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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Wed May 7 10:47:40 2014

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.534
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.529
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.39925


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Towson Wake Forest 20 23 0.465 0.516 0.362 -0.00078
Georgetown Wake Forest 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326 -0.00153
Marshall Wake Forest 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00163
Marshall Wake Forest 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321 -0.00163
Davidson Wake Forest 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00106
Cincinnati Wake Forest 19 26 0.422 0.510 0.339 -0.00126
Missouri Wake Forest 20 27 0.426 0.559 0.353 -0.00096
Radford Wake Forest 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420 0.00043
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00048
St. Louis Wake Forest 27 18 0.600 0.423 0.406 0.00014
Stony Brook Wake Forest 27 15 0.643 0.450 0.434 0.00072
St. Peter's Wake Forest 11 34 0.244 0.508 0.249 -0.00313
VMI Wake Forest 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399 -0.00001
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00089
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00089
Georgia Tech Georgia Tech 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442 0.00089
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353 -0.00096
East Carolina neutral 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419 0.00041
Clemson Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00091
Clemson Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00091
Clemson Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443 0.00091
Davidson Davidson 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450 0.00106
Boston College neutral 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00132
Boston College neutral 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00132
Boston College neutral 20 29 0.408 0.527 0.336 -0.00132
Elon Elon 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407 0.00016
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00207
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00207
Notre Dame neutral 16 30 0.348 0.504 0.300 -0.00207
High Point High Point 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00066
High Point Wake Forest 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431 0.00066
Maryland Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00085
Maryland Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00085
Maryland Wake Forest 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440 0.00085
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376 -0.00048
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00081
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00081
North Carolina North Carolina 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438 0.00081
Appalachian State Wake Forest 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310 -0.00186
Florida State Wake Forest 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00264
Florida State Wake Forest 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00264
Florida State Wake Forest 37 11 0.771 0.562 0.526 0.00264
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00198
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304 -0.00198
Duke Wake Forest 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00087
Duke Wake Forest 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00087
Duke Wake Forest 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441 0.00087
Western Carolina neutral 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468 0.00143

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 16 29 0.356 0.527 0.310
Campbell 98.46 31 16 0.660 0.490 0.453
Davidson 54.40 27 14 0.659 0.482 0.450
Duke 73.62 30 18 0.625 0.515 0.441
East Tennessee State 118.39 24 22 0.522 0.481 0.381
Elon 41.58 26 21 0.553 0.520 0.407
Furman 148.79 18 28 0.391 0.518 0.325
Gardner-Webb 100.37 19 26 0.422 0.479 0.331
High Point 17.88 25 18 0.581 0.564 0.431
Liberty 103.30 35 10 0.778 0.509 0.516
Longwood 130.50 20 28 0.417 0.491 0.331
North Carolina 69.30 28 19 0.596 0.558 0.438
North Carolina A&T 26.74 16 32 0.333 0.451 0.279
North Carolina Central 75.88 16 29 0.356 0.419 0.283
North Carolina State 91.08 27 19 0.587 0.544 0.429
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 13 32 0.289 0.482 0.265
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 14 29 0.326 0.566 0.304
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 21 21 0.500 0.505 0.376
Presbyterian 146.78 16 31 0.340 0.495 0.294
Radford 71.40 27 19 0.587 0.506 0.420
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 14 33 0.298 0.493 0.272
VMI 123.30 22 19 0.537 0.521 0.399
Virginia Tech 75.81 19 28 0.404 0.569 0.344
Winthrop 92.46 22 26 0.458 0.475 0.348
Wofford 124.31 25 24 0.510 0.450 0.367

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 26 21 0.553 0.424 0.383
Clemson 177.30 29 19 0.604 0.564 0.443
Coastal Carolina 184.16 22 26 0.458 0.494 0.353
College of Charleston 231.23 32 15 0.681 0.476 0.460
Coppin State 284.70 11 32 0.256 0.435 0.237
East Carolina 165.70 28 21 0.571 0.536 0.419
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 22 26 0.458 0.472 0.347
George Mason 246.56 27 17 0.614 0.454 0.420
George Washington 255.20 15 29 0.341 0.474 0.289
Georgetown 262.69 17 26 0.395 0.515 0.326
Georgia 232.78 23 23 0.500 0.605 0.401
Georgia Southern 270.15 31 19 0.620 0.471 0.428
Georgia State 283.74 22 25 0.468 0.528 0.366
Georgia Tech 285.35 29 20 0.592 0.584 0.442
James Madison 177.06 15 29 0.341 0.561 0.311
Kennesaw State 284.39 26 20 0.565 0.529 0.415
Kentucky 268.26 28 19 0.596 0.616 0.452
Marshall 170.90 16 25 0.390 0.504 0.321
Maryland 268.03 29 19 0.604 0.550 0.440
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 14 24 0.368 0.445 0.295
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 13 29 0.310 0.399 0.255
Mercer 299.22 35 11 0.761 0.508 0.508
Morehead State 225.51 23 22 0.511 0.456 0.369
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 15 22 0.405 0.474 0.321
Navy 285.08 22 26 0.458 0.443 0.340
Norfolk State 227.05 18 24 0.429 0.455 0.328
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 23 23 0.500 0.574 0.393
Ohio 242.92 10 32 0.238 0.461 0.234
Old Dominion 225.07 28 20 0.583 0.590 0.439
Pittsburgh 298.56 21 24 0.467 0.529 0.366
Richmond 180.22 20 24 0.455 0.535 0.361
Savannah State 287.36 19 28 0.404 0.420 0.307
South Carolina 154.73 35 13 0.729 0.556 0.504
Tennessee 205.81 28 18 0.609 0.545 0.441
Tennessee Tech 293.51 35 13 0.729 0.414 0.468
The Citadel 231.30 19 29 0.396 0.530 0.331
Virginia 163.40 37 9 0.804 0.564 0.543
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 32 13 0.711 0.461 0.471
West Virginia 243.72 27 17 0.614 0.555 0.446
Western Carolina 173.99 32 14 0.696 0.479 0.468
William and Mary 210.74 30 15 0.667 0.504 0.460

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation