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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Virginia Tech

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.569
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.527
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41625


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
The Citadel The Citadel 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331 -0.00181
Delaware neutral 21 21 0.500 0.531 0.383 -0.00071
Louisiana State Louisiana State 35 13 0.729 0.543 0.500 0.00178
Texas Southern neutral 17 24 0.415 0.434 0.316 -0.00213
Radford Virginia Tech 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00008
Cincinnati Virginia Tech 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00164
Massachusetts-Lowell Virginia Tech 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354 -0.00132
Massachusetts-Lowell Virginia Tech 18 18 0.500 0.415 0.354 -0.00132
Cincinnati Virginia Tech 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00164
William and Mary Virginia Tech 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460 0.00093
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00057
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00057
Clemson Clemson 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00057
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Tech 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00116
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00107
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00107
Pittsburgh Virginia Tech 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366 -0.00107
Rutgers Virginia Tech 24 22 0.522 0.523 0.392 -0.00052
Notre Dame Notre Dame 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00247
Notre Dame Notre Dame 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00247
Notre Dame Notre Dame 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00247
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00270
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00270
Virginia Virginia 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543 0.00270
James Madison Virginia Tech 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311 -0.00224
Radford Virginia Tech 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00008
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00165
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00165
Miami, Florida Virginia Tech 34 14 0.708 0.559 0.494 0.00165
Virginia Commonwealth Virginia Commonwealth 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471 0.00116
Longwood Virginia Tech 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331 -0.00181
Maryland Virginia Tech 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00051
Maryland Virginia Tech 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00051
Maryland Virginia Tech 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00051
Liberty Liberty 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516 0.00212
Duke Virginia Tech 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00053
Duke Virginia Tech 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00053
Duke Virginia Tech 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00053
Appalachian State Virginia Tech 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00226
Campbell Virginia Tech 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453 0.00078
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00046
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00046
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00046
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00055
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00055
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00055
West Virginia neutral 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446 0.00063

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 98.89 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Davidson 120.70 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 117.70 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Tennessee State 124.38 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 91.99 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
High Point 89.13 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
James Madison 119.74 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Liberty 68.99 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 111.61 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
Marshall 101.99 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
North Carolina 118.71 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 86.47 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 119.04 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 138.44 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Charlotte 133.14 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 86.41 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Radford 8.47 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
VMI 66.93 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia 119.12 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Wake Forest 75.81 26 22 0.542 0.534 0.405

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Akron 272.68 23 23 0.500 0.468 0.367
Campbell 156.31 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Charleston Southern 293.30 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Cincinnati 258.38 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339
Clemson 221.77 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 257.29 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
Coppin State 241.70 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
Dayton 268.31 19 24 0.442 0.463 0.337
Delaware State 297.59 26 15 0.634 0.381 0.412
East Carolina 203.66 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Eastern Kentucky 215.53 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
Furman 194.65 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 153.08 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
George Mason 202.58 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 212.99 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 217.57 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 280.83 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Kent State 275.13 29 17 0.630 0.420 0.420
Kentucky 229.87 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Louisville 299.62 38 11 0.776 0.542 0.524
Maryland 225.28 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 245.67 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 267.88 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Miami, Ohio 282.13 23 25 0.479 0.538 0.374
Morehead State 177.38 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 237.98 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 246.04 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 230.93 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Asheville 162.72 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Wilmington 251.62 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Northern Kentucky 252.72 13 31 0.295 0.502 0.273
Ohio 171.84 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Ohio State 238.56 27 22 0.551 0.530 0.408
Old Dominion 228.05 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Penn State 284.08 17 26 0.395 0.454 0.311
Pittsburgh 224.31 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Presbyterian 206.82 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Richmond 160.17 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
South Carolina 226.02 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
South Carolina-Upstate 175.65 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
Tennessee 213.32 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 290.94 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
Towson 255.49 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362
Virginia Commonwealth 164.30 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 169.74 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 202.82 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 203.03 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460
Winthrop 160.48 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 177.33 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367
Wright State 264.22 28 18 0.609 0.482 0.425
Xavier 257.38 24 21 0.533 0.484 0.388
Youngstown State 276.95 10 31 0.244 0.470 0.239

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation