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NCAA Division I Baseball -- RPI-Based Schedule Analysis for Wake Forest

Last updated: Mon Apr 27 20:31:15 2015

Team Components

Opponents' Winning % OWP 0.534
Opponents' Opponents' Winning % OOWP 0.533
Strength of Schedule OWP / 2 + OOWP / 4 0.40025


Schedule Analysis

Legend:

Contribution is the Strength of Schedule portion for the given opponent -- it directly scales with the SoS number above. Impact is the difference in the team's SoS and the opponent's contribution, divided by the number of games played.

Opponents marked in red do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow do damage if the team loses to them.

Opponent Location W L WP OWP Contribution Impact
Delaware Wake Forest 16 14 0.533 0.465 0.383 -0.00040
Bucknell Wake Forest 21 21 0.500 0.413 0.353 -0.00110
Virginia Commonwealth Wake Forest 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410 0.00023
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00234
Western Carolina neutral 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345 -0.00128
George Mason neutral 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323 -0.00180
North Carolina-Wilmington North Carolina-Wilmington 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501 0.00234
Appalachian State Wake Forest 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00298
Towson Wake Forest 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00298
Marshall Wake Forest 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00238
Towson Wake Forest 11 28 0.282 0.526 0.272 -0.00298
Marshall Wake Forest 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298 -0.00238
North Carolina-Greensboro Wake Forest 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00124
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00068
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00068
Virginia Tech Wake Forest 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371 -0.00068
Elon Elon 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00019
Elon Wake Forest 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392 -0.00019
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00246
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00246
Florida State Florida State 32 12 0.727 0.569 0.506 0.00246
Connecticut Wake Forest 28 15 0.651 0.532 0.459 0.00137
Miami, Florida Wake Forest 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00244
Miami, Florida Wake Forest 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00244
Miami, Florida Wake Forest 29 12 0.707 0.608 0.505 0.00244
North Carolina-Charlotte Wake Forest 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00168
Appalachian State Appalachian State 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272 -0.00298
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00002
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00002
Clemson Clemson 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401 0.00002
Coastal Carolina Wake Forest 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484 0.00195
Boston College Wake Forest 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00020
Boston College Wake Forest 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00020
Boston College Wake Forest 22 19 0.537 0.561 0.409 0.00020
North Carolina-Greensboro North Carolina-Greensboro 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347 -0.00124
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00180
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00180
Pittsburgh Pittsburgh 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323 -0.00180
Louisville Louisville 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00269
Louisville Louisville 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00269
Louisville Louisville 32 10 0.762 0.540 0.516 0.00269
North Carolina-Charlotte North Carolina-Charlotte 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328 -0.00168
Notre Dame Wake Forest 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00178
Notre Dame Wake Forest 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00178
Notre Dame Wake Forest 28 13 0.683 0.543 0.477 0.00178

Legend:

Opponents marked in red will do damage to the team's RPI, even if the team beats them. Opponents marked in yellow will do damage if the team loses to them. Opponents marked in green will improve RPI, even if the team loses to them.

Potential Opponents, < 150 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Appalachian State 80.57 12 29 0.293 0.504 0.272
Campbell 98.46 25 17 0.595 0.522 0.428
Davidson 54.40 18 16 0.529 0.499 0.389
Duke 73.62 23 18 0.561 0.564 0.421
East Tennessee State 118.39 15 26 0.366 0.464 0.299
Elon 41.58 21 19 0.525 0.519 0.392
Furman 148.79 19 22 0.463 0.480 0.352
Gardner-Webb 100.37 19 23 0.452 0.470 0.344
High Point 17.88 21 20 0.512 0.552 0.394
Liberty 103.30 26 16 0.619 0.559 0.449
Longwood 130.50 18 23 0.439 0.507 0.346
North Carolina 69.30 27 15 0.643 0.574 0.465
North Carolina A&T 26.74 8 32 0.200 0.406 0.202
North Carolina Central 75.88 18 23 0.439 0.417 0.324
North Carolina State 91.08 21 18 0.538 0.545 0.405
North Carolina-Asheville 134.54 18 25 0.419 0.528 0.342
North Carolina-Charlotte 63.00 14 21 0.400 0.510 0.328
North Carolina-Greensboro 24.85 17 20 0.459 0.470 0.347
Presbyterian 146.78 23 19 0.548 0.494 0.398
Radford 71.40 28 13 0.683 0.555 0.480
South Carolina-Upstate 123.99 14 29 0.326 0.520 0.293
VMI 123.30 13 22 0.371 0.498 0.310
Virginia Tech 75.81 19 23 0.452 0.580 0.371
Winthrop 92.46 30 14 0.682 0.483 0.462
Wofford 124.31 28 15 0.651 0.433 0.434

Potential Opponents, > 150 Miles and < 300 Miles

Opponent Distance W L WP OWP Contribution
Charleston Southern 217.66 20 20 0.500 0.470 0.367
Clemson 177.30 22 20 0.524 0.555 0.401
Coastal Carolina 184.16 28 13 0.683 0.570 0.484
College of Charleston 231.23 30 9 0.769 0.521 0.515
Coppin State 284.70 3 31 0.088 0.398 0.144
East Carolina 165.70 27 16 0.628 0.565 0.455
Eastern Kentucky 249.57 14 23 0.378 0.434 0.297
George Mason 246.56 16 22 0.421 0.449 0.323
George Washington 255.20 25 12 0.676 0.425 0.444
Georgetown 262.69 20 18 0.526 0.470 0.381
Georgia 232.78 21 22 0.488 0.555 0.383
Georgia Southern 270.15 26 17 0.605 0.500 0.427
Georgia State 283.74 25 15 0.625 0.471 0.430
Georgia Tech 285.35 25 16 0.610 0.584 0.451
James Madison 177.06 14 24 0.368 0.500 0.309
Kennesaw State 284.39 22 20 0.524 0.537 0.396
Kentucky 268.26 24 16 0.600 0.568 0.442
Marshall 170.90 14 26 0.350 0.492 0.298
Maryland 268.03 29 13 0.690 0.533 0.478
Maryland-Baltimore County 289.81 18 15 0.545 0.424 0.379
Maryland-Eastern Shore 289.59 13 26 0.333 0.440 0.277
Mercer 299.22 26 16 0.619 0.488 0.431
Morehead State 225.51 24 17 0.585 0.466 0.409
Mount St. Mary's 291.91 6 25 0.194 0.424 0.203
Navy 285.08 29 16 0.644 0.352 0.410
Norfolk State 227.05 19 10 0.655 0.331 0.410
North Carolina-Wilmington 188.20 28 10 0.737 0.531 0.501
Ohio 242.92 24 15 0.615 0.479 0.427
Old Dominion 225.07 20 21 0.488 0.529 0.376
Pittsburgh 298.56 14 24 0.368 0.554 0.323
Richmond 180.22 21 15 0.583 0.480 0.411
Savannah State 287.36 16 28 0.364 0.429 0.289
South Carolina 154.73 26 17 0.605 0.547 0.439
Tennessee 205.81 16 21 0.432 0.558 0.356
Tennessee Tech 293.51 19 20 0.487 0.448 0.355
The Citadel 231.30 18 22 0.450 0.569 0.367
Virginia 163.40 27 15 0.643 0.557 0.461
Virginia Commonwealth 183.54 24 17 0.585 0.472 0.410
West Virginia 243.72 23 16 0.590 0.498 0.419
Western Carolina 173.99 17 21 0.447 0.485 0.345
William and Mary 210.74 19 20 0.487 0.471 0.361

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Boyd's World-> Ratings-> Pseudo-RPI's-> Schedule Analysis About the author, Boyd Nation