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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.461
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.515
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.35925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Radford neutral 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00135
Old Dominion neutral 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00177
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00184
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439 0.00177
Furman Furman 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00076
Furman Furman 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00076
Furman Furman 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325 -0.00076
East Carolina Virginia Commonwealth 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00133
Temple Virginia Commonwealth 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00187
Temple Virginia Commonwealth 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00187
Temple Virginia Commonwealth 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275 -0.00187
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00075
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00075
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393 0.00075
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00123
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00034
Lafayette Virginia Commonwealth 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303 -0.00125
Buffalo Virginia Commonwealth 22 18 0.550 0.480 0.395 0.00079
Rutgers Virginia Commonwealth 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 0.00073
East Carolina East Carolina 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00133
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00216
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00216
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 11 27 0.289 0.469 0.262 -0.00216
George Mason George Mason 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420 0.00135
Maryland Maryland 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00179
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 0.00088
St. Joseph's Virginia Commonwealth 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00264
St. Joseph's Virginia Commonwealth 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00264
St. Joseph's Virginia Commonwealth 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478 0.00264
Virginia Tech Virginia Commonwealth 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344 -0.00034
Richmond Richmond 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00004
Richmond Richmond 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00004
Richmond Richmond 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361 0.00004
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328 -0.00069
LaSalle Virginia Commonwealth 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00203
LaSalle Virginia Commonwealth 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00203
LaSalle Virginia Commonwealth 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268 -0.00203
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00408
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00238
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00238
Rhode Island Rhode Island 11 34 0.244 0.520 0.252 -0.00238
George Washington Virginia Commonwealth 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00156
George Washington Virginia Commonwealth 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00156
George Washington Virginia Commonwealth 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289 -0.00156
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00179

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Duke 136.19 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Carolina 136.80 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
George Mason 87.62 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 90.52 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 102.24 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
James Madison 97.83 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 95.34 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 54.66 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Maryland 101.92 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 110.96 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 82.95 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina 144.55 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina Central 134.49 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 140.53 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
Old Dominion 79.34 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Richmond 4.27 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Towson 134.08 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
VMI 109.13 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 66.02 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
William and Mary 44.59 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Bucknell 235.55 25 17 0.595 0.474 0.416
Campbell 165.21 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Coastal Carolina 278.38 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
Columbia 296.78 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 235.70 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Delaware 171.64 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383
Delaware State 152.31 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Tennessee State 284.27 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 151.65 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 13 26 0.333 0.487 0.288
Fordham 297.28 21 24 0.467 0.429 0.341
Gardner-Webb 283.80 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 178.33 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 23 20 0.535 0.418 0.372
LaSalle 210.89 12 30 0.286 0.499 0.268
Lafayette 249.14 15 26 0.366 0.482 0.303
Lehigh 236.71 23 21 0.523 0.410 0.364
Manhattan 298.22 13 29 0.310 0.458 0.270
Marshall 232.92 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Monmouth 263.44 19 20 0.487 0.426 0.350
New Jersey Tech 281.49 16 21 0.432 0.328 0.298
North Carolina A&T 164.32 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 278.95 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Penn State 224.86 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pennsylvania 204.48 23 17 0.575 0.464 0.403
Pittsburgh 239.69 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Princeton 244.17 14 26 0.350 0.502 0.300
Radford 171.55 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
Rider 237.45 13 29 0.310 0.440 0.265
Rutgers 260.66 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392
Seton Hall 278.60 33 11 0.750 0.382 0.471
St. John's 293.41 30 15 0.667 0.440 0.444
St. Joseph's 205.70 30 11 0.732 0.447 0.478
St. Peter's 282.96 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249
Temple 216.74 12 27 0.308 0.485 0.275
Villanova 211.57 13 30 0.302 0.522 0.281
Virginia Tech 164.30 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Wagner 279.37 14 29 0.326 0.511 0.291
Wake Forest 183.54 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405
West Virginia 197.88 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Winthrop 268.56 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation