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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Commonwealth

Last updated: Tue May 3 06:55:26 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.491
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.487
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.36725


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Kennesaw State Kennesaw State 20 23 0.465 0.501 0.358 -0.00021
Georgia State Georgia State 19 22 0.463 0.476 0.351 -0.00036
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 30 14 0.682 0.570 0.484 0.00259
Eastern Kentucky neutral 20 25 0.444 0.465 0.338 -0.00065
South Dakota State neutral 14 26 0.350 0.482 0.295 -0.00161
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507 0.00311
Longwood Longwood 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 0.00068
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.432 0.345 -0.00049
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.432 0.345 -0.00049
Marist Virginia Commonwealth 19 21 0.475 0.432 0.345 -0.00049
Old Dominion Virginia Commonwealth 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441 0.00164
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
Wagner Virginia Commonwealth 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274 -0.00207
VMI VMI 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00134
Monmouth Virginia Commonwealth 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384 0.00037
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.554 0.413 0.00102
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.554 0.413 0.00102
College of Charleston College of Charleston 23 19 0.548 0.554 0.413 0.00102
Longwood Virginia Commonwealth 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398 0.00068
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367 -0.00001
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367 -0.00001
St. Bonaventure Virginia Commonwealth 20 17 0.541 0.385 0.367 -0.00001
Maryland Maryland 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00119
Maryland Virginia Commonwealth 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421 0.00119
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00154
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00154
Dayton Virginia Commonwealth 16 29 0.356 0.482 0.298 -0.00154
Virginia Virginia Commonwealth 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00226
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 21 0.475 0.526 0.369 0.00004
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 21 0.475 0.526 0.369 0.00004
Rhode Island Rhode Island 19 21 0.475 0.526 0.369 0.00004
Norfolk State Virginia Commonwealth 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368 0.00002
William and Mary William and Mary 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383 0.00035
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00241
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00241
LaSalle LaSalle 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259 -0.00241
Virginia Virginia 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469 0.00226
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00066
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00066
Richmond Virginia Commonwealth 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397 0.00066
VMI Virginia Commonwealth 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307 -0.00134
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00052
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00052
George Washington George Washington 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344 -0.00052

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Coppin State 116.55 11 32 0.256 0.352 0.216
Duke 136.19 25 20 0.556 0.580 0.423
East Carolina 136.80 27 16 0.628 0.574 0.458
George Mason 87.62 15 29 0.341 0.465 0.287
George Washington 90.52 20 25 0.444 0.486 0.344
Georgetown 102.24 21 24 0.467 0.497 0.358
James Madison 97.83 18 26 0.409 0.499 0.329
Liberty 95.34 22 22 0.500 0.520 0.380
Longwood 54.66 25 20 0.556 0.481 0.398
Maryland 101.92 24 19 0.558 0.567 0.421
Maryland-Baltimore County 122.96 20 20 0.500 0.445 0.361
Maryland-Eastern Shore 106.55 14 29 0.326 0.368 0.255
Mount St. Mary's 145.70 11 29 0.275 0.366 0.229
Navy 110.96 37 12 0.755 0.409 0.480
Norfolk State 82.95 23 18 0.561 0.351 0.368
North Carolina 144.55 28 15 0.651 0.593 0.474
North Carolina Central 134.49 22 25 0.468 0.400 0.334
North Carolina State 140.53 31 12 0.721 0.601 0.511
Old Dominion 79.34 27 17 0.614 0.537 0.441
Richmond 4.27 23 18 0.561 0.467 0.397
Towson 134.08 17 28 0.378 0.485 0.310
VMI 109.13 18 30 0.375 0.479 0.307
Virginia 66.02 30 17 0.638 0.599 0.469
William and Mary 44.59 22 22 0.500 0.531 0.383

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 251.87 13 31 0.295 0.498 0.272
Bucknell 235.55 17 32 0.347 0.452 0.286
Campbell 165.21 22 21 0.512 0.501 0.381
Coastal Carolina 278.38 31 14 0.689 0.590 0.492
Columbia 296.78 17 24 0.415 0.489 0.330
Davidson 235.70 22 22 0.500 0.477 0.369
Delaware 171.64 25 18 0.581 0.455 0.404
Delaware State 152.31 11 33 0.250 0.449 0.237
East Tennessee State 284.27 19 24 0.442 0.424 0.327
Elon 151.65 22 23 0.489 0.499 0.369
Fairleigh Dickinson 294.45 21 23 0.477 0.422 0.344
Fordham 297.28 23 23 0.500 0.443 0.361
Gardner-Webb 283.80 31 16 0.660 0.431 0.438
High Point 178.33 26 16 0.619 0.546 0.446
LIU Brooklyn 285.14 13 28 0.317 0.426 0.265
LaSalle 210.89 13 32 0.289 0.457 0.259
Lafayette 249.14 14 29 0.326 0.465 0.279
Lehigh 236.71 21 27 0.438 0.438 0.329
Manhattan 298.22 15 26 0.366 0.505 0.309
Marshall 232.92 24 17 0.585 0.520 0.422
Monmouth 263.44 23 20 0.535 0.464 0.384
New Jersey Tech 281.49 15 26 0.366 0.451 0.296
North Carolina A&T 164.32 10 36 0.217 0.475 0.227
North Carolina-Charlotte 239.98 19 26 0.422 0.542 0.347
North Carolina-Greensboro 166.42 33 13 0.717 0.497 0.483
North Carolina-Wilmington 232.57 31 10 0.756 0.516 0.507
Ohio 278.95 19 23 0.452 0.449 0.338
Penn State 224.86 25 20 0.556 0.510 0.406
Pennsylvania 204.48 19 22 0.463 0.429 0.339
Pittsburgh 239.69 21 17 0.553 0.563 0.417
Princeton 244.17 22 18 0.550 0.513 0.403
Radford 171.55 14 30 0.318 0.553 0.297
Rider 237.45 14 27 0.341 0.477 0.290
Rutgers 260.66 22 22 0.500 0.569 0.392
Seton Hall 278.60 31 14 0.689 0.447 0.456
St. John's 293.41 21 19 0.525 0.463 0.378
St. Joseph's 205.70 22 17 0.564 0.484 0.403
St. Peter's 282.96 8 32 0.200 0.436 0.209
Temple 216.74 0.000
Villanova 211.57 15 28 0.349 0.496 0.298
Virginia Tech 164.30 15 30 0.333 0.537 0.301
Wagner 279.37 13 28 0.317 0.462 0.274
Wake Forest 183.54 27 17 0.614 0.563 0.448
West Virginia 197.88 23 19 0.548 0.501 0.399
Winthrop 268.56 22 20 0.524 0.478 0.382

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation