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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Tue Mar 17 06:30:06 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.522
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.495
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.38475


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Delaware Wake Forest 6 3 0.667 0.357 0.423 0.00182
Bucknell Wake Forest 9 5 0.643 0.389 0.419 0.00163
Virginia Commonwealth Wake Forest 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364 -0.00099
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495 0.00525
Western Carolina neutral 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321 -0.00304
George Mason neutral 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308 -0.00365
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495 0.00525
Appalachian State Wake Forest 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257 -0.00608
Towson Wake Forest 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184 -0.00956
Marshall Wake Forest 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296 -0.00423
Towson Wake Forest 2 12 0.143 0.451 0.184 -0.00956
Marshall Wake Forest 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296 -0.00423
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282 -0.00489
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00077
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00077
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401 0.00077
Elon Elon 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00104
Elon Wake Forest 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363 -0.00104
Florida State Florida State 17 4 0.810 0.580 0.550 0.00787
Florida State Florida State 17 4 0.810 0.580 0.550 0.00787
Florida State Florida State 17 4 0.810 0.580 0.550 0.00787

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 5 14 0.263 0.501 0.257
Campbell 98.46 17 2 0.895 0.411 0.550
Davidson 54.40 9 5 0.643 0.540 0.457
Duke 73.62 14 5 0.737 0.540 0.504
East Tennessee State 118.39 10 7 0.588 0.334 0.378
Elon 41.58 8 9 0.471 0.510 0.363
Furman 148.79 9 9 0.500 0.435 0.359
Gardner-Webb 100.37 11 8 0.579 0.468 0.406
High Point 17.88 7 10 0.412 0.570 0.348
Liberty 103.30 12 6 0.667 0.463 0.449
Longwood 130.50 6 11 0.353 0.637 0.336
North Carolina 69.30 12 7 0.632 0.557 0.455
North Carolina A&T 26.74 2 12 0.143 0.379 0.166
North Carolina Central 75.88 6 11 0.353 0.374 0.270
North Carolina State 91.08 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 8 10 0.444 0.522 0.353
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 4 9 0.308 0.581 0.299
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 6 10 0.375 0.379 0.282
Presbyterian 146.78 14 5 0.737 0.458 0.483
Radford 71.40 9 9 0.500 0.386 0.347
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 7 11 0.389 0.434 0.303
VMI 123.30 4 6 0.400 0.363 0.291
Virginia Tech 75.81 10 9 0.526 0.550 0.401
Winthrop 92.46 13 5 0.722 0.438 0.470
Wofford 124.31 16 5 0.762 0.421 0.486

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 10 6 0.625 0.366 0.404
Clemson 177.30 9 9 0.500 0.644 0.411
Coastal Carolina 184.16 13 6 0.684 0.495 0.466
College of Charleston 231.23 10 6 0.625 0.627 0.469
Coppin State 284.70 1 9 0.100 0.519 0.180
East Carolina 165.70 13 6 0.684 0.491 0.465
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 5 11 0.312 0.377 0.250
George Mason 246.56 6 9 0.400 0.432 0.308
George Washington 255.20 8 6 0.571 0.422 0.391
Georgetown 262.69 6 8 0.429 0.456 0.329
Georgia 232.78 12 8 0.600 0.502 0.425
Georgia Southern 270.15 12 9 0.571 0.503 0.411
Georgia State 283.74 12 6 0.667 0.468 0.451
Georgia Tech 285.35 14 5 0.737 0.627 0.525
James Madison 177.06 9 7 0.562 0.318 0.361
Kennesaw State 284.39 9 8 0.529 0.619 0.419
Kentucky 268.26 13 6 0.684 0.545 0.478
Marshall 170.90 6 11 0.353 0.480 0.296
Maryland 268.03 11 4 0.733 0.478 0.486
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 2 6 0.250 0.301 0.200
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 4 10 0.286 0.577 0.287
Mercer 299.22 11 11 0.500 0.493 0.373
Morehead State 225.51 10 5 0.667 0.522 0.464
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 2 8 0.200 0.554 0.239
Navy 285.08 14 5 0.737 0.164 0.409
Norfolk State 227.05 4 6 0.400 0.385 0.296
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 11 5 0.688 0.604 0.495
Ohio 242.92 10 6 0.625 0.430 0.420
Old Dominion 225.07 8 7 0.533 0.373 0.360
Pittsburgh 298.56 8 9 0.471 0.558 0.375
Richmond 180.22 6 6 0.500 0.460 0.365
Savannah State 287.36 9 11 0.450 0.462 0.341
South Carolina 154.73 17 3 0.850 0.494 0.548
Tennessee 205.81 8 8 0.500 0.588 0.397
Tennessee Tech 293.51 8 8 0.500 0.506 0.377
The Citadel 231.30 10 7 0.588 0.506 0.420
Virginia 163.40 12 5 0.706 0.459 0.468
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 8 8 0.500 0.458 0.364
West Virginia 243.72 8 8 0.500 0.621 0.405
Western Carolina 173.99 7 9 0.438 0.407 0.321
William and Mary 210.74 10 5 0.667 0.441 0.444

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation