.00173
Arizona neutral 18 28 0.391 0.555 0.334 -0.00123
Pepperdine UC Santa Barbara 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482 0.00238
Wichita State UC Santa Barbara 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00009
Wichita State UC Santa Barbara 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00009
Wichita State UC Santa Barbara 25 24 0.510 0.532 0.388 0.00009
Wagner UC Santa Barbara 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00227
Wagner UC Santa Barbara 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00227
Wagner UC Santa Barbara 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00227
Wagner UC Santa Barbara 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291 -0.00227
Fresno State Fresno State 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391 0.00016
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00071
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00071
Hawaii UC Santa Barbara 19 25 0.432 0.555 0.355 -0.00071
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00351
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00351
Cal Poly Cal Poly 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528 0.00351
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00053
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00053
Cal State Fullerton UC Santa Barbara 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406 0.00053
Brigham Young UC Santa Barbara 18 28 0.391 0.527 0.327 -0.00140
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00029
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00029
Long Beach State Long Beach State 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396 0.00029
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 -0.00010
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 -0.00010
UC Riverside UC Santa Barbara 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380 -0.00010
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00243
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00243
UC Irvine UC Irvine 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484 0.00243
CSU Bakersfield CSU Bakersfield 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324 -0.00147

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
CSU Bakersfield 76.79 20 27 0.426 0.443 0.324
Cal Poly 76.74 39 9 0.812 0.488 0.528
Cal State Fullerton 118.32 24 20 0.545 0.533 0.406
Cal State Northridge 76.61 17 30 0.362 0.541 0.316
Long Beach State 107.61 23 23 0.500 0.585 0.396
Loyola Marymount 87.30 28 20 0.583 0.486 0.413
Pepperdine 70.25 32 13 0.711 0.505 0.482
Southern California 93.35 25 20 0.556 0.546 0.415
UC Irvine 126.45 33 14 0.702 0.531 0.484
UC Riverside 144.35 20 23 0.465 0.591 0.380
UCLA 83.36 23 22 0.511 0.508 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Cal State Sacramento 299.06 30 18 0.625 0.464 0.428
California 273.71 19 24 0.442 0.582 0.366
Fresno State 165.52 25 24 0.510 0.545 0.391
Nevada-Las Vegas 289.97 29 18 0.617 0.534 0.442
Pacific 258.91 23 22 0.511 0.529 0.388
San Diego 191.00 32 17 0.653 0.495 0.450
San Diego State 195.94 33 16 0.673 0.491 0.459
San Francisco 273.50 22 25 0.468 0.505 0.360
San Jose State 229.92 16 34 0.320 0.562 0.300
Santa Clara 233.49 22 26 0.458 0.510 0.357
St. Mary's 267.93 14 33 0.298 0.479 0.269
Stanford 244.91 22 20 0.524 0.595 0.411

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation