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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.494
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.486
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.3685


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392 0.00044
Georgia State Georgia State 23 30 0.434 0.485 0.338 -0.00058
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463 0.00178
Eastern Kentucky neutral 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338 -0.00058
South Dakota State neutral 18 33 0.353 0.491 0.299 -0.00131
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485 0.00220
Longwood Longwood 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390 0.00041
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00033
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00033
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 24 25 0.490 0.423 0.351 -0.00033
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427 0.00110
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298 -0.00133
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298 -0.00133
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298 -0.00133
VMI VMI 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00108
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383 0.00027
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00084
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00084
College of Charleston College of Charleston 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413 0.00084
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390 0.00041
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00010
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00010
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 26 22 0.542 0.411 0.374 0.00010
Maryland Maryland 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00071
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406 0.00071
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00139
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00139
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 19 36 0.345 0.489 0.295 -0.00139
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00210
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00029
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00029
Rhode Island Rhode Island 27 25 0.519 0.497 0.384 0.00029
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388 0.00037
William and Mary William and Mary 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367 -0.00003
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00214
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00214
LaSalle LaSalle 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255 -0.00214
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00210
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00029
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00029
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 0.00029
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00108
George Washington George Washington 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00061
George Washington George Washington 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00061
George Washington George Washington 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336 -0.00061
North Carolina North Carolina 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00173
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00052
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00052
St. Louis Virginia Commonwealth 24 29 0.453 0.457 0.341 -0.00052
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00010
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00010
Presbyterian Presbyterian 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363 -0.00010
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 0.00014

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
Duke 136.19 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Carolina 136.80 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
George Mason 87.62 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 90.52 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 102.24 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
James Madison 97.83 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Liberty 95.34 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 54.66 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
Maryland 101.92 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 110.96 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 82.95 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
North Carolina 144.55 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina Central 134.49 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 140.53 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
Old Dominion 79.34 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Richmond 4.27 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
Towson 134.08 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306
VMI 109.13 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia 66.02 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
William and Mary 44.59 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Bucknell 235.55 18 34 0.346 0.473 0.291
Campbell 165.21 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Coastal Carolina 278.38 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
Columbia 296.78 17 24 0.415 0.502 0.333
Davidson 235.70 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Delaware 171.64 31 22 0.585 0.476 0.411
Delaware State 152.31 13 37 0.260 0.448 0.242
East Tennessee State 284.27 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Elon 151.65 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 26 26 0.500 0.412 0.353
Fordham 297.28 28 27 0.509 0.449 0.367
Gardner-Webb 283.80 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
High Point 178.33 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 19 35 0.352 0.464 0.292
LaSalle 210.89 15 39 0.278 0.463 0.255
Lafayette 249.14 14 29 0.326 0.463 0.279
Lehigh 236.71 23 29 0.442 0.445 0.332
Manhattan 298.22 22 29 0.431 0.461 0.331
Marshall 232.92 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Monmouth 263.44 29 25 0.537 0.458 0.383
New Jersey Tech 281.49 16 36 0.308 0.481 0.274
North Carolina A&T 164.32 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 278.95 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Penn State 224.86 28 27 0.509 0.521 0.385
Pennsylvania 204.48 19 22 0.463 0.437 0.341
Pittsburgh 239.69 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Princeton 244.17 24 19 0.558 0.500 0.404
Radford 171.55 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
Rider 237.45 18 33 0.353 0.456 0.290
Rutgers 260.66 27 28 0.491 0.535 0.379
Seton Hall 278.60 38 18 0.679 0.438 0.449
St. John's 293.41 27 24 0.529 0.486 0.386
St. Joseph's 205.70 29 21 0.580 0.482 0.410
St. Peter's 282.96 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 20 32 0.385 0.486 0.314
Virginia Tech 164.30 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Wagner 279.37 19 33 0.365 0.464 0.298
Wake Forest 183.54 32 23 0.582 0.562 0.431
West Virginia 197.88 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Winthrop 268.56 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation