Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation

NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Wed May 25 06:58:11 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.562
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.543
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41675


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgetown Wake Forest 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352 -0.00118
Maryland-Baltimore County Wake Forest 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399 -0.00032
VMI Wake Forest 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311 -0.00192
Davidson Wake Forest 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 -0.00074
Southern California Southern California 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00070
Southern California Southern California 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00070
Southern California Southern California 25 27 0.481 0.550 0.378 -0.00070
Mount St. Mary's Wake Forest 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225 -0.00349
St. Peter's Wake Forest 10 42 0.192 0.426 0.203 -0.00389
Towson Wake Forest 20 35 0.364 0.497 0.306 -0.00201
Harvard Wake Forest 17 24 0.415 0.450 0.320 -0.00176
Richmond Wake Forest 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384 -0.00060
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00159
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504 0.00159
Clemson Wake Forest 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00124
Clemson Wake Forest 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00124
Clemson Wake Forest 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485 0.00124
High Point Wake Forest 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00010
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00120
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00115
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00115
Virginia Virginia 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480 0.00115
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351 -0.00120
Duke Wake Forest 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00064
Duke Wake Forest 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00064
Duke Wake Forest 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00064
Elon Elon 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363 -0.00098
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00056
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00056
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.544 0.386 -0.00056
Davidson Davidson 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376 -0.00074
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00117
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00117
North Carolina State North Carolina State 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481 0.00117
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00071
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456 0.00071
Florida State Wake Forest 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00097
Florida State Wake Forest 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00097
Florida State Wake Forest 34 19 0.642 0.594 0.470 0.00097
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00227
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00079
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00079
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460 0.00079
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292 -0.00227
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00051
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00051
Boston College Boston College 31 19 0.620 0.541 0.445 0.00051
High Point High Point 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422 0.00010
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00205
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00205
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304 -0.00205
Marshall Marshall 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444 0.00050
Louisville Wake Forest 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00253
Louisville Wake Forest 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00253
Louisville Wake Forest 46 10 0.821 0.582 0.556 0.00253
Duke neutral 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452 0.00064

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 18 36 0.333 0.502 0.292
Campbell 98.46 26 27 0.491 0.516 0.374
Davidson 54.40 25 24 0.510 0.482 0.376
Duke 73.62 33 21 0.611 0.584 0.452
East Tennessee State 118.39 26 28 0.481 0.429 0.348
Elon 41.58 25 27 0.481 0.490 0.363
Furman 148.79 27 28 0.491 0.526 0.377
Gardner-Webb 100.37 36 19 0.655 0.435 0.436
High Point 17.88 31 22 0.585 0.517 0.422
Liberty 103.30 28 27 0.509 0.524 0.386
Longwood 130.50 30 25 0.545 0.469 0.390
North Carolina 69.30 34 21 0.618 0.604 0.460
North Carolina A&T 26.74 13 41 0.241 0.459 0.235
North Carolina Central 75.88 24 30 0.444 0.400 0.322
North Carolina State 91.08 34 18 0.654 0.616 0.481
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 16 38 0.296 0.445 0.259
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 23 30 0.434 0.536 0.351
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 37 19 0.661 0.500 0.456
Presbyterian 146.78 27 28 0.491 0.469 0.363
Radford 71.40 17 37 0.315 0.537 0.292
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 22 30 0.423 0.481 0.332
VMI 123.30 21 34 0.382 0.482 0.311
Virginia Tech 75.81 19 36 0.345 0.526 0.304
Winthrop 92.46 28 25 0.528 0.479 0.384
Wofford 124.31 30 26 0.536 0.476 0.387

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 19 33 0.365 0.492 0.305
Clemson 177.30 38 18 0.679 0.582 0.485
Coastal Carolina 184.16 40 15 0.727 0.560 0.504
College of Charleston 231.23 29 24 0.547 0.559 0.413
Coppin State 284.70 14 38 0.269 0.372 0.228
East Carolina 165.70 34 19 0.642 0.562 0.462
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 24 31 0.436 0.478 0.338
George Mason 246.56 19 35 0.352 0.460 0.291
George Washington 255.20 23 31 0.426 0.493 0.336
Georgetown 262.69 24 29 0.453 0.502 0.352
Georgia 232.78 27 29 0.482 0.627 0.398
Georgia Southern 270.15 33 23 0.589 0.503 0.420
Georgia State 283.74 23 30 0.434 0.485 0.338
Georgia Tech 285.35 35 20 0.636 0.579 0.463
James Madison 177.06 23 29 0.442 0.506 0.348
Kennesaw State 284.39 29 25 0.537 0.492 0.392
Kentucky 268.26 32 24 0.571 0.556 0.424
Marshall 170.90 32 19 0.627 0.521 0.444
Maryland 268.03 28 25 0.528 0.568 0.406
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 28 21 0.571 0.456 0.399
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 16 32 0.333 0.375 0.260
Mercer 299.22 35 21 0.625 0.488 0.434
Morehead State 225.51 30 25 0.545 0.503 0.398
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 11 37 0.229 0.440 0.225
Navy 285.08 41 14 0.745 0.418 0.477
Norfolk State 227.05 29 20 0.592 0.368 0.388
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 37 15 0.712 0.515 0.485
Ohio 242.92 23 29 0.442 0.442 0.332
Old Dominion 225.07 32 22 0.593 0.524 0.427
Pittsburgh 298.56 25 26 0.490 0.552 0.383
Richmond 180.22 28 24 0.538 0.461 0.384
Savannah State 287.36 12 40 0.231 0.450 0.228
South Carolina 154.73 42 13 0.764 0.563 0.523
Tennessee 205.81 29 27 0.518 0.553 0.397
Tennessee Tech 293.51 31 22 0.585 0.442 0.403
The Citadel 231.30 16 40 0.286 0.505 0.269
Virginia 163.40 36 18 0.667 0.585 0.480
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 36 17 0.679 0.494 0.463
West Virginia 243.72 33 21 0.611 0.512 0.433
Western Carolina 173.99 25 28 0.472 0.522 0.366
William and Mary 210.74 25 28 0.472 0.525 0.367

If you're interested in reprinting this or any other Boyd's World material for your publication or Web site, please read the reprint policy and contact me

Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation