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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Wed Jul 27 06:49:15 2016

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.568
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.543
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.41975


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Georgetown Wake Forest 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350 -0.00112
Maryland-Baltimore County Wake Forest 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386 -0.00054
VMI Wake Forest 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306 -0.00183
Davidson Wake Forest 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 -0.00062
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.552 0.388 -0.00051
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.552 0.388 -0.00051
Southern California Southern California 28 28 0.500 0.552 0.388 -0.00051
Mount St. Mary's Wake Forest 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223 -0.00317
St. Peter's Wake Forest 10 42 0.192 0.424 0.202 -0.00351
Towson Wake Forest 20 35 0.364 0.491 0.305 -0.00185
Harvard Wake Forest 17 24 0.415 0.446 0.319 -0.00162
Richmond Wake Forest 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383 -0.00059
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00163
Coastal Carolina Coastal Carolina 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521 0.00163
Clemson Wake Forest 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00112
Clemson Wake Forest 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00112
Clemson Wake Forest 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00112
High Point Wake Forest 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 -0.00009
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00124
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00067
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00067
Virginia Virginia 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00067
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343 -0.00124
Duke Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00023
Duke Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00023
Duke Wake Forest 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00023
Elon Elon 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354 -0.00106
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00056
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00056
Notre Dame Notre Dame 27 27 0.500 0.538 0.385 -0.00056
Davidson Davidson 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381 -0.00062
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00083
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00083
North Carolina State North Carolina State 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471 0.00083
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00044
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447 0.00044
Florida State Wake Forest 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Florida State Wake Forest 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Florida State Wake Forest 41 22 0.651 0.602 0.476 0.00091
Appalachian State Appalachian State 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00209
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00058
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00058
North Carolina Wake Forest 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456 0.00058
Appalachian State neutral 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290 -0.00209
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00039
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00039
Boston College Boston College 35 22 0.614 0.549 0.444 0.00039
High Point High Point 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414 -0.00009
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00190
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00190
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302 -0.00190
Marshall Marshall 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439 0.00031
Louisville Wake Forest 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Louisville Wake Forest 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Louisville Wake Forest 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Duke neutral 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434 0.00023
Louisville neutral 50 14 0.781 0.580 0.535 0.00186
Virginia neutral 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461 0.00067
Clemson neutral 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489 0.00112
Minnesota neutral 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00023
Texas A&M neutral 49 16 0.754 0.590 0.524 0.00168
Minnesota neutral 34 22 0.607 0.522 0.434 0.00023

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 18 36 0.333 0.496 0.290
Campbell 98.46 26 27 0.491 0.510 0.373
Davidson 54.40 28 26 0.519 0.486 0.381
Duke 73.62 33 24 0.579 0.580 0.434
East Tennessee State 118.39 27 30 0.474 0.429 0.344
Elon 41.58 25 29 0.463 0.488 0.354
Furman 148.79 29 30 0.492 0.526 0.378
Gardner-Webb 100.37 37 21 0.638 0.436 0.428
High Point 17.88 32 24 0.571 0.513 0.414
Liberty 103.30 31 28 0.525 0.522 0.393
Longwood 130.50 32 27 0.542 0.473 0.389
North Carolina 69.30 34 21 0.618 0.588 0.456
North Carolina A&T 26.74 13 41 0.241 0.452 0.233
North Carolina Central 75.88 24 30 0.444 0.396 0.321
North Carolina State 91.08 38 22 0.633 0.619 0.471
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 16 38 0.296 0.441 0.258
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 23 32 0.418 0.534 0.343
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 38 21 0.644 0.498 0.447
Presbyterian 146.78 27 30 0.474 0.467 0.354
Radford 71.40 19 39 0.328 0.537 0.298
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 22 30 0.423 0.477 0.331
VMI 123.30 21 35 0.375 0.474 0.306
Virginia Tech 75.81 19 36 0.345 0.518 0.302
Winthrop 92.46 28 27 0.509 0.477 0.374
Wofford 124.31 30 28 0.517 0.474 0.377

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 19 33 0.365 0.488 0.304
Clemson 177.30 44 20 0.688 0.579 0.489
Coastal Carolina 184.16 55 18 0.753 0.580 0.521
College of Charleston 231.23 31 26 0.544 0.555 0.411
Coppin State 284.70 14 38 0.269 0.368 0.227
East Carolina 165.70 38 23 0.623 0.558 0.451
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 24 31 0.436 0.471 0.336
George Mason 246.56 19 35 0.352 0.457 0.290
George Washington 255.20 24 33 0.421 0.492 0.334
Georgetown 262.69 24 29 0.453 0.495 0.350
Georgia 232.78 27 30 0.474 0.612 0.390
Georgia Southern 270.15 36 24 0.600 0.506 0.426
Georgia State 283.74 23 30 0.434 0.478 0.337
Georgia Tech 285.35 38 25 0.603 0.582 0.447
James Madison 177.06 24 31 0.436 0.506 0.345
Kennesaw State 284.39 29 27 0.518 0.487 0.381
Kentucky 268.26 32 25 0.561 0.542 0.416
Marshall 170.90 34 21 0.618 0.521 0.439
Maryland 268.03 30 27 0.526 0.562 0.404
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 28 23 0.549 0.447 0.386
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 16 32 0.333 0.371 0.259
Mercer 299.22 38 23 0.623 0.484 0.432
Morehead State 225.51 31 27 0.534 0.502 0.393
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 11 37 0.229 0.434 0.223
Navy 285.08 42 16 0.724 0.424 0.468
Norfolk State 227.05 29 21 0.580 0.370 0.382
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 41 19 0.683 0.521 0.472
Ohio 242.92 23 29 0.442 0.439 0.331
Old Dominion 225.07 32 24 0.571 0.518 0.415
Pittsburgh 298.56 25 26 0.490 0.545 0.381
Richmond 180.22 28 24 0.538 0.457 0.383
Savannah State 287.36 12 40 0.231 0.446 0.227
South Carolina 154.73 46 18 0.719 0.568 0.501
Tennessee 205.81 29 28 0.509 0.543 0.390
Tennessee Tech 293.51 31 24 0.564 0.439 0.392
The Citadel 231.30 17 42 0.288 0.500 0.269
Virginia 163.40 38 22 0.633 0.576 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 38 19 0.667 0.488 0.456
West Virginia 243.72 36 22 0.621 0.515 0.439
Western Carolina 173.99 31 31 0.500 0.531 0.383
William and Mary 210.74 31 31 0.500 0.539 0.385

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation